Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - May 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(4/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/2)-(4/2/1)-(1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/3/6)-(4/1/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/7)-(4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/7)-(4/8/3)-(3/8/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3)-(4/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/3)-(3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3)-(3/8/2/1)-(9/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (3/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/1)-(9/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (9/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/6)-(9/5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/5/6)-(9/5/8/6)-(9/5/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC SULLIVAN Apr14 Feb25 Jan19 Dec29 Dec02 (miceli micha)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  J D FACTOR Mar24 Jan28 Nov24 Oct21   (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  THAT'S MONEY Mar24 Feb17       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
4  SPEED RUNNER Mar23 Feb03 Dec08 Oct08   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
5  PROPRIETARY TRADE Apr06 Mar07 Feb10     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-2   05/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERTRILLE Nov02 Sep15 Aug16 Jul19   (brown bruc)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
2  SURPRENANT COCCA Nov17 Oct20 Sep10 Aug12   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MACANGA Mar02 Feb03 Dec10 Sep10   (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  TINA BALLERINA Apr14 Jan24 Dec26     (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
5  AGRA Jan12 Dec16 Nov05 Sep16   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00    
6  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Mar17 Feb18 Jan14 Dec14 Oct29 (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 9% 9.80    
7  OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) Feb10         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  BLENHEIM BABY Apr17 Feb10 Jan03 Nov15   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/05/2024 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM License Fee Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK FREE Apr27 Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 Feb02 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
2  GAL IN A RUSH Aug11 Jul01 Jun03 Apr16 Nov17 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HUDSON RIVER GAL by DYNAFORMER)
3  LADY MILAGRO Dec31 Nov17 Oct28 Oct04 Aug11 (martin car)RIVERA R 122 3.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of TRIBECKY by SAINT LIAM)
4  DONTLOOKBACKATALL Mar31 Oct19 Sep14 Aug19 Jul10 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CELTIC ARCH by ARCH)
5  HONEY PANTS Mar16 Jan14 Dec02 Sep01 Jul22 (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of QUEENS CAROUSEL by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
SCR  HOT FUDGE Apr06 Mar09 Jan27 Dec09 Dec01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 0.80    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Apr25 Apr07 Feb29 Dec14 Oct27 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of ARTY'SKENTUCKYGIRL by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
BAQ-4   05/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPUTY CONNECT Apr05 Feb17 Feb03 Dec28 Dec01 (rice linda)LUZZI J 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
1A  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Apr27 Apr12 Mar29 Feb29 Feb17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 ★    
2  MY MAN WOODY Apr17 Mar30 Mar10 Feb25 Feb02 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00    
3  THANK YOU JON Mar29 Feb16 Dec29 Dec01 Nov11 (begg be)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  FLASHY ALEX Apr04 Mar21 Feb29 Feb03 Jan06 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 123 20.00    
5  BARGAINING POWER Apr04 Mar21 Feb17 Feb03 Dec30 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 118 10.00    
6  OPPORTUNITY SET Apr05 Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 Dec01 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Apr12 Mar08 Feb03 Mar30 Mar03 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00 ★    
SCR  FREEZE POP Jun15 May20 Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKSON'S DIXIE Mar30 Mar17 Mar02 Feb11 Dec29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 15% 5.90    
2  HARLAN'S BOND Apr12 Mar17 Feb29 Feb03 Jan12 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
3  TEMPERMENTAL Apr12 Mar10 Feb03 Dec08 Nov16 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
4  TRUE EMPRESS Mar17 Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Nov14 (martin car)RIVERA R 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
5  MY FIRST LOVE Apr18 Apr04 Mar15 Feb19 Jul02 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 15.00 14% 6.30    
6  LITTLE LINZEE Mar16 Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Dec03 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.00    
7  BACKED BY GOLD Apr13 Aug20 Jul27 Jul07 Mar03 (quick pat)CAMACHO JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT WORKER Apr12 Mar15 Mar07 Feb18 Feb03 (persau)GRISALES DANILO 123 15.00    
SCR  FACE ABARRIO Apr12 Mar22 Mar07 Feb25 Feb03 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.50    
3  BAD LARRY Apr28 Feb25 Feb02 Jan06 Nov17 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  WINNING CONNECTION Apr20 Feb29 Feb04 Jan01 Nov26 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  SINFUL DANCER Apr21 Nov10 Oct29 Apr15 Dec04 (figueroa da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
6  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Jan13 Nov11 Aug31 Jul22 Jul04 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
SCR  FEATHERS ROAD Sep28 Sep01 Aug26 Jul28 Jul04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50    
8  TWELTH MAN Apr13 Oct07 Sep28 Aug05 Jul01 (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Gold Fever Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCCHERINO Mar25 Nov11 Oct08 Sep09 Aug22 (velazquez )RIVERA R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLIMBUSTO by FIRST DUDE)
2  IRIDESCENT Apr20 Feb25 Jan27 Jan05 Nov30 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RESOLU by SMART STRIKE)
3  DONCHO Apr05 Feb13 Dec30     (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by MO TOWN out of SASSY REDHEAD by HENNY HUGHES)
4  BILLAL Apr06 Feb03 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAMBALINA by BERNARDINI)
5  YO YO CANDY Apr06 Nov05 Sep04 Jul15 Jun11 (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 124 20.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of YOLANDA B. TOO by TWO PUNCH)
6  ELIMINATE Apr06 Mar02 Feb10 Dec08 Oct27 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of I'M A LOOKER by HENNY HUGHES)
7  PIRATE Apr06 Sep04 Jul15     (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TREASURE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  MAXIMUS MERIDIUS Apr06 Mar02 Jan30 Dec26 Nov27 (reid e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of QUIET VIRTUE by TURKOMAN)
 
BAQ-8   05/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MR PHIL Apr27 Apr13 Mar17 Feb19 Jan06 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 5.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE Apr27 Apr11 Feb19 Feb09 Nov30 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
2  BOURBON'S HOPE Apr19 Mar30 Mar09 Mar03 Feb19 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 118 20.00    
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Mar30 Feb04 Jan12 Nov26 Nov03 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00    
4  CASH NOW Apr10 Jul23 May14 Apr15 Jan29 (sanchez-pinero a)CASTILLO A 118 30.00    
5  DOT'S DOLLAR Apr11 Apr05 Feb09 Jan07 Nov18 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 30% 2.40    
6  BRONX BOMBER Apr11 Mar08 Feb04 Jan12 Jan01 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORNING CUP Apr28 Oct21 Sep01 Jul01 May04 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
8  CHATEAU Apr27 Mar22 Feb19 Jan31 Dec30 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 6.00 ★    
9  AMUNDSON Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 Jan18 Nov30 (kantarmaci mer)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.