Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(5/9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(5/9/3/7)-(8/1/7/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/7)-(5/9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/7)-(5/9/3/7)-(5/9/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/3/7)-(8/1/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/7)-(8/1/7/2/5)-(7/8/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/1/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2/5)-(8/1/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2/5)-(8/1/7/2/5)-(8/1/7/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2/5)-(7/8/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2/5)-(7/8/6/1)-(3/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/1)-(7/8/6/1/3)-(7/8/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/6/1)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6/1)-(3/4/5)-(10/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(10/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(10/2/4)-(7/3/1/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/4)-(10/2/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/4)-(10/2/6/4/8)-(10/2/6/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/2/4)-(7/3/1/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/2/4)-(7/3/1/8/6)-(6/2/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/3/1/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/8/6)-(7/3/1/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/8/6)-(7/3/1/8/6)-(7/3/1/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/1/8/6)-(6/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/8/6)-(6/2/7/1)-(7/4/2/6/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-8   WIN (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/1)-(7/4/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (7/4/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6/9)-(7/4/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6/9)-(7/4/2/6/9)-(7/4/2/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART WINDSOR Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 May30 May09 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 ★    
2  TRUE INDY Jul25 Jun20 May23 Mar16 Feb10 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
3  CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Aug01 Feb23       (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
4  RAN OUT OF TRAINER Jul25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 0.60 54% 0.90    
5  ODDS ON MISCHIEF Jul25 Apr18       (jones micha)ROBLES O 111 20.00    
6  LA MADDALENA Jul25 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep09 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MITOLE CANDY Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug10 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 8.00    
 
CT-2   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE YOU A LATI Jul18 Jun28       (barahona i)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 30.00    
  (by HELLO BROADWAY out of LEMON LATI by CHARITABLE MAN)
2  KEEP SHINING ON US         (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
3  COLLECTING ANGELS Jul18 Jun28 Jun08     (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of BELIEVE IN ANGELS by FLATTER)
4  POPPY MAC Jun28         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
5  OVER THE BULL Jun28         (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by BULLSBAY out of OVER YOU by OVERANALYZE)
6  JUBA B WILD Jul18 Jun28       (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of B'S WILD CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
7  SANABEL ISLAND         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of MIRACLE PRINCESS by MASTER RICK)
SCR  HIT THE SNOOZE         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of DAYLIGHT'S COMING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  ZIP START         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by UPSTART out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CT-3   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ VINNO Jul13 Jun15 May22 Mar08 Feb04 (murdock ste)ROBLES O 113 2.00 22% 3.60    
2  APPEALING ROAD Jul04 May23 Apr11 Mar20 Feb28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 8.00 8% 11.70    
3  GONE WITH THE WYN Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May16 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 118 20.00    
4  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Aug02 Jul04 Jun21 May23 May02 (comi w)LEWIS M 117 3.50    
5  LOVE OF GRACE May23 May13 Mar21 Feb08 Dec04 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  COUSIN WINNIE Jul12 Jun21 Jun13 May11 Apr18 (jones mic)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
7  WOODEN SHIPS Jun28 Jun08 May17 Apr20 Mar06 (knoblauch)BOCACHICA J 119 12.00 21% 3.70    
8  INTERCEPTION Jun21 Jun06 May16 Apr26 Feb21 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
9  GLOBAL EMPRESS Jul04 May23 Apr11 Mar20 Feb29 (couchenour )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
10  CARA IN THE CITY Jul26 Dec22 Nov23 Oct08 Sep10 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 15.00    
 
CT-4   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOK AHEAD Jul18 Jun28       (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 8% 11.30    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PREVIEWER by SKY CLASSIC)
2  LUNAR TICK Jul18         (figgins olli)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PRIZED ANNUITY by PRIZED)
3  BOSS LADY K P Jul18 Jun28       (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by JUBA out of LANDON DID IT by PERSONAL FIRST)
4  SWEET N TRICKY         (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  WHY NOT DIXIE Jul18 Jun28       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WHY NOT MORE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  SUPER EMOJI Jul18 Jun28       (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
  (by BULLSBAY out of RIGHT NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
7  CLIMATE CHANGE         (runco c)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CAN'T STEAL MY JOY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
8  BLUSHING KAYLA Jul19         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
9  SUMMON THE GLAM         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
 
