Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - February 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(1/10/9/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(1/10/9/3/4)-(9/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-2   WIN (1/10/9/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/9/3/4)-(1/10/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/9/3/4)-(1/10/9/3/4)-(1/10/9/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/9/3/4)-(9/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9/3/4)-(9/2/1/8)-(3/2/5/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (9/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/8)-(9/2/1/8/3)-(9/2/1/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/1/8)-(3/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/8)-(3/2/5/4)-(7/1/13/14/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(7/1/13/14/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/4)-(7/1/13/14/4)-(1/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (7/1/13/14/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/13/14/4)-(7/1/13/14/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/13/14/4)-(7/1/13/14/4)-(7/1/13/14/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/13/14/4)-(1/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/13/14/4)-(1/5/8)-(3/7/2/4/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-6   WIN (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/8)-(1/5/8/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8)-(1/5/8/4/10)-(1/5/8/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/8)-(3/7/2/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8)-(3/7/2/4/9)-(6/9/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-7   WIN (3/7/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4/9)-(3/7/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4/9)-(3/7/2/4/9)-(3/7/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/2/4/9)-(6/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/4/9)-(6/9/3)-(6/9/3/11/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-8   WIN (6/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/3)-(6/9/11/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/3)-(6/9/11/3)-(6/9/11/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/3)-(6/9/3/11/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TP-9   WIN (6/9/3/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/11/4)-(6/9/3/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/11/4)-(6/9/3/11/4)-(6/9/3/11/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PIQUIN Feb01 Dec21 Nov01 Oct06 Sep13 (calvo kelsie)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00    
NEOKING Jan18 Jan03 Nov07 Jul19 May24 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
MODAZZLE Sep12 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 Jun07 (watkins m)MCKEE J 124 12.00    
FAST FELIX Feb07 Jan13 Dec27 Dec13 Nov30 (evans ii)LEON SONNY 124 20.00    
OFFICIAL BUSINESS Jan11 Dec21 Oct06 Sep14 Jul13 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  THISPOINTINTIME Feb07 Jan11 Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 (morelos)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
KID MARVELOUS Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec16 Sep24 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 0.80 45% 1.20    
THING Nov30 Sep14 Aug09 Feb23 Feb02 (howard jo)BERMUDEZ E 124 20.00    
 
TP-2   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECORD Dec08 Nov18 Oct08 Jul22   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
ANGEL ON FIRE Feb01 Jan10 Dec28 Nov24 Nov07 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00    
REDHEADEDSTRANGER Feb07 Jan13 Dec01 Nov11 Nov05 (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
COMIC BOOK Jan24 Dec29       (cline c)LEON SONNY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RITUALISTIC         (murphy cono)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
BLUE GUITAR Feb07 Jan13 Dec29     (douaihy m)CORREA L 120 15.00    
DESPERATE TIMES Jan24 Jan10 Sep27 Aug30 Aug10 (bright derrick)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
TOUGH AS NAILS Dec20 Nov02       (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
NOSHUGFORPOP Jul16 May27       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 7% 13.20    
10  MISCHIEF JAC Feb09 Feb01 Jan03 Dec13 Nov19 (richard)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
TP-3   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED FROST Jan18 May16 Apr25 Mar31 Dec07 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
NO TAPPIN OUT Nov29 Oct18 Sep28 Jan21   (morey w)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
ARMY GIRL Jan10 Dec21 Oct30 Oct05 Sep14 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 6.00    
KANT ELOPE Dec21         (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
KENDAL GRACE Feb07 Jan10 Nov29 Nov09 Oct25 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 12.00    
WILD ACCLAIM Feb04 Jan10 Dec07 Nov17 Oct12 (hamilton sar)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 20.00    
ESME Feb08 Dec27 Dec02 Dec10 Nov19 (king l)ASHTON GAVIN 124 30.00    
FEISTY MITOLE Dec17 Nov19 Oct14 Sep08 Aug13 (miller peter)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SONG OF NORWAY Sep13 Aug01       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
10  I GOTTA BOLT Feb07 Jan03 Dec15 Oct30 Sep05 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
TP-4   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAN THE FIRE Feb04 Dec17 Nov02 Oct07   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 5.00    
FIERCE ASSAULT Jan27 Jun17 May22 May11 Oct10 (eggleston tim)CEDILLO ABEL 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
GAMER Jan27 Dec16 Nov10 Oct19 Jul28 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 46% 1.20    
ROJA REDEMPTION Feb02 Nov08 Sep03 Aug18 Jun17 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
STIRLING'S GOLD Feb02 Jan06 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 (dobbsjr)DE CRUZ 125 10.00 9% 10.60    
SILENT SPECTRE Feb02 Dec21 Oct11     (morey e)FELIX E 118 6.00    
BREAKOUT STAR Feb08 Dec30 Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 (paque)ULLOA PATRICIO 125 12.00    
INNOCENT MAN Feb03 Dec29 Nov09 Aug22 Aug03 (navarrete anna)LEON SONNY 116 20.00    
HASKELLED Feb08 Jan24 Jan11 Dec15 Nov14 (delacruz mej)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 4.50    
SCR  JAY BIRD Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct15 Sep17 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 115 12.00    
 
