Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $44.80 $38.80 647%
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $188.60 $176.60 1472%
MNR-4   DD (4/1/5)-(1/7/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-1 $99.00 $75.00 313%
MNR-5   EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $22.20 $10.20 85%
MNR-6   EXA (4/7)-(4/6/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $19.00 $7.00 58%
    TRI (4/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6-7 $92.40 $80.40 670%

Simulator Race results

 
MNR-1   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SESSA SISU 1 2 1½ 12   17 1 (reed r)WHITACRE B 118 1.60 32% 2.10 0.20 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SESSA by CONSOLIDATOR)
KINGDOM'S SPIRIT 5 5 66 35   27 2 (cook devin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 3.00 33% 2.00 3.90 P
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
SUMMER DANCE 7 1 3½ 5   511½ 321¼ (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 21.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JETE ETE by SUMMER BIRD)
FINAL NOTE 4 3 42 4   4 422¼ (marrero nestor)AVILES YAN 123 8.00 22.70  
  (by FINALE out of DETERMINED LADY by RUNAWAY GROOM)
IF ONLY I BELIEVE 2 7 714 715½   717½ 525¼ (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 20.00 10% 8.60 36.90  
  (by SMARTY JONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DEGAGE 3 6 54 6   612½ 628½ (murtough st)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 74.60  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SACRIFICE by TEMPLE CITY)
LUNA AMARILLA 6 4 2½ 22   39 729 (marrero)BRAVO MISAEL 118 3.50 15.10  
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PLAYINTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  ESTRELLA KIARA               (gerich fr)HERNANDEZ H 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
 
MNR-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U SO MONEY BABY 5 1 2nk 11   14 1¼ (langley c)WHITACRE B 120 3.00 47% 1.10 0.70 W
MISS ANTIETAM 1 7 610 4   3 2¼ (brown ronn)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.50 6.60  
TAP N GLO 4 3 1nk 21   24 3 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 6.10  
MISS FORT 2 6 710½ 37   4 4 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.00 3.40  
GIRO KATE 3 2 34 5   511½ 511½ (barker james)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 16% 5.10 14.10  
KINGSTON TIME 7 5 58 6   613½ 613¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 14% 6.00 22.10  
FIANNA HILLS 6 4 47 711½   714½ 717 (rodak ger)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00 5% 19.00 31.80  
SCR  BIG BANG BLUE               (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 120 5.00    
 
MNR-3   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:003     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERY SIDE 5 2 2½ 1nk   13 1 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 8.00 5% 19.00 21.40 W
  (by CAL NATION out of DELIGHTFUL MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
SHE'S ALL ABOUT IT 1 5 3 4   3 2 (hayes leland)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 21% 3.80 3.60 P
  (by SMARTY JONES out of RETURN ENGAGEMENT by PUT IT BACK)
LASTSHOTATLIGHTNIN 2 1 5 5   4 37 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 5.00 5.00  
  (by CAL NATION out of ARBITRAGEUR by BERNARDINI)
YOUR TROPHY GIRL 4 3 1½ 2nk   23 48 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 4.00 33% 2.00 3.30  
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
WAY OF APPEAL 6 4 4 6   611½ 514¾ (cady khalil)WHITACRE B 118 2.50 2.80  
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
GENEROUS WOMAN 3 6 6 32   5 616¾ (ewell sr)VEGA L 118 3.50 2.40  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
 
MNR-4   09/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:22 :451       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSHY JAK 1 2 1nk 11   14 1 (poole c)AVILES YAN 120 2.00 28% 2.50 0.50 W
GINSBURNED 2 6 43 47   39 2 (jansen kenny)TAPARA LUIS 120 8.00 10.10  
ALFIE SOLOMONS 5 1 2nk 21   24 39 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 2.50 20% 4.00 5.70 S
OFFUTT COLE 7 3 32 33   4 4 (snatchko a)VEGA L 120 4.50 27% 2.60 5.80  
ACT OF VALOR 3 8 8 712½   613 512 (murtough st)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 12.00 23.00  
ESTILO VARONIL 8 4 6 57   713½ 613 (boyd t)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
CHIEF HOWCOME 4 5 54 6   512½ 714¼ (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00 20.30  
STRIKE A BEAT 6 7 7 812¾   818½ 818 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 36.10  
 
