Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-5   EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-5 $15.20 $6.20 69%
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-5-6 $56.40 $38.40 213%
    SFT (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-5-6-4 $91.10 $73.10 406%
CT-6   WIN (10/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    EXA (10/2/4)-(10/2/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $51.70 $39.70 331%
    TRI (10/2/4)-(10/2/6/4/8)-(10/2/6/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00  2-4-10 $87.50 $51.50 143%
    SFT (10/2/4)-(10/2/6/4/8)-(10/2/6/4/8)-(10/2/6/4/8) 72 $1.00 $72.00  2-4-10-8 $273.10 $201.10 279%
CT-7   DD (10/2/4)-(7/3/1/8/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00  2-3 $40.80 $10.80 36%
CT-8   EXA (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $13.10 $1.10 9%
CT-9   SFT (7/4/2/6/9)-(7/4/2/6/9)-(7/4/2/6/9)-(7/4/2/6/9) 120 $1.00 $120  4-2-7-9 $184.20 $64.20 54%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART WINDSOR 1 5 1     1½ 1 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 4.70  
RAN OUT OF TRAINER 4 3 2     2½ 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 0.60 54% 0.90 0.20 P
TRUE INDY 2 7 44     3 3 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 44.00  
LA MADDALENA 6 1 5     5 4 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00 31.30  
CRAFTY CANDYGRAM 3 4 3     45 512 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 15% 5.60 7.00  
MITOLE CANDY 7 6 716½     611 612½ (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 8.00 23.50  
ODDS ON MISCHIEF 5 2 6     716 717¾ (jones micha)ROBLES O 111 20.00 42.50  
 
CT-2   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:223 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE BULL 5 4 2nk     1½ 1 (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 122 2.50 37% 1.70 0.60 W
  (by BULLSBAY out of OVER YOU by OVERANALYZE)
COLLECTING ANGELS 3 5 3     3½ 2 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 20% 4.00 6.80 P
  (by COLLECTED out of BELIEVE IN ANGELS by FLATTER)
ZIP START 8 1 6     4 32 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 22% 3.50 2.10 S
  (by UPSTART out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
JUBA B WILD 6 2 1nk     2½ 4 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 20.00 32.20  
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
KEEP SHINING ON US 2 7 811¼     710½ 510¼ (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00 53.00  
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
POPPY MAC 4 6 45     5 611¾ (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 56.00  
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
SANABEL ISLAND 7 3 5     6 716½ (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
  (by REDIRECT out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
LOVE YOU A LATI 1 8 711¼     812½ 823¼ (barahona i)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 30.00 ######  
  (by HELLO BROADWAY out of LEMON LATI by CHARITABLE MAN)
SCR  HIT THE SNOOZE               (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CT-3   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:143     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ VINNO 1 2 1nk 1½   14 1 (murdock ste)ROBLES O 113 2.00 22% 3.60 0.80 W
INTERCEPTION 8 7 2nk 31   24 2 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.00 27% 2.70 1.90 P
APPEALING ROAD 2 1 6 54   46 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 8.00 8% 11.70 18.40 S
GONE WITH THE WYN 3 3 4 2½   34 412¼ (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 118 20.00 82.70  
LOVE OF GRACE 5 4 913¼ 910½   7 513 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 35.70  
JACKYSINTHECASTLE 4 9 8 7   6 613 (comi w)LEWIS M 117 3.50 10.30  
WOODEN SHIPS 7 6 56 65   57 715½ (knoblauch)BOCACHICA J 119 12.00 21% 3.70 27.10  
COUSIN WINNIE 6 5 7 88   810¾ 818½ (jones mic)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00 12.60  
10  CARA IN THE CITY 10 10 1013½ 1014   1016¼ 923¼ (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 15.00 51.10  
GLOBAL EMPRESS 9 8 3½ 44   912¼ 1027¼ (couchenour )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00 88.80  
 
