Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN QUICK Nov10 Oct29 Sep29 Sep18 Sep04 (milne joan)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE Nov18 Oct29 Oct15 Oct03   (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 12.00 ★    
3  WEALLLIKEDHIM         (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 124 15.00    
4  IMPROPER Apr09 Mar05 Feb03 Jan13   (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 17% 4.90    
5  NORGAY Nov10 Oct26 Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
6  KITTEN'S APPEAL Sep29 Jul30 Jun30 May22 Apr24 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-2   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BLINDNESS Nov15 Oct19 Sep19 Aug29 Aug15 (d'alessandro)CASTELLANO J 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  FLASHING RED Nov09         (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
3  LINNY KATE Oct20 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul02 (noda o)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 ★    
4  MELTING SNOW Nov05 Sep01 Jul15 Jun09 Apr24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60 40% 1.50    
5  TILSA Nov16 Oct19 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03 (lake a)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00    
6  THAT IS KEY Oct20 Oct12 Aug29 Aug21 Jul04 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  KERIK Nov27 Oct28 Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
AQU-3   12/09/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOAM Nov17 Sep24 Apr30 Feb21 Jan22 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.50 ★    
2  TEMPERMENTAL Nov27 Nov06 Sep26 Aug24 Aug12 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
3  TINGLING MINT Nov04 May21       (quick patric)SAMUEL L 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
4  BUNTY WINDERMERE Nov18 Oct09 Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50 ★    
5  RIDING ON A WINNER Nov22 Oct31 Oct11     (noda)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.00 53% 0.90    
6  MY DELICIOUS Nov17 Oct13 Sep18 Sep05 May20 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-4   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAN THE HAMMER Nov10 Apr29       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 ★    
2  SUPER QUALITY Nov10 Sep30 Aug28 Jul20 Jun18 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 8% 11.50    
3  JOHN'S PROTEGE Apr24 Mar12       (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 1.60 61% 0.60    
4  SHARPOON Nov25 Sep30 Aug10 Jul04 May29 (fisher linda)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00    
5  GENESIS ONE Nov10 Oct22 Sep30     (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
6  NORTH POLE Nov25 Oct06 Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 9% 10.30    
7  PAPI ON ICE Nov25 Nov10 Aug10 Jul15 Jul01 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLOW DECISION Nov11 Oct08 Aug26 Jul22 Jun19 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00    
1A  ASTRAL WEEKS Oct28 Aug20 Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 (walder r)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  SON OF AN EX Jun30 May28 May08 May01 Apr02 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
3  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Nov10 Oct14 Sep25 Sep02 May04 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
4  FORTY COMETS Nov11 Oct16 Sep18 Aug20 Jun30 (ryerson j)VARGAS A 121 15.00    
SCR  CASH IN A FLASH Nov19 Oct08 Aug07 Jul21 Jun10 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 5% 18.10    
6  RIA'S ANGEL Nov05 Sep25 Sep03 Jul22 Jun17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  CENTAVO Nov11 Jul08 Jun30 Jun05 May28 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00    
8  LUCKY BRODY Nov10 Sep17 Sep01 Jul27 Jul02 (noda)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 15.00    
9  MIDNIGHT WORKER Oct14 Sep03 Aug13     (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 10% 9.20    
10  B C GLORY DAYS Nov11 Oct14 Sep17 Sep01 Aug10 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   12/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPETTRO Nov05 Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 Jun18 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
2  AFJAN Nov18 Oct15 Sep05 Aug28 Jul14 (brion ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 21% 3.80    
3  CURBSTONE Nov19 Jul27 Jul02 Jun09 May03 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 108 4.00    
4  UNCLE WATER FLOW Dec02 Oct21 Sep15 Aug18 Jul10 (persaud eddie)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
5  BOURBON'S HOPE Nov10 Sep16 Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  COMPLETE AGENDA Nov19 Oct01 Aug18 Jul22 May14 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.20 30% 2.40    
7  STRONG LIGHT Nov25 Oct03 Aug19 Jun26 Jun09 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT DALLIANCE Nov13 Oct12 Mar13 Jan30   (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
2  FIRING CAROL Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug21 Jan20 (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 122 20.00    
3  TO A T Nov27 Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug21 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 ★    
4  LEELOO Oct30 Sep25 Aug26 Jul22 Mar18 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
5  SPEAKS FOR ITSELF Nov13 Apr14       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
6  LADY MILAGRO Jul09 Jun19 Mar19 Feb24 Feb06 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
7  PHAROAH'S HEART Jun02 Apr02 Feb12     (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
8  RUVIES IN TIME Nov20 Nov13 Sep25 Aug21 Jul09 (jaco)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 8.00 9% 10.30    
9  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Nov17 Oct15 Sep15 Aug27 Jul29 (morley th)VARGAS A 122 12.00    
10  CHASING CARA Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 Jul09 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
 
AQU-8   12/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHUR'S HOPE Nov08 Oct20 Aug16 Jul13 Jun19 (salazar )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 15% 5.50    
2  SENIOR INVESTMENT Nov12 Oct18 Sep28 Sep03 Aug14 (lake a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
3  FIRE SWORD Oct07 Aug14 Jun17     (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  SYNTHESIS Nov26 Sep30 Sep14 Jun26 May13 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  AMUNDSON Nov12 Oct21 Sep03 Jul30 Jun16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40    
6  JALEN JOURNEY Nov17 Oct29 Oct08 Oct03 Sep23 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 15% 5.50    
7  MARKET ALERT Nov06 Oct07 Aug12 Jul10 May28 (atras rob)VARGAS A 122 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON FEVER Nov16 Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 Jul30 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
1A  SIMPLY Oct16 Sep27 Sep05 Jul16 Jun21 (atras rob)VARGAS A 123 2.00    
2  TWO DOWN Nov13 Oct30 Oct01 Aug13 Jul17 (engl)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 15.00    
3  LABAN M MO Nov01 Sep28 Sep14 Aug08 Jul19 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
4  SAMAY (PER) Nov22 Oct24 Oct03 Sep06 Aug17 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  DR. MARBOOZ Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00    
SCR  DATESFREEDOM Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 Aug11 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
7  BASIS RISK Nov13 Oct22 Aug31 Apr30   (coffey m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
8  FORTY TWO ACE Nov11 Oct15 Sep18 Aug24 Jul28 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
9  MASON MANIA Nov02 Sep15 Sep02 Aug03 Jul21 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
10  EXCURSIONNISTE Nov05 Sep24 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
11  ROYAL SUSPECT Nov14 Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 Aug23 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.