TP-5   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND PIPES Jan26 Dec22       (lobo h)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of BIRKENHEAD by MIZZEN MAST)
OY VEY Jan12 Nov18 Oct20     (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
DRURY LANE Jan26         (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CARELLA by TAPIT)
STORMIN WILLIE Jan26         (newton troy)FELIX E 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of HUNDRED YEAR STORM by WAR FRONT)
SCR  AUSTIN STRONG Dec08 Nov10       (beckman whi)GARCIA MARTIN 120 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IMPAZIBLE WOMAN by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
TELESCOPIC Jan26 Dec22       (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of VISAGE by GALILEO)
HOW'S UR ATTITUDE Jan26 Dec22       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of DARING KATHY by WILDCAT HEIR)
WARRING THUNDER         (toye lin)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
PHREDDIE MAC Jan26 Nov25 Oct12 Sep15 Aug28 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
10  TITLE CONTENDER Nov23 Oct22 Sep22     (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00    
  (by TAPIT out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  ROARING RAPIDS         (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RANSOMED HEART by GALILEO)
SCR  SWEET FREEDOM Dec15         (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
13  ASK ARTHUR Feb09 Dec22       (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 10% 9.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of HEART OF MIDWAY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
14  THIS TIME Jan25         (maker j)LEON SONNY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LA QUEBRADA by MORE THAN READY)
 
TP-6   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DU MONDE Jan18         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
BEST MAN SPEECH Feb09 Jan06 Nov11 Oct17 Aug29 (lynch e)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
ASPIRING COMEDIAN Oct26 Sep24 Aug28     (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
MIDNIGHT AMBITION Nov11         (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
FAST AND READY Dec17 Nov12 Oct26 Oct01   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
STATELY ORDER         (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 12.00    
DASHED Feb09 Jan26       (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 20.00    
STAR OF CAESAREA         (amoss tho)CORREA L 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
LORD ZEKE         (manley steve)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
10  DRUNKEN SAILOR         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
 
TP-7   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST U TURN Feb09 Dec14       (rodriquez re)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00    
ELM STREET Feb01 Dec08 Oct12 Sep25   (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
BIG TAP Feb09 Dec09 Nov24 Nov13 Oct21 (asmussen steve)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
ACCONA         (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 108 10.00 7% 13.30    
MASTERY N POLISHED Feb01 Jan06 Dec09     (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.50    
BALLYCOTTON BAY Feb02 Jan11       (klopp randy)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
FAVORITE HAUNT Feb09 Dec29 Dec09 Oct11 Sep08 (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
STEAL THE RHODE Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 Oct03   (castaneda marc)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
I FEELUCKY TONITE Feb08 Jan04 Jul22     (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  VINO CALDO Feb09 Jan11 Dec29 Dec06 Nov18 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
11  KOLTEN'S PRIDE Feb09 Jan26 Dec27 Oct24 Aug26 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 30.00    
12  TEN BITS Jan18 Dec21       (short thomas)ORM CORY 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECT PRANKSTER Dec01 Oct11       (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  NASTY HABIT Feb05 Dec17 Nov19 Apr14   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.50    
SUPREMELY Dec29 Nov22 Nov02 Aug26 Jul31 (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZOOMER Jan31 Jan05 Jul02 May18 Apr22 (gerteisen adam)OUZTS W 124 30.00    
RIVOLI Feb01 Dec30 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 124 30.00    
SUNCROFT Dec23         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 1.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  ALL JOKES ASIDE Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Oct30 Sep30 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00    
OLAZABAL Feb10 Dec30 Sep20 Aug13 Aug04 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 124 15.00    
CODE NAME Jan12 Nov17 Oct28 Oct01 Sep01 (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00 24% 3.10    
10  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Dec20 Oct29 Aug13 Jul08 Jun15 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00    
11  SCOOBIE QUANDO Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00    
 
TP-9   02/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILVESTRE Jan31 Dec09 Nov17 Nov03 Oct13 (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 20.00    
MR. CUNNINGHAM Jan31 Jan18 Dec28 Dec06 Sep02 (meredith charl)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00    
LIBERTY BLUE Jan31 Jan11 Dec29 Dec07 Oct25 (adams l)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00 12% 7.70    
GOOD SOUL Jan18 Dec23 Nov08 Oct05 Sep20 (lucas wayne)LEON SONNY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HINDOSTAIN FALLS Jan11 Dec15 Nov14 Nov02 Oct04 (woodbury judy)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 20.00    
WARRIOR'S PLACE Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 Nov29 Oct31 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
COUSIN ODELL Dec06 Oct13 Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 (guerrero sal)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00    
STEP ON IT Jan25 Dec28 Oct09 Sep20 Aug29 (west w)CEDILLO ABEL 127 2.50    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Feb14 Jan24 Dec01 Nov04 Oct12 (brooks brian)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 4.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  RAL COPPERHEADROAD Jan11 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 (bush s)MOJICA JR 124 12.00    
11  GROOM LAKE Dec16 Dec01 Nov03 Oct20 Sep28 (vosler s)ORM CORY 124 12.00 7% 12.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.