CT-5   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF LUCK Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May25 May09 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
2  DONNIE B May18 Mar22 Feb28 Feb07 Jan12 (barber bo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
3  MISSIONARY Jul27 Jul20 Jul06 May25 May16 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 115 1.80 60% 0.70    
4  TAKE YOUR TIME Jul20 Jun29 May31 May02 Sep22 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 2.50 16% 5.40    
5  TALKING TEDDY Jul11 Jun01 May02 Aug31 Jul13 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ONE CANDY CASTLE Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May02 (binning matth)ADAMS L 113 3.00 ★    
7  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Aug03 Jul11 Jun01 May25 May09 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 116 15.00    
 
CT-6   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEDAL TO THE MOON Jul12         (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 119 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
2  HARLEY SIOUX Jul12 Mar28 Mar06 Jan03 Dec02 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.00 9% 10.30    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  SHUFFLE Jul11         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 119 20.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of NUMEROUS MOVES by NUMEROUS)
4  BIG JOE B Jul12 Jun28 Jun21 May30 May10 (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  MAJESTIC SUNDAY         (straughn wil)LEWIS M 119 15.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of TIZ SUNDAY by TIZWAY)
6  STRIKE THREE         (brown ronne)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 119 4.50 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of EARTHLY RESERVES by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  CHAR BAR'S LEGACY Apr25         (lee steven )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 30.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of CARO KEY BAR by FIBER SONDE)
8  EL MORITO         (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 8.00 ★    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
9  DIVA'S DEMON Jul11 Jun21       (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 119 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
10  BIG BOY OVI Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 Apr19 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 1.80 65% 0.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
 
CT-7   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON GATEAU Jun27 Jun20 May31 May10 Mar28 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER Apr29 Feb29 Feb01 Jan11 Jan02 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00    
3  STOMPING MOON Jul18 May28 May05 Apr09 Mar15 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
4  Z U AT THE RACES Jul25 May19 Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 (binning matth)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
5  SCHMEAR Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May16 Apr25 (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00    
6  HERE COMES RUSTY Jul11 Jun20 May31 May09 Apr18 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CASINO TRICKS Jul07 Jun15 May05 Apr06 Mar15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 32% 2.10    
8  BON BUENO Jul18 Jun27 May16 Apr25 Apr04 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MOONSET Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May24 Mar30 (frock charle)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
10  RUBYS FLASH Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 Mar29 Feb24 (maldonado j)ROBLES O 113 15.00    
 
CT-8   08/15/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Jul04 May18 Apr13 Mar29 Nov02 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  JLODIAMOND Jun15 Apr27 Mar16 Nov24 Nov02 (rangel rica)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 111 4.50 25% 2.90    
3  BERTRAM FLIGHT Jul04 May18 May02 Apr13 Mar22 (mcgee john)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
4  TWO BRONZE STARS Jul20 Jul04 Jun20 May31 May11 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 4.00    
5  WHALE OF A RUN Jul25 Jun21 May31 May10 Apr28 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
6  FURREAL Jul04 May31 Jan24     (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.00 34% 2.00    
7  POWERED BY LOVE Jul04 May18 May02 Apr13 Mar22 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
CT-9   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETIMES I DO Jul28 Jul06 Jun26 Jun16 May31 (davis s)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
2  YANGARRA Jul27 Jul05 Jun07 May26 May12 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
3  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 May31 Apr26 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 118 8.00    
4  RAMSEY Aug05 Jul04 Jun13 May25 May15 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  THOR'S LAD Jun28 Apr19       (campbell larry)RIOS-CONDE A 116 50.00    
6  UNDER THE OVERPASS Jul28 Jul06 May25 May05 Apr06 (maldonado j)ROBLES O 113 10.00 9% 10.60    
7  CROWN THAT SAINT Jul27 Jun28 Jun16 Jun08 May25 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 1.00 37% 1.70    
8  KURUMI GO GO Jun13 May25 Apr26 Feb22   (rangel rica)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 50.00    
9  FUJI FIRE Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 May12 Apr25 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  JANES JENSEN Jul06         (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 20.00    
SCR  RUN ROCKY RUN Jul04 Jun12 May25 Apr12 Feb28 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.