Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - March 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (6/3/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/8)-(6/3/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/8)-(6/3/9/8)-(6/3/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/9/8)-(1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/9/8)-(1/8/3)-(7/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-2   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(7/6/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3)-(7/6/10)-(10/5/3/2/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-3   WIN (7/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/10)-(7/6/3/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/10)-(7/6/3/10)-(7/6/3/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/10)-(10/5/3/2/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/10)-(10/5/3/2/11)-(3/6/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (10/5/3/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/2/11)-(10/5/3/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/2/11)-(10/5/3/2/11)-(10/5/3/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/3/2/11)-(3/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/3/2/11)-(3/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-5   WIN (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/3)-(2/1/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-6   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3)-(2/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3)-(2/1/5/6)-(1/11/7/3/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/6)-(1/11/7/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (1/11/7/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/7/3/9)-(1/11/7/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/7/3/9)-(1/11/7/3/9)-(1/11/7/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKYLERVILLE Jan27 Jan04 Oct23 Oct05 Sep18 (klopp randy)PAULY SUMMER 115 4.00    
2  CHICA DE ORO Feb10 Dec21 Nov05 Oct10 Aug28 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 125 4.50    
3  MOONSHINE DREAMER Sep26 Aug22 Jul25 Jun10 May12 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  ROCK THE NILE Feb24 Feb10 Jan04 Nov08 Oct11 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 8.00    
5  LUCKY SHORE Feb08 Dec27 Dec15 Nov13 Oct26 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 125 20.00    
6  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Jan27 Jan18 Sep30 Sep21 Sep02 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 125 4.50 41% 1.50    
7  CELESTIAL SPIN Jan27 Jan06 Dec08 Oct05 Sep21 (cristel j)CEDILLO ABEL 125 8.00    
8  LUCKY ANA Feb24 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Dec02 (douaihy m)CORREA L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  KIT CAN RUN Feb08 Jan27 Sep30 Sep06 Aug17 (gutierr)DE CRUZ 125 10.00 6% 15.20    
 
TP-2   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENCH Feb03         (vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  FAN THE FIRE Feb04 Dec17 Nov02 Oct07   (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 3.50    
3  REAPPLY Feb03 Dec27 Dec06 Oct31 Sep13 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEUS EX MACHINA Feb17 Jan18 Dec30 Feb04 Jan20 (garcia ge)CORREA L 124 15.00    
SCR  WRITE OFF JERRY Feb14 Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 (orantes r)MCKEE J 124 4.00    
6  FORT LOWELL Feb17 Jan27 Sep20 Apr13 Feb24 (anderso)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
SCR  LIBERTANGO Feb09 Jan12 Dec16 Nov18 Aug30 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
8  FLASH OF GENIUS Jun25 May28 Mar04 Feb16 Jan14 (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
9  BIG ELM Feb10 Jan10 Nov22 Oct30 Oct16 (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 126 4.00    
 
TP-3   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABITIBI Feb21 Jan24 Dec27 Oct19 Sep16 (esquivel )CORREA L 124 3.50    
2  SQUASH BLOSSOM Feb07 Jan10 Dec22 Nov22 Jul07 (ward dean)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
3  ALL I WANT IS YOU Oct22 Sep22 Aug18 Jul21 Apr23 (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 ★    
4  MISS FOXANN Dec06 Nov08 Oct15 Sep29 Aug31 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
SCR  PUFFIN Feb21 Jan31 Aug26 Jul07 Apr27 (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
6  ROSIA BAY Feb21 Mar02 Jan28 Dec15 Sep18 (bush s)HESS SARA 117 4.50 33% 2.00    
7  EFFICACIOUS Jan25 Dec15 Oct18 Jul25 Jun19 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
8  HONORABLE WOMAN Nov16 Nov07 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 (acevedo is)CORRALES GERARDO 124 30.00    
SCR  ZAPPLE Jan10 Nov20 Oct25 Sep16 Aug07 (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00    
10  BEL ARIA Feb21 Feb07 Jan10 Dec06 Oct10 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-4   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDISON Feb24 Feb07 Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 (evans ii)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
2  CAPITAL GAL Jan27 Jan04 Nov20 Oct30 Sep19 (hughes byron )CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
3  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Feb16 Feb01 Dec28 Oct07 Sep23 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
4  MY ANGELICA Feb09 Oct16 Oct05 Sep22 Sep09 (pinzon maria)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
5  KING'S LEGACY Feb10 Jan26 Jan03 Dec02 Aug23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Jan26 Dec28 Nov15 Oct17 Aug08 (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
7  I LIKEM Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 Sep23 Aug16 (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
8  DIVINE EXCHANGE Feb09 Jan26 Dec28 Nov30 Nov13 (west m)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00    
9  QUEEN OF CHILL Feb17 Feb03 Jan05 Dec21 Oct25 (heath destin)MONCADA IRVING 110 10.00    
10  HARVEY'S PRINCESS Feb07 Jan26 Dec20 Dec02 Sep18 (salas feli)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 35% 1.90    
11  UP IN ARMS Jan03 Dec21 Nov30 Oct17 Sep25 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   03/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREG'S HONOR Feb07 Jan26 Jan04 Dec13 Oct26 (cano juan )MELENDEZ MARIANO 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  PAYNTED Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 May31 Dec28 (cannon s)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
3  JARETH Jan31 Jan17 Dec21 Dec06 Oct26 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  CAPTURE THE GLORY Feb10 Aug30 Jun22 Jun06 May21 (gallagher willia)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
5  MERLIN'S SONG Feb21 Feb10 Jan04 Dec07 Oct18 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
6  CUT GLASS Feb01 Jan17 Nov01 Oct03 Jul21 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  ROCKET DOCKET Feb28 Dec30 Nov16 Nov07 Oct12 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
8  SAMI'S TROOPER Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec21 Jun01 (richard)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VIOLIN MAKER Feb21 Jan25 Dec30 Oct04 Sep01 (hernandez deb)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
SCR  HINDENBURG Feb10 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 Sep20 (brooks geral)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
11  DRAGON DREW Feb22 Jan31 Jan04 Nov17 Sep03 (cook brian)ROMAN A 120 5.00    
SCR  READY PURSUIT Mar01 Feb09 Dec21 Nov26 Nov10 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00    
13  J W RUCKUS Feb10 Jan25 Jan12 Dec21 Dec06 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
 
