Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (2/1/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/8/9)-(2/1/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/8/9)-(2/1/6/8/9)-(2/1/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/6/8/9)-(9/10/7/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/8/9)-(9/10/7/2/8)-(6/5/7/8/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-2   WIN (9/10/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/7/2/8)-(9/10/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/7/2/8)-(9/10/7/2/8)-(9/10/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/7/2/8)-(6/5/7/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/10/7/2/8)-(6/5/7/8/1)-(6/5/8/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-3   WIN (6/5/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8/1)-(6/5/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8/1)-(6/5/7/8/1)-(6/5/7/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/7/8/1)-(6/5/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/8/1)-(6/5/8/1)-(1/7/9/10/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (6/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/10/1)-(6/5/8/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/8/1)-(1/7/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/1)-(1/7/9/10/8)-(5/7/6/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/7/9/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/10/8)-(1/7/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/10/8)-(1/7/9/10/8)-(1/7/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/9/10/8)-(5/7/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/9/10/8)-(5/7/6/11)-(5/7/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/11)-(5/7/6/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/11)-(5/7/6/4/11)-(5/7/6/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/6/11)-(5/7/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/11)-(5/7/10/8)-(12/2/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/7/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/10/8)-(5/7/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/10/8)-(5/7/10/4/8)-(5/7/10/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/10/8)-(12/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/10/8)-(12/2/9/7)-(1/6/7/2/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (12/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/2/9/7)-(12/2/9/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/2/9/7)-(12/2/9/7/8)-(12/2/9/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/2/9/7)-(1/6/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/6/7/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/2/10)-(1/6/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/2/10)-(1/6/7/2/10)-(1/6/7/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANOLA Dec02 Oct28 Oct15     (laurato m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 6.00 18% 4.70    
BINGO'S DREAM Dec02 Sep15 Aug19 Jun03 Apr19 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
STATELY APRIL Sep06 Aug31 Aug11     (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00    
BLACK BULLET Nov22         (minguet ra)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
THE GODDESS NIKE Dec02         (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50    
LITERATI Dec02         (morey willi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.50 14% 6.10    
BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Dec07 Nov17 Sep02 Jul29   (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00    
MISS FABIANA         (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 11% 7.80    
PAMZ PALACE Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORNING REFLECTION Nov09 Sep28       (rarick lynn)LINDSAY CHAD 119 30.00    
11  HARD SPICE Dec08         (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 30.00    
 
TAM-2   12/22/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTICO Nov18 Nov11 Oct06 Jul28 Jun23 (downing william)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
VILLAGE PREACHER Dec06 Nov22 Sep25 Sep07 Aug17 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 121 6.00 6% 14.50    
STEEL HAWK Dec09 Nov22 Oct03 Sep17 May26 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
THREE O ONE Dec06 Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 Sep04 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 121 4.50    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Dec06 Oct19 Oct06 Sep24 Sep02 (mendieta al)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 15.00    
TUCKER ROAD Dec06 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 Sep16 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 12.00    
POSEIDONS MYTH Aug05 Jul01 May27 Apr28 Apr16 (ubide max)MENESES MARCOS 121 10.00 7% 13.30    
DIAL HIM UP Dec06 Nov22 Nov11 Oct06 Sep27 (mendieta ale)BATISTA A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
FROSTY THE SOLDIER Dec06 Nov25 Aug26 Aug06 Jun30 (richards rena)JARA FERNANDO 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  REMEMBER THE TUNE Jun30 Apr29 Apr05 Mar04 Feb11 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  ACTION DREAM Dec09 Nov25 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 (dobber a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 30.00    
SCR  BAD HENRY Dec09 Nov22 Oct20 Aug18 Dec30 (wasiluk peter )LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
SCR  SALTIN' THE RIM Dec09 Nov22 Oct11 Sep09 Aug27 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 121 2.50    
SCR  B G LEE Sep12 Sep04 Aug25 Aug05 Jul13 (philipp )GALLARDO A 121 3.50    
 
