Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(2/1/7/3)-(7/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/3)-(7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/3)-(7/2/4)-(6/7/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(6/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(6/7/4/8)-(8/4/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/8)-(6/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/8)-(6/7/4/8)-(6/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/8)-(8/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/8)-(8/4/2/1)-(1/2/4/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1)-(8/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/1)-(1/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/1)-(1/2/4/9)-(8/1/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/9)-(8/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/9)-(8/1/2/4)-(1/6/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/4)-(1/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/4)-(1/6/3/8)-(11/4/2/8/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/8)-(11/4/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (11/4/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/2/8/10)-(11/4/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/2/8/10)-(11/4/2/8/10)-(11/4/2/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAVE Nov23         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
2  GAME LIKE REYANA         (persaud )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 8.00 21% 3.70    
3  CAROL SAID NO Sep28 Aug03 Jun21     (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00    
4  YOUNG AT HEART Oct28 Sep13 Aug14     (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
5  I HEARD SOMETHINGS Nov21 Oct20 Sep28     (sciacca gary)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHTLOVEAFFAIR Nov01         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 1.60    
7  MY DAUGHTERS' GIFT         (pringle edmund)BROWN DALTON 119 15.00 20% 3.90    
 
AQU-2   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH JACKSON Nov09 Jun30 May24 Apr07 Mar14 (fernandez jose )RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  STREET JAM Nov09 Sep28 Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60 38% 1.70    
3  KAYMUS Nov17 Aug30 Jul13 Apr06 Jan18 (levine b)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MYSARIA Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 Apr27 Apr07 (hills a)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50    
5  FIND YOUR JOY Nov17 Oct18 Aug26 Jul30 Jun14 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
6  JACKSON AVENUE Nov19 Nov05 Oct16 Sep02 Aug18 (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
7  BOOK OF WISDOM Nov09 Oct12 Sep28 Sep16 Aug12 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAREN'S HONOR Nov17 Sep28 Aug16 Aug07 Jun27 (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00    
2  STARRY MIDNIGHT Nov26 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 Sep19 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LADY JASMINE Nov25 Oct20 Aug25 Jul28 Jun14 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
4  SHOOPTHEREITIS Nov17 Oct23 Jun20 May02 Apr05 (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOLCE SERA Nov17 Oct12 Sep28 Aug14 Jul18 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL Nov17 Nov09 Oct20 Aug17 Jun30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
7  SPRING MAGIC Nov09 Oct12 Sep22 Jul11 Apr28 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 121 0.80 69% 0.40    
 
