Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/3)-(6/3/8/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/8/7)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/7)-(4/1/5)-(1/7/5/8) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/7/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/5/8)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/6/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(4/8/7/2/10)-(5/3/13/4) 40 $2.00 $80.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/8/7/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/2/10)-(4/8/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (4/8/7/2/10)-(5/3/13/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/3/13/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/13/4)-(5/3/13/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/13/4)-(5/3/13/4)-(5/3/13/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SESSA SISU Aug20 Sep14 Aug18     (reed r)WHITACRE B 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SESSA by CONSOLIDATOR)
2  IF ONLY I BELIEVE         (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 20.00 10% 8.60    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  DEGAGE Sep10         (murtough st)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SACRIFICE by TEMPLE CITY)
4  FINAL NOTE Sep04 Aug12 Jul24 Jun30 May05 (marrero nestor)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
  (by FINALE out of DETERMINED LADY by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  ESTRELLA KIARA Sep17 Jul29 Jun14 May25 Apr24 (gerich fr)HERNANDEZ H 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
6  KINGDOM'S SPIRIT Sep10 Aug12 Oct01 Aug27 Jul30 (cook devin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
7  LUNA AMARILLA Sep04 Aug12 Jul20 May03 Apr17 (marrero)BRAVO MISAEL 118 3.50    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PLAYINTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
8  SUMMER DANCE Aug20 Oct03 Sep21 Aug12   (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JETE ETE by SUMMER BIRD)
 
MNR-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ANTIETAM May31 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (brown ronn)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.50    
2  MISS FORT Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 4.00    
3  GIRO KATE Sep11 Sep03 Jul29 Jul17 Jun19 (barker james)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
4  TAP N GLO Sep02 Aug06 Jul28 Jul02 Jun23 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
SCR  BIG BANG BLUE Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 120 5.00    
6  U SO MONEY BABY Sep11 Jul28 Jul08 Nov21 Nov05 (langley c)WHITACRE B 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  FIANNA HILLS Sep11 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 Dec06 (rodak ger)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  KINGSTON TIME Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jul10 Jun11 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
MNR-3   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S ALL ABOUT IT Sep09 Aug21 Aug05     (hayes leland)AVILES YAN 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of RETURN ENGAGEMENT by PUT IT BACK)
2  LASTSHOTATLIGHTNIN Sep09 Jun30 Jun18     (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 5.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of ARBITRAGEUR by BERNARDINI)
3  GENEROUS WOMAN Sep09 Aug21 Jul22 Jun14 May30 (ewell sr)VEGA L 118 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
4  YOUR TROPHY GIRL         (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
5  FIERY SIDE Aug21 Aug05 Jun18 Jun03 May19 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DELIGHTFUL MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
6  WAY OF APPEAL Aug21 Jul16 Jun23 May28 May07 (cady khalil)WHITACRE B 118 2.50    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
 
MNR-4   09/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSHY JAK Aug11 Jul03 Jun09 May12 Apr21 (poole c)AVILES YAN 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
2  GINSBURNED Sep01 Aug05 Jul22 Jun29 Jun08 (jansen kenny)TAPARA LUIS 120 8.00    
3  ACT OF VALOR Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Jul03 Jun11 (murtough st)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 12.00    
4  CHIEF HOWCOME Aug27 Aug19 Jul24 Jun24 May29 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00    
5  ALFIE SOLOMONS Aug25 Jul21 Jun17 May26 May07 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  STRIKE A BEAT Apr01 Mar17 Feb29 Feb15 Jan11 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
7  OFFUTT COLE Sep11 Sep01 Aug12 Jul08 Jun11 (snatchko a)VEGA L 120 4.50 27% 2.60    
8  ESTILO VARONIL Sep11 Aug26 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 (boyd t)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK ENTRY Sep01 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 May21 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 115 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  CATES SWOOSH Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
3  PROFESSIONAL Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul29 Jul16 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
4  UNCLE EARL Sep10 Aug18 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.80 22% 3.70    
5  ALMASHRIQ Aug18 Jul27 Mar13 Feb25 Feb04 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 3.50    
6  I'M A COOL MAN Sep16 Sep01 Jul31 Jul23 Jul08 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00    
 
MNR-6   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFETTO Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jul14 Jul03 (poole )RODRIGUEZ A 110 15.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN CREED Aug04 Jul17 Jun27 May04 Apr18 (viands gregory)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50    
3  JUST U AND ME KID Aug19 Jul31 Jul16 Jun23 May22 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 5.00 ★    
4  ESCAPE VELOCITY Sep08 Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 Apr23 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 71% 0.40    
5  TIGER'S ARROW Sep08 Jul30 Jul23 Jul08 Jul02 (montano wilfrido)BAEZ M 120 30.00    
6  ALTMEISTER Sep08 Aug21 Jul29 Jul03 Nov01 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 3.00 ★    
7  DEJOHN Sep08 Aug13 Jul15 Jun30 Jun17 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  CUMBER Sep02 Aug05 Jun22 Jun08 May27 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
 
MNR-7   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET PATH Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 May28 May08 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
2  SMASH Aug28 Aug13 Jun02 May13 Apr28 (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  EXALTED JOY Aug15 Jul24 Jul02 Apr09 Mar07 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 6.00    
4  OBIWAN Sep04 Aug20 Jul08 Jun09 May21 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  ENJOY BASEBALL Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (vickers richard)NEGRON LUIS 120 15.00    
6  APPRAISAL Sep11 Sep01 Jun30 Jun18 May28 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
7  STOMPING MOON Sep01 Aug15 Jul18 May28 May05 (joy j)WHITACRE B 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
8  ZERO GRAVITY Sep11 Sep01 Aug20 Aug04 Jul15 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
9  LATIN SPICE Sep11 Aug26 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 (poole a)AVILES YAN 120 10.00    
10  STRIKE THE TOP Jul07 Jun26 Jun10 Jun02 May13 (poole )RODRIGUEZ A 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-8   09/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZILIAN SEA Sep10 Aug25 Jul28 Jul17 Jul07 (sipp k)YARANGA Y 120 30.00    
2  MO TOWN BLUES Jul23 Jul01 May20 Apr14 Mar10 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
3  INTRANSIGENT Aug28 Aug14 Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
4  HARPERSGONEFISHING Sep09 Aug17 Jul30 Mar09 Feb10 (cuttino marion )VEGA L 120 10.00 7% 13.30    
5  OUTGUNNED Aug17 Jul21 Jun16 May10 Apr19 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Aug18 Jul23 Jul10 Apr08 Feb12 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 20.00    
SCR  SEAX Sep10 Aug18 Jul23 Jul10 Jun14 (bracho j)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
8  VASY SAYS NYET Sep10 Aug19 Dec05 Nov26 Nov14 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
SCR  VALUE ENGINEER Aug13 Jul14 Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 (zook w)WHITACRE B 118 2.00    
SCR  NECCO Sep10 Aug18 Aug07 Jul03 Jun18 (murtough stephe)TAPARA LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  MOON OVER DUBAI Sep11 Aug13 Aug04 Jul22 Jul14 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 6.00    
SCR  IN THE GOSPEL Sep11 Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 Oct10 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 120 30.00    
13  RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 Jan27 Jan13 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  BIG WAY Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.