Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (1/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   07/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C J ALL THE WAY May09 Apr09 Mar20 Dec07 Nov21 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00    
NATURE OFTHE BEAST Jun13 May15 Apr24 Mar26 Mar11 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
O ROMEO Jun24 May07 Apr07 Mar10 Dec15 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
LAUDA SPEED Jun03 Apr25 Apr13 Apr02 Mar20 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
FISHING FOR FUN Dec06 Nov16 Oct31 Oct04 Sep13 (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GOOD Jun24 Jun05 May14 May06 Apr23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 3.00    
BAD LITTLE BEAST Jun11 May22 Nov19 Oct25 Oct05 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
SCR  FRONTLINER May06 Apr01 Feb24 Jan18 Jan03 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   07/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY TWO JAKES Jun18 May28 Mar27 Mar11 Feb21 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 3.50    
SCR  VILLAGE CAT Jun18 Oct12 Sep14 Jul18 Jun14 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
KISSING MEDALS Jun17 May28 May13 Apr22 Apr08 (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWISTED JUSTICE Jun19 May28 Apr11 Mar27 Mar12 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 115 2.00 68% 0.50    
LIGHTENING LOTTIE Jun18 May20 May08 Apr22 Apr08 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50    
HISTORYINTHEMAKING Jun28 Jun18 May29 Feb21 Feb07 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00    
I'M JAC'D Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 Nov20 Nov08 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
GHOSTLY REVIVAL Jun18 Apr11 Mar25 Mar11 Feb21 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   07/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE MUCHO Jun18 Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 Sep07 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  SABELLE May30 May04 Apr11 Feb05 Dec30 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
CHARGINA Jun18 Jun03 May22 Apr29 Apr10 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 18% 4.60    
SWEET BELEN May30 May22 Mar28 Mar19 Feb27 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
COROMANDEL Jun24 Jun03 May15 Apr20 Mar23 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
RUN FEARLESS May23 May05 Apr27 Mar21 Feb17 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 11% 7.70    
LILAC LACE Jun13 May22 May04 Apr03 Mar11 (yoder d)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
SKY Jun18 Jun11 May27 May08 Apr23 (casalinova tina)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-4   07/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM Jun19 Jun11 May30 May20 Jan10 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
GEH SCHNELL May27 May09 Apr09 Feb05 Jan10 (man)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
JACK'S ADVANTAGE Jun19 May27 May14 Apr23 Apr08 (schuster )PILARES P 123 8.00    
UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jun19 Jun05 May14 Apr23 Apr02 (castillo jabd)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 10.00    
KLAATU Jun19 May27 May09 Apr25 Apr08 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
OPEN OUT Jun19 May27 Jan10 Jan01 Sep27 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 2.50    
IT'S FATE Jun19 Jun11 May22 Jan04 Dec20 (sweazey scott)BRACHO A 123 4.50 7% 13.50    
CANDY CRUSHEM Jun30 Jun08 May18 Apr22 Feb19 (sweazey scott)AVILES YAN 123 5.00 30% 2.40    
 
TDN-5   07/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETTIN PEGASUS Jun11 Apr29 Apr11 Mar26 Mar07 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
EXACTITUDE Jun18 May06 Mar14 Feb29 Feb13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.60 27% 2.70    
CHECK OUT LINE Jun10 Apr29 Apr04 Mar17 Feb27 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
DANZA MAGIC Jun18 May18 Apr30 Feb20 Jan01 (yode)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
BISCAYNE BAY May30 May04 Apr01 Mar07 Feb20 (zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
BOOGIE BOOGEE Jun18 Jun03 May09 Apr11 Mar26 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-6   07/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON WISDOM May30 Oct13 Sep18 Aug30 Aug16 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 5.00    
R CARDINAL PRINCE Jun26 Jun05 May22 May06 Apr04 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 123 2.50    
STRIKE APPEAL Jun26 Dec28 Nov20 Sep26 Sep12 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 2.00 27% 2.70    
CUGINE Jun24 May20 Dec20 Nov29 Oct24 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50    
TOE TAPPIN LUKE Jun26 Jun05 Dec18 Nov20 Sep26 (sweeting crai)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
NAPA DUDE Jun13 May23 Apr29 Apr09 Feb05 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   07/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPTOWN Jun07 May14 Apr25 May10 Mar21 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
MANGA MAN Jun22 Jun07 May27 May04 Apr11 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jun13 May29 May01 Apr11 Mar06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 35% 1.80    
SEND ME ON Jun03 Mar18 Mar06 Feb24 Jan23 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
ROMANTIC COWBOY Jun22 Nov30 Oct24 Sep28 Aug26 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
INDIAN FEVER Oct02 Aug28 Jan25 Dec30 Sep07 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
MUTINY Jun18 May29 May08 Apr22 Apr04 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
TDN-8   07/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRY IF I WANT TO Jun04 May08 Apr21 Mar29 Mar14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 4.00    
LIAM'S LASS Jun13 May21 Jan13 Dec19 Nov21 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Jun13 May21 Apr25 Jan04 Dec19 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
GRACIE DANCE Jun13 May21 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
NEW AGE BAD GIRL May16 Mar06 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRAMA QUEEN May20 May01 Jan09 Dec13 Nov29 (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.