TAM-3   12/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATALINA KID Dec01 Nov24 Nov09 Oct27 Sep14 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Nov14 Oct11 Sep08     (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00    
NOBLE STAR Dec02 Nov04 Oct07     (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
KAPRIZOV Aug27 Aug13       (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 30.00    
IMPOSING RULER         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 112 8.00 16% 5.20    
ZHU DADDY Nov22 Oct23 Sep23 Jul19   (engler jeff)ALLEN D 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
JACK KEROUAC         (nunez mauri)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 14% 6.10    
JOE FROM KIEV         (nunez mauricio)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
EL ROJO VIVO Dec13 Jun17 Jun03     (mckathan kev)MORELOS E 119 15.00    
10  CODE ENFORCER Nov22 Sep03 Aug06     (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.50    
SCR  SAVAGE GAME         (cascal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  ADIOS FRANK Oct27         (vinson john )BATISTA A 119 10.00    
SCR  MR. LEFTY Dec10 Nov22 Sep06 Aug25 Jul27 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
TAM-4   12/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND LUVUBABY         (gurrola georg)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Dec09 Nov29 Jul01 Apr05 Mar19 (jones dou)HERRERA R 124 20.00    
D CITY GIRL Nov03 Oct01 Jun30 Apr28 Apr06 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 114 15.00    
EMPIRE GIRL Dec06 Nov29 Oct08 Sep22 Sep02 (romero rafae)MORELOS E 119 6.00    
TAP AND CHU Dec13 Apr15 Feb11 Jan22   (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
TESHIMA Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Sep23 Aug05 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
GLADIATORA Dec06 Nov11 Sep09 Jul01 Jun14 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 20.00    
THIRSTY DATE Dec16 Nov29 Dec26 Dec11   (mendieta ale)BATISTA A 121 15.00 5% 18.00    
MORENA DANCER May03 Apr15 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 (marrero nesto)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 8.00    
10  EXAGERADORA Dec06 Nov01 Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 5.00    
 
TAM-5   12/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEER DELIGHT Oct29         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 36% 1.70    
NOBLE FACTOR         (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
MAGIC HEART Oct08         (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00    
ALOHA MAN Oct27 Sep04       (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Dec02 Nov03 Oct22 Sep17   (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00    
LENA'S JAZZ Dec02 Oct14       (barbazoniii les)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
MORNING EAGLE         (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 8% 11.60    
SPECTACULAR LUCK Jul15         (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 119 20.00 8% 12.20    
BAHAMIAN NATIVE         (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00 8% 11.60    
10  TORREFACTOR         (loza efren )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  KING FALIERO Nov11 Oct14       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00    
SCR  MR RAMIREZ Dec02         (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
SCR  EHSAAN         (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50    
SCR  MOMMA KIM Dec02 Jul02       (nunn douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 2.50    
 
