Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - December 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   12/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL Nov13 Sep09 Jun17 May20 Apr30 (childers van)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 30.00    
AMORADA Nov10 Jul19 Jun30 May26   (medina toma)CHIRINOS ROIMES 122 8.00    
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Nov20 Oct19 Sep16 Aug27   (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 122 12.00    
SCR  ROLLESTON Nov09 Sep28 Aug07 Jul10   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
CORTADO Nov11 Apr24 Apr16 Feb27   (bahena ismael)MILLER CHASE 122 30.00    
COURTING WAR Jun22 Jun08 May10 Mar24 Feb25 (elliott)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME Nov11 Oct13       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 8.00    
BODIEFUL Nov11 Oct14 Sep26 Sep03 Aug15 (wittek karyn)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
MISS MATCHMAKER Oct24 Sep08 Jul21     (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  MAMBO KITTEN Oct17 Sep29 Sep21 Sep06 Aug09 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 6% 16.60    
11  SLENDER BETSY Oct13 Sep29 Sep20 Sep07 Aug08 (raines linds)RAMOS D 122 12.00    
 
TP-2   12/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INGERSOLL Nov17 Oct19 Sep21 Aug18 Jul06 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 111 3.00 35% 1.90    
PASION AZTECA Nov10 Oct22 Oct04 Aug26 Aug10 (morelos mat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00    
SCR  FOOT SACK Oct04 Sep28 Sep09 Aug25 Aug19 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 6.00    
OVER PROTECTIVE Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Jun29   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 114 10.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 Sep23 Sep16 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 10.00 10% 8.70    
READY TO SHAKE Sep01 Jul24 Jul09 Jun25 May22 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SON OF GRACE Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jan23 Jan09 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
RUBINSTEIN Oct25 Oct11 Sep29 Sep09 Jul19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  SOAKING WET Nov19 Oct11 Sep09 Sep02 Aug06 (londono odin)HALDAR J 121 20.00    
10  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Oct12 Sep11 Aug30 Jun25 May28 (buckley )RODRIGUEZ A 114 12.00    
11  T J MUNNINGS Nov06 Oct12 Sep28 Jul05 Jun02 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 13% 7.00    
 
TP-3   12/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SUPER SAINT Oct21 Sep10 Jul22 Jun26 May27 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 10.00 10% 9.20    
WAITING ON WILLIAM Nov01 Oct11 Aug30 Aug18 Aug02 (helmbrecht will)REYES FRANK 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
HASHTAG WINNER Oct11 Sep25 Aug06 Jul07 Jun22 (west m)RAMOS D 121 8.00    
JOY OF TREASURE Oct23 Sep01 Aug09 Feb26 Jan15 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00    
GRAY NAY Aug31 Aug01 Jun28 May27 Mar03 (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
A REAL HERO Oct20 Sep13 Aug09 Jul21 Jun27 (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50    
THE BEAUTY'S TALE Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 Aug16 Aug03 (hammond)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 12% 7.10    
SINGSONG BIRD Oct21 Aug25 Jul14 Jun09 May13 (wong jonath)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TP-4   12/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTY'S PROMISE Oct05 Sep29 Sep12 Aug19 Jul15 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 110 30.00    
FOOT RUB LOVE Nov21 Nov01 Oct09 Sep13 Aug16 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
UNUNDERSTANDABLE Oct30 Oct04 Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
LIBERTY BELLE Nov17 Nov02 Oct13 Sep13 Aug24 (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 6.00    
BAREBACK FUN Nov03 Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Aug03 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
WHISKEY SIS Nov21 Sep12 Sep02 Aug23 Aug03 (nocero ca)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 8.00    
DESTINY'S DARLING Nov22 Nov12 Nov02 Oct22 Oct12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 5.00    
MY DARK SECRET Nov21 Nov01 Aug19 Aug03 May27 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 120 10.00 5% 18.00    
ABOUNDING         (cook k)BAYS BROOKE 110 20.00    
10  FIVE QUEENS Nov03 Sep14 Sep02 Aug20 May07 (adams nancy )TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00    
11  SEAWARD Nov13 Oct23 Oct14 Sep24 Sep13 (hernandez javi)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
12  CARRY ON Nov23 Oct21 Oct05 Sep07 Aug03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 5.00 8% 11.30    
 