AQU-4   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MERIT Oct18 Sep14 Aug03 Jul04 Apr06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
2  PORTOS Feb29 Feb04 Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 121 12.00    
3  O P FIRECRACKER Nov15 Oct26 Sep28 Aug21 Jun29 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 5.00    
4  WHISKEY N SODA Aug16 Jul25 Jun01 Apr20   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8% 11.70    
5  NORMANDY HERO Nov04 Oct09 Sep18 Jul04 Jun05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50    
6  CHILENO Nov15 Sep21 Mar29 Sep02 Aug20 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  WAKE SURF Dec06 Oct24 Sep05 Jun30 May25 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  ICE TIME Nov15 Oct19 Sep29 Sep01 Jul21 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   12/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRAU DIABLO Jun22 May12 Apr14 Mar07 Feb02 (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Oct19 Sep20 Aug07 Jun07 May12 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 125 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  FANCY AZTECA Oct06 Sep01 Jul20 Jun16 May09 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
4  PROUD FOOT Aug04 Jun09 Apr25 Mar17 Feb04 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 16% 5.10    
5  I'M BUZZY Nov16 Sep22 Aug03 Jul17 Jun16 (baker charlton)RUIZ ELISEO 121 12.00    
6  WILLOW BEND Nov10 Oct06 Sep13 Aug11 Jun26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
7  SHESALITTLE EDGY Oct20 Sep29 Aug29 Jul28 Jun16 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
8  TRICKY TEMPER Oct27 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
AQU-6   12/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELT WITH YOU Nov19 Oct26 Oct08 Sep02 Aug03 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  ARROW SPEED Nov13 Oct16 Oct08 Aug31 Aug03 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 2.50    
2  PROVE WORTHY Oct19 Jul14 Jun06 May03 Mar30 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  PADDINGTON Sep20 Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.20    
4  ICE ROAD Nov10 Oct25 Sep21 Aug21 Jun28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
5  STEADY PROGRESS Nov24 Nov16 Feb29 Jan28 Jan14 (chatterpaul na)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
6  STRONG LIGHT Nov23 Nov16 Oct13 Oct03 Sep14 (samsundar rosha)RUIZ ELISEO 121 30.00    
7  MIDNIGHT WORKER Nov15 Oct10 Jul21 May26 Apr12 (legall )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 20.00    
8  ARREBATO Nov23 Oct31 Oct03 Sep20 Apr20 (fernandez jose )DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
9  INDIANQUEST Nov24 Oct19 Jul04 Jun07 May02 (ibrahim emron)OTERO AAROM 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   12/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LAO Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 Aug01 Jun28 (lalman)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  MAGGY'S PALACE Nov07 Oct20 Aug25 Aug07 Jun30 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 11% 8.50    
3  KARA PARA Mar03 Jan07 Oct19 Sep22 Aug23 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 122 12.00    
4  THE SHOE LADY Oct20 Sep13 Jun09 Apr07 Feb24 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Nov21 Mar30 Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
6  HARLAN'S BOND Nov21 Jun15 May12 May05 Apr12 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
SCR  FOXY CARA Nov21 Oct20 Sep26 Aug18 Aug02 (friedma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
8  SPEIGHTFUL LILY Jul11 Jun09 Mar28 Jan27   (bond harol)RIVERA R 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
9  ECHO IN ETERNITY Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 Jul24 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00    
SCR  TRUE EMPRESS Nov05 Sep17 Aug28 Jul22 Jun15 (martin carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50    
11  MOSIENKO Nov07 Oct06 Sep26 Jul14 May12 (kantarma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 10.00    
 
AQU-8   12/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONEGAL SURGES Sep20 Aug18 Jun09 May02 Mar29 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  SUMMER CAUSE Nov07 Sep15 Apr06 May13 Apr15 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
3  YO DADDY Nov21 Nov10 Oct05 Aug30 Aug17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  MAGICAL WAYS Nov17 Oct26 Sep28 Aug03 Jul13 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN Sep15 Jul05 May19 Apr06 Mar09 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
6  MARGIN OF AIR Nov15 Oct18 Sep21 Aug26 Jul19 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  MAMA'S GOLD Oct12 Sep20 Feb24 Jan27 Jan13 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00    
8  TREBLE CLEF Nov20 Oct22 Sep21 Jul17 Jun12 (crook-d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY Nov08 Oct19 Oct05 Sep19 Jul20 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
 
AQU-9   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIVE THRU Oct17         (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 122 6.00    
1A  SOLO FLIGHT Nov18 Oct28 Oct14 Sep23   (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
2  MAGIC BEACH Nov22 Oct27 Sep03     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  TAKE THE GOLD Nov02 Oct17 Aug06     (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
4  ALLOFASUDDENLEE Nov22 Nov07 Apr26     (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  DREAM ALLIANCE Nov30 Aug05       (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
6  ISOMARSHALL Nov22 Nov15 Oct24 Sep26 Aug28 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00    
7  TOMSCHICKENFINGERS Nov15 Oct17 Jul18     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
8  SICILIANAIRE         (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 15.00 8% 11.50    
9  THIS TIME YES Nov24 Nov15 Oct25 Feb11 Jan18 (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 122 30.00    
10  WIND DANCER Nov22 Nov07 Sep13 Aug15 Jul26 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  SCHERZANDO Nov07 Oct17 Apr27 Jan28 Jan06 (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.