Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/3)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(6/7/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(7/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(7/2/5)-(5/7/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(5/7/9/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(5/7/9/6/2)-(4/6/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/7/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/9/6/2)-(5/7/9/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/9/6/2)-(5/7/9/6/2)-(5/7/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/9/6/2)-(4/6/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9/6/2)-(4/6/3/2)-(2/5/6/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/2)-(2/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/2)-(2/5/6/7)-(8/1/9/3/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/4/6/7)-(2/5/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/6/7)-(8/1/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/1/9/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/3/5)-(8/1/9/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/3/5)-(8/1/9/3/5)-(8/1/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DEAR VALENTINE Sep27 Aug21 Aug09     (salcedo )FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MY DEAR OPAL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  SMARTASSET Oct07 Sep17 Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 (cline c)AVILES YAN 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
3  LIGHTNING MELODY Sep27 Sep13 Aug02 Jun30 Jun09 (quezad)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
4  BETTY JUNE'S GIFT Oct07         (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  FLAME FOR REAL Oct07 Sep17 Aug10 Jul23 Jul02 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  OLYMPIC WINGS Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Mar20 Feb28 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 8% 11.50    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  J. P INDY Oct07 Sep17 Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MVR-2   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLICK EDDIE Oct03 Feb24 Feb08 May22 Jan04 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00    
2  ROLLIN MY WAY Sep11 Aug16 Jul31 Jul06 Jun27 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00    
3  LOTSA MATCHA Oct03 Sep18 Aug21 Jul18 Oct10 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAMURAI WAY Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 Jul20 Jul06 (barton e)SERPA ANGEL 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  GRAND ZHOUL Oct02 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul31 (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 4.00    
6  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 Jul17 Jun25 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 15% 5.80    
 
MVR-3   10/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOFTHOUSE Sep26 Jul24 Jul02 May23 Apr27 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 124 4.50    
2  CEVICHE Aug15 Jul30 Jul10 Jun22 Jun11 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
3  THEODOROPOULOS Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RENO TOUCH Sep26 Aug13 Jul11 May30 May15 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
5  DATTTSAFANCYFOX May24 Apr29 Mar27 Feb28 Feb13 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
6  STACY ATTACK Sep10 Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
7  TWILIGHT VISION Sep26 Jul02 May01 Oct01 Sep13 (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  QUARANTINA Sep30 Sep09 Aug21 Aug13 Jul10 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY KENNY WHY Sep26 Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 Jul29 (casali)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
2  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Sep26 Sep04 Jun11 May04 Jan24 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 21% 3.70    
3  BUCKEYE MIKE Oct11 Jul01 Jun12 May29   (crumley jevo)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
SCR  COLORFUL LAD Sep30 Sep09 Aug28 Jul31 Jul15 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.00    
5  WAR ON THE RIVER Sep04 Jul31 Dec26 Nov22 Oct24 (flores christi)DIAZ I 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
6  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Oct03 Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
7  RADIO SILENT Sep26 Sep04 Jun26 Jun01 May15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.20 33% 2.10    
 
MVR-5   10/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALCONS FURY Oct02 Sep14 Sep05 Aug17 Jul05 (ocasio osvaldo)SERPA ANGEL 124 3.50    
2  OILER Oct01 Sep03 Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXONERATED PREZ Aug29 Jul30 Jun26 May23 Apr23 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
4  NOT YET CHARLIE Aug16 Jul10 Jun12 Jun01 Apr26 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
5  SMASH Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 Jun02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 62% 0.60    
6  TONALTALITARIAN Sep30 Sep04 Aug16 Jul31 Jul13 (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BROADWAY SKY Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 Mar26 Feb22 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 10% 9.10    
8  SERVE REVENGE COLD Oct11 Sep12 Aug26 Jul16 Jun10 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
9  CENTSOFWANDER Sep19 Aug29 Jul22 Jun26 May22 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  NIGHT TIME RULER Sep24 Sep12 Aug29 Aug20 Aug12 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE DANCE Sep11 Aug21 Jul18 Jul09 Jun13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
2  LIVING IN STYLE Sep05 Aug22 Jan21 Jan06 Nov29 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CASTLE MAGIC Sep11 Jul18 May21 Nov15 Oct30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BETTY'S SONG Jul24 Jun22 May21 Apr22 Dec03 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  WILDCAT DREAM May30 May16 May02 Apr10 Mar28 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
6  LADY WELLINGTON Oct10 Aug30 Aug10 Jul18 May25 (madrigal rodr)BRACHO A 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  ITSABLINGTHING Sep25 Aug19 Jul21 Jun27 May29 (barrett roddina)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50    
 
MVR-7   10/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIERNEY Oct05 Sep18 Sep02 Aug03 Jul18 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00    
2  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Sep23 Aug30 Jul22 Jun07 May28 (gorham m)PEREZ A 123 2.00 57% 0.80    
3  SPUNKY ONE Sep18 Sep02 Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 12.00    
4  BIG FACTS Sep03 Aug10 Jun18 May18 Nov14 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00 ★    
5  MIESHA Sep30 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  FEELING EASY Oct05 Sep18 Aug31 Aug07 Jul18 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  OH GLORIOUS DAY Sep28 Aug31 Jul08 Jun13 May06 (cline robert )BRACHO A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ANGEL'S DESTINY Sep16 May04 Apr03 Mar19 Mar04 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
9  MANDOLIN BREEZE Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul10 Jun17 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   10/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITOLE'S WISH Sep13 Apr05 Feb28 Feb17   (morales )FERNANDEZ R 123 10.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MITOLE out of WHAT'SMINEISMINE by MINESHAFT)
2  KEEPING IT SIMPLE Oct01         (romero a)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS DIVINITY by DIVINE PARK)
3  LETSHAVEADAY         (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of TOWN CENTRE by COOL COAL MAN)
SCR  CODE ONE Oct20 Jun23 May25 May10 Aug13 (martinez kel)HALDAR J 126 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
5  C S EXPRESS Aug05 Jun08 May23 May07 Apr24 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of AUNT SHERRI by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  RYNO WRECKER Sep24 May05 Apr21 Mar15 Feb24 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 3.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MEGHAN W by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  COWBOY LUKE Sep22 Aug17 Jul24 May30 Apr24 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 123 4.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of SALTY KISS by BIG DRAMA)
8  MAGICAL MOJO Feb12 Jan27 Dec30     (brownfield cl)BRACHO A 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of NO JOKE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  HEART OF AN ANGEL Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 Jun19 May28 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by BAPTISTRY out of ANGEL SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
10  POP THE CORK Sep24 Jul02 Jun05 May21 Apr30 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00    
  (by GENERAL A ROD out of TIZ VEGAS by TIZNOW)
SCR  LEWIS AND CLARK Mar17 Feb22 Jan10 Dec13 Sep09 (romero osc)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.