TP-5   12/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTSTRYDER Sep28 Aug28       (morey william )LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00    
FIXITWITHFORWARD         (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Oct21         (laugherty joe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
SOUTHERN CRUSH Oct23         (barkley jason)MCKEE J 119 20.00    
WHAT A BLAST Oct09 Sep05 Aug13     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00    
FRADY Oct18 Sep21 Aug22     (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00 6% 14.80    
FIRST CLASS HARLOW Nov17 Oct23       (courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00    
SAFE TRIP HOME         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
CODE ONE Oct03         (mora lea)RODRIGUEZ A 112 20.00    
10  DUST STORM Oct15 Sep27 Sep10 Jun27   (fletcher kev)HALDAR J 119 20.00    
11  MIRANDA RIGHTS Oct15 Sep03 Jul16     (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
12  QUADRA ISLAND         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  EGYPTIAN KING Oct19 Sep21       (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
SCR  MONBA QUAKE Oct09 Sep24       (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 119 30.00    
 
TP-6   12/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELDEST SON Nov09 Oct01 Aug30     (walsh br)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
FASTBYTE Oct29 Aug18 Jul24 May30   (leitch dani)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
THUNDERIAN Sep21 Aug12       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
FUNTASTIC AGAIN Oct08 Aug27 Jul01     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.00    
SCR  RAISE CAIN Oct29 Oct09 Sep17     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
IN GOD'S TIME Oct29 Sep29       (stidham michae)ROCCO S 120 10.00    
JIN TONG Nov04 Sep17 Aug14 Jul08   (mora leandro)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
OSCAR AWARD Oct29 Sep14 Jul24     (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
TP-7   12/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY MISCHIEF Oct20 Sep28 Sep03 Jul22 Jun30 (beckman wh)RAMOS D 118 12.00    
LET MY PEOPLE GO Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 Jul30 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00    
CARMEL BAY Nov10 Oct20 Sep25 Sep14 Aug24 (grubbs l)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
MAINTAINER Apr09 Mar05 Feb12     (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
ROCKET DAWG         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.80 33% 2.00    
TRUST DADDY Nov20 Sep14 Jul03 Jun11 May27 (o'dwyer jer)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
CARAMELITO Nov17 Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 Aug25 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRAPHIC DETAIL Apr02 Feb05 Jan01     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
STRUGAR Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 Mar31 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 12.00 15% 5.80    
10  FORT LOWELL Oct26 Oct05 Jun11 May11 Apr19 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
11  EL AHIJADO Nov06 Sep17 Aug19 Jul09 Jun09 (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 50.00    
12  CAMP DADDY Oct12 Sep05 Jul15 May30 Apr16 (vaughan edward)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY Nov02 Oct26 Sep08 Aug06 Jun30 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY HOUSE Nov19 Oct20 Oct05 Sep15 Aug22 (estvanko ri)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00    
 
TP-8   12/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT RIDE CLYDE Oct23         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 112 15.00    
VAMONOS Sep26 Sep07 Aug18 Jul13 Jun15 (brafford michel)MOJICA JR 115 15.00    
CAESAR'S GHOST Nov09         (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00    
SCR  O GANGSTER Nov23 Oct30 Oct19 Oct01 Aug28 (delgado gust)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00    
SATURN BOY Nov17 Oct13 Sep21 Aug17   (davis joseph )CANUTO THIAGO 119 10.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  FROG TOWN Nov03 Oct13       (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
BEER MOSA         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
BRILLIANT COLORS Nov17 Oct02 Jul17     (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 119 5.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY Nov05         (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00    
10  FASHION MUNNY         (medina rob)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
11  CONNECT ME Nov09 Oct22 Sep22 Jul30   (estvanko ri)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 20.00    
12  CABALLO FELIZ Oct19 Sep14 Aug27     (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50    
13  SAILOR'S CHANCE Oct14 Sep05 Aug19 Jul16 Jun23 (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
14  SHORTLY Nov11         (miller f)MCKEE J 119 6.00 12% 7.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.