CT-4   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:222 :46       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS LADY K P 3 5 11     1 1 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 4.00 3.50  
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
LOOK AHEAD 1 7 3     2 2 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 8% 11.30 10.00 P
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PREVIEWER by SKY CLASSIC)
CLIMATE CHANGE 7 2 53     4 3 (runco c)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 26% 2.80 2.20 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CAN'T STEAL MY JOY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
BLUSHING KAYLA 8 1 21     3 4 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.20  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
SUPER EMOJI 6 4 6     66 5 (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 9% 9.70 5.20  
  (by BULLSBAY out of RIGHT NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SUMMON THE GLAM 9 3 816½     910¼ 6 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 10.00 23.40  
  (by JUBA out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
LUNAR TICK 2 6 4     5 711¾ (figgins olli)LEWIS M 117 20.00 39.10  
  (by ALDRIN out of PRIZED ANNUITY by PRIZED)
WHY NOT DIXIE 5 8 7     78 812 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 68.60  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WHY NOT MORE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SWEET N TRICKY 4 9 916½     810 912¾ (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 25.50  
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-5   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:221 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONARY 3 4 2nk     1 1 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 115 1.80 60% 0.70 0.80 W
TALKING TEDDY 5 3 1nk     2 2 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.20 P
ONE CANDY CASTLE 6 2 5     4 3 (binning matth)ADAMS L 113 3.00 15.60 S
TAKE YOUR TIME 4 5 32     3 44 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 2.50 16% 5.40 1.10  
KING OF LUCK 1 7 7     710½ 5 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 ######  
DONNIE B 2 6 6     6 6 (barber bo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 18.20  
ESTRELLA FUGAZ 7 1 4     59 712¼ (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 116 15.00 61.70  
 
CT-6   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:221 :461       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLEY SIOUX 1 4 2     1 13 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.00 9% 10.30 4.00 W
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BIG JOE B 3 6 613¾     6 23 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.30 P
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  BIG BOY OVI 8 1 4     5 3 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 1.80 65% 0.50 0.50 S
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
EL MORITO 6 5 5     2 4 (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 8.00 7.00  
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
DIVA'S DEMON 7 2 3     3 5 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 119 15.00 29.60  
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
SHUFFLE 2 3 1     4 6 (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 119 20.00 52.10  
  (by ALLIANCE out of NUMEROUS MOVES by NUMEROUS)
MAJESTIC SUNDAY 4 8 722¼     711¼ 7 (straughn wil)LEWIS M 119 15.00 55.30  
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of TIZ SUNDAY by TIZWAY)
STRIKE THREE 5 7 837¼     827¼ 826¾ (brown ronne)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 119 4.50 7.40  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of EARTHLY RESERVES by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  CHAR BAR'S LEGACY               (lee steven )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 30.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of CARO KEY BAR by FIBER SONDE)
SCR  PEDAL TO THE MOON               (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 119 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
 
CT-7   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:124     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOMPING MOON 2 3 3 2   1nk 1½ (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 32% 2.20 1.70 W
MON GATEAU 1 1 1 1   2nk 2½ (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 11% 8.00 3.90 P
CASINO TRICKS 6 4 2 3   3 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 32% 2.10 1.80 S
Z U AT THE RACES 3 2 6 5   5 4 (binning matth)ADAMS L 115 20.00 32.60  
MOONSET 8 7 4 4   4 5 (frock charle)LEWIS M 117 15.00 20.90  
HERE COMES RUSTY 5 5 8 711½   814¼ 610¾ (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SCHMEAR 4 9 911¼ 812   612¼ 711½ (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00 62.80  
BON BUENO 7 6 7 6   712¼ 813½ (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
10  RUBYS FLASH 9 8 5 912½   923¼ 934¼ (maldonado j)ROBLES O 113 15.00 15.90  
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER               (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
 
CT-8   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:214 :452       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURREAL 6 2 1nk     11 11 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 34% 2.00 0.80 W
SARAH'S CANDY CAMP 1 5 2nk     21 21 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40 P
TWO BRONZE STARS 4 3 3     35 34 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 4.00 4.80  
BERTRAM FLIGHT 3 6 4     46 4 (mcgee john)ACOSTA D 120 12.00 31.40  
WHALE OF A RUN 5 4 6     5 5 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00 22.00  
POWERED BY LOVE 7 1 5     68 6 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 8.00 11% 8.20 11.00  
JLODIAMOND 2 7 716¼     712½ 710¾ (rangel rica)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 111 4.50 25% 2.90 3.00  
 
CT-9   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMSEY 4 6 54 12   13 1 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 19% 4.30 2.80 W
YANGARRA 2 2 43 3   23 2 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 11% 8.30 4.60 P
CROWN THAT SAINT 7 9 76 54   34 3 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 1.00 37% 1.70 1.10 S
FUJI FIRE 9 8 910 810½   59 412 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
UNDER THE OVERPASS 6 5 65 69   4 512 (maldonado j)ROBLES O 113 10.00 9% 10.60 7.00  
SOMETIMES I DO 1 1 21 4   7 619¼ (davis s)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 50.80  
BAYTOWN ADMIRAL 3 4 11 22   69 722 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 118 8.00 29.80  
KURUMI GO GO 8 7 88 913½   817½ 829 (rangel rica)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 50.00 98.30  
10  JANES JENSEN 10 10 1012 1016   1020 931¾ (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 20.00 66.70  
THOR'S LAD 5 3 32 7   919 1034¾ (campbell larry)RIOS-CONDE A 116 50.00 75.30  
SCR  RUN ROCKY RUN               (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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