Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(2/3/4/1)-(4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/1)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/1)-(4/2/5)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/5/6)-(4/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(4/6/5)-(7/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEMORANDTHECHECK May04 Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb29 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Nov21 Oct31 Sep18 Aug08 Jun01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
LAZARUS PROJECT May08 Jan08 Dec12 Nov06 Oct21 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
FIRST CITIZEN Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 May31 May10 (jackson ja)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 39% 1.50    
MARLEY LUCK May08 Apr13 Apr02 Mar05 Feb12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 3.50    
COMPASS POINT May08 Apr25 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIA COMMAND Oct28 Oct10 Sep21 Sep04   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
CANELA FINA Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 Aug26 (lopez j)PILARES P 123 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
COWGIRLS HUMOR May07 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 (schuster rob)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
VERTISALUTE Oct10         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
NANCYFROMTHEBLOCK May07 Apr22 Apr08 Mar07 Nov28 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
MAC'S CAILIN May08 Nov28 Nov14 Oct10   (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
CORA CORONA Apr22         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 49% 1.10    
  (by CORFU out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TDN-3   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MAN CAN May14 Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 Feb27 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
KARAMEL CORN May14 May01 Apr23 Apr08 Feb28 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00    
MIDNIGHT MIKEY May06 Jan31 Jul31 Jun06 May06 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80    
ROYAL'D Apr29 Sep11 Aug09 Jul18 Jun15 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60 49% 1.00    
GOLDEN MONEY Oct30 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 123 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
TDN-4   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEN'S BATTLE Apr23 Jan23 Dec19 Dec06 Oct31 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG JAVA Apr23 Apr09 Jan31 Dec28 Dec15 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 2.00 36% 1.70    
SPECIAL BEACH Apr23 Mar13 Jan09 Dec27 Nov13 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
PRANCIPANTS Apr23 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 11% 8.30    
BANK BUSTER May15 Apr25 Mar25 Mar07 Feb27 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 3.00    
MISS OVER THERE May04 Apr23 Feb07 Jan23 Dec30 (manning richard)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00    
THEODOROPOULOS May15 Apr22 Mar20 Mar07 Feb12 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00    
 
TDN-5   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTIN May06 Oct30 Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.00    
BAREBACK FUN May09 Apr23 Dec06 Oct02 Sep06 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
SKY May08 Apr23 Apr10 Dec12 Nov13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
VARTON May08 Apr19 Mar01 Feb09 Dec22 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.40 41% 1.40    
CEVICHE May01 Jan31 Jan23 Jan08 Dec06 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY DIVISION May15 Apr22 Apr04 Mar18 Mar05 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
DR. ZARNETT May15 Nov30 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 (meyers shan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 5.00    
HIDDEN ACCESS Apr30 Apr09 Mar14 Feb14 Jan11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
MANGA MAN May04 Apr11 Apr04 Jan23 Jan01 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
THAT'S THE WAY May04 Apr04 Mar20 Mar11 Feb29 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 34% 2.00    
MISTER MOBIL May15 May04 Apr11 Apr04 Mar26 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEH SCHNELL May09 Apr09 Feb05 Jan10 Dec26 (manning richard)BOWEN ROCCO 123 15.00    
RUBINSTEIN May09 Apr25 Mar26 Mar14 Feb27 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00    
JACK'S ADVANTAGE May14 Apr23 Apr08 Mar14 Feb28 (schuster rob)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 2.50    
LEOMBRUNO May08 Aug24 Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
OPEN OUT Jan10 Jan01 Sep27 Sep13 Sep05 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CUMBER May06 Apr25 Dec20 Nov20 Oct25 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 2.00 21% 3.70    
KLAATU May09 Apr25 Apr08 Mar14 Feb28 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 5.00    
 
TDN-8   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LITTLE THINGS         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 9% 10.10    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of PRESERVATION HALL by DIXIELAND BAND)
BLUE MOJITO         (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 9% 9.80    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of ROCK HARD CANDY by RICHTER SCALE)
SCR  BOLD RUBY May08 Apr24 Dec13     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
WINGS OF HEAVEN May08 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  CORAL RIVERS May07         (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MI CANCION May08 Feb19 Dec11 Nov22 Nov07 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 118 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
QUICK RENDEZVOUS Nov28         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 60% 0.70    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.