MNR-5   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE EARL 4 1 1½ 1½   14 1 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80 22% 3.70 1.70 W
QUICK ENTRY 1 3 2½ 2½   24 2 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 3.00 31% 2.20 4.00 P
CATES SWOOSH 2 5 32 4   35 3 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 5.70  
PROFESSIONAL 3 4 42 3   47 4 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 12% 7.40 7.40  
I'M A COOL MAN 6 2 55 5   58 5 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00 5.30  
ALMASHRIQ 5 6 610 6   611 613 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 3.50 3.40  
 
MNR-6   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:124     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPE VELOCITY 3 2 3 2 2½ 22 1 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 71% 0.40 0.80 W
ALTMEISTER 5 1 1 1 1½ 12 2 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.00 4.30 P
DEJOHN 6 5 43 4 4 49 3 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 20.00 5% 19.00 33.50 S
PERFETTO 1 3 2 3 3 37 4 (poole )RODRIGUEZ A 110 15.00 7.50  
CUMBER 7 6 67 713 718½ 725 521½ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 120 5.00 11.00  
JUST U AND ME KID 2 4 56 5 5 516 625½ (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 5.00 3.00  
TIGER'S ARROW 4 7 79 610 613½ 621 726¼ (montano wilfrido)BAEZ M 120 30.00 60.40  
SCR  CAPTAIN CREED               (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50    
 
MNR-7   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXALTED JOY 3 8 713½ 68 54 2½ 14 (vecchio car)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00 5.20  
SMASH 2 2 1nk 11 11 1½ 24 (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 120 8.00 15% 5.60 9.60 P
SECRET PATH 1 6 6 78 6 43 3 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 4.00  
ZERO GRAVITY 8 9 815½ 812 7 76 4 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 6.00 22% 3.60 12.40  
APPRAISAL 6 7 916 915 911½ 810 5 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 8.00 8.10  
ENJOY BASEBALL 5 5 43 44 44 5 6 (vickers richard)NEGRON LUIS 120 15.00 45.00  
STOMPING MOON 7 3 32 32 21 3 7 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 5.00 16% 5.30 4.10  
OBIWAN 4 1 2nk 21 32 64 813½ (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 22% 3.50 3.10  
LATIN SPICE 9 4 5 57 8 913 916½ (poole a)AVILES YAN 120 10.00 16.00  
10  STRIKE THE TOP 10 10 1018 1019 1019½ 1018 1022 (poole )RODRIGUEZ A 110 10.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
 
MNR-8   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTRANSIGENT 3 1 1nk 1nk   12 1 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 30% 2.40 2.00 DQ↓2
OUTGUNNED 5 2 2nk 2nk   22 2 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 1.80 36% 1.80 0.80 W
13  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY 8 3 32 3½   34 35 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 7% 12.80 3.40 S
HARPERSGONEFISHING 4 8 76 6   513 46 (cuttino marion )VEGA L 120 10.00 7% 13.30 34.80  
BRAZILIAN SEA 1 6 4 4   410 5 (sipp k)YARANGA Y 120 30.00 39.90  
MO TOWN BLUES 2 7 5 5   617 616¾ (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00 62.10  
STANDINGINTHEFIRE 6 4 87 711¾   721 721¾ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 20.00 62.80  
VASY SAYS NYET 7 5 65 813¾   823 824 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00 66.70  
SCR  BIG WAY               (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  IN THE GOSPEL               (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
SCR  MOON OVER DUBAI               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00    
SCR  NECCO               (murtough stephe)TAPARA LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  SEAX               (bracho j)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
SCR  VALUE ENGINEER               (zook w)WHITACRE B 118 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.