TP-6   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROLIC IN THE PARK         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 7% 14.10    
2  ADALENE Feb22 Jan31 Dec02 Aug19   (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
3  SHE'S SPLENDID Feb08 Jan18 Dec16 Nov17 Sep07 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M SO NAUGHTY Feb08         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00    
5  TWO SIP SALLY Feb14 Jan18 Dec14 Oct19 Sep09 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 59% 0.70    
6  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY Feb08         (brisset rodolp)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
7  GO GO STAR Feb29         (salas fel)CORREA L 120 20.00    
SCR  CHA CHA CHUKKA Dec28 Nov04 Sep28     (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00    
9  SYBARITE Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 Nov19   (vaccarezza ca)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  THUNDERS SONG Feb28         (gonzalez reina)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
 
TP-7   03/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Big Daddy Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEFFLIN Feb10 Jan12 Dec15 Nov04   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ROAMING by QUALITY ROAD)
2  OUR SHOT Nov18 Oct07 Sep02 Jul26 Jun18 (terranov)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FLEETHEART by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  ANTARES Jan27 Dec30 Dec01 Nov02 Oct08 (maker michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ALPHA CENTAURI by SWAMP KING)
4  HERE MI SONG Aug13 Jul22 May06 Apr08 Mar11 (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MI VIERA by DEHERE)
5  CANDY OVERLOAD Aug20 Jun04 May14 Mar11 Feb04 (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 22% 3.60    
  (by RELOAD out of MINI CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  STRIKER Jul01 Jun04 Apr01 Feb12 Nov27 (carroll josie)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of DREAMOLOGIST by TAPIT)
7  NIGHT TIME Feb03 Dec30 Dec15 Oct25 Sep18 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of SILENT JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  EYE WITNESS Oct07 Aug13 May20 Mar25 Jan01 (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GRACILIA by MR. GREELEY)
 
TP-8   03/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMER Feb23 Jan27 Dec16 Nov10 Oct19 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 127 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  THISPOINTINTIME Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 (morelos mate)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 20.00    
3  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Feb29 Feb07 Jan13 Dec22 Oct17 (caramori caio)CEDILLO ABEL 125 10.00 7% 12.80    
4  MONKEY ZONE Feb21 Jan31 Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 30.00    
5  SAN MARCO CITY Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 Nov29 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 127 10.00    
6  GHOST BIKE Feb08 Jan24 Jan11 Dec30 Dec01 (pasley alvi)PETERSON FERRIN 125 15.00    
7  LEGAL ATTACK (GB) Feb22 Jan13 Dec02 Oct21 Jun20 (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 4.50 12% 7.10    
8  PERFECT PAINTING Feb22 Feb08 Jan04 Dec07 Oct24 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 125 10.00    
9  SHOSHA Feb22 Feb07 Jan13 Dec27 Dec13 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  COMMANDER COMPTON Feb05 Dec30 Dec09 Dec01 Oct04 (kordenbrock matt)LEON SONNY 125 20.00    
11  P K WOOD Feb08 Jan04 Dec01 Nov01 Sep27 (salas fel)CORREA L 125 5.00 17% 4.90    
12  PANORAMA TRUCK Jan27 Jan11 Dec22 Aug23 Aug08 (acevedo is)CORRALES GERARDO 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.