TAM-6   12/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMATE IRONY Nov29 Oct14 Sep22 Aug26 Jun24 (rodriguez dar)JARA FERNANDO 123 3.50    
ALBIE Aug16 Jun13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar10 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00    
LAST PROMISE Dec01 Jun03 May06 Apr29 Apr14 (nunez maurici)SOSA LAUREANO 116 12.00    
BRIGHT DEVIL (IRE) Dec01 Oct15 Sep17 Jul01 May27 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 123 6.00    
HERCULES Nov19 Oct07 Sep08 Aug27 Jun17 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
SHAKEM N BREAKEM Oct05 Sep06 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 (dominguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
SEICHE Oct31 Oct03 Sep20 Aug04 Jul06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00 33% 2.00    
PIYPA DE LYNDA Nov19 Oct15 Jul09 Jul01 May28 (marino gary)FERRER C 123 30.00    
PHARAOH FANCY PANT Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Aug17 Aug02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 15.00    
10  ZONIC Dec01 Oct19 Apr14 Mar18 Dec02 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 123 10.00    
11  OFF THE MEDS Dec01 Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 Jul26 (avila c)BATISTA A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   12/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACCIA BELLA Nov25 Nov04 Oct01 Aug17 Jul27 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00    
ANGELAS PARTY GIRL Nov16 Nov04 Oct11 Sep03 Aug20 (ryan s)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
SCR  DUNEEN BAY Nov25 Oct26 Sep02     (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Nov24 Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 Jul01 (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 121 4.50    
DIAMOND HANDS Jul29 Jul01 Jun03 Apr13 Feb26 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Sep04 Aug16 Jul28 Jul14 Jun04 (dini mike)FERRER C 118 10.00    
PERFECTLY GOLDEN Nov25 Sep21 Aug22 Aug11 Jun10 (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 9% 10.40    
LORRAINE'S LEGACY Oct19 Aug24 Jul13 Jun08 Mar12 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAP IT UP Oct28 Oct12 Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 (carvajal luis)JARA FERNANDO 118 6.00    
10  SINGALONG KAYLA Sep22 Apr23 Mar24 Feb22 Jan29 (carvajal )VARGAS A 121 12.00 5% 17.30    
11  IRAZU Nov25 Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 (jones dou)HERRERA R 121 10.00    
SCR  CLASSIC VINYL Oct13 Sep06 Dec16 Oct14 Sep07 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.00    
SCR  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Oct21 Sep30 Aug24 Aug04 Jul05 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
 
TAM-8   12/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Nov24 Nov09 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 30.00    
CAPTURE THE LION Oct06 Sep08 Aug05 Jul22 Jan19 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
CROCODILEHUNTER Nov24 Oct08 Sep02 Aug17 Jul15 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
SCR  MOUNSIEUR COCO Dec01 Nov09 Oct08 Sep09 Aug19 (gutie)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
FEAST Nov22 Sep03 Jul21 May29 Apr26 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 5.00    
SCR  AWESOME FLAY Dec02 Oct21 Sep23 Aug26 Aug12 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
IMPACTO Oct21 Sep24 Aug25 Jul23 Jun30 (smith ro)CASTANON L 120 15.00 7% 14.40    
BORRACHO Sep10 Aug20 Jul19 Jun14 May25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50    
SPY HUNTER Nov25 Oct29 Oct23     (d'angelo )VARGAS A 120 12.00 15% 5.70    
10  SARATOGA BANKER Nov24 Oct18 Sep17 Feb20 Jan15 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
11  WHERE PARADISE LAY Dec01 Nov01 Aug30 Jul30 Jun03 (downing william)CENTENO E 120 15.00    
12  MISH Nov24 Oct21 Sep23 Aug25 Jul15 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
TAM-9   12/22/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRATIA PRINCE Nov25 Oct05 Aug05 Apr26 Apr01 (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 120 4.00 36% 1.80    
BIRD'S EYE VIEW Nov29 Oct13 Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
VITALE Dec01 Oct26 Aug30 Aug06 Jul20 (clay pat)CASTANON L 121 5.00    
AZURE SKY Nov22 Oct13 Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 (mendieta ale)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
CASTAGNO Nov22 Oct27 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 121 6.00    
SANDY LANE KITTEN Nov29 Aug06 Jul22 May29 Apr16 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
VELOCE Nov22 Oct16 Sep26 Sep09 Aug18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 6.00 8% 12.30    
KYGO (GER) Nov22 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (dobles eliza)MORELOS E 121 3.50    
DAMIR Aug26 Jul27 Jun14 Apr08 Mar18 (galvan baltaz)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00    
10  BUSTIN UP Nov22 Jun06 May23 Apr12 Mar24 (romero rafa)ORTIZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CATATUMBO Dec01 Oct10 Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 12.00    
SCR  SPIRITUAL KING Oct26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (sacco grego)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 3.00    
SCR  CANNON'S ROAR Nov16 Oct22 Oct14 Aug19 Jul13 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.50    
SCR  MAKE IT BIG Aug18 Oct14 Jul29 Feb12   (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.