Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(1/4/7)-(11/4/10/12/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(11/4/10/12/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(11/4/10/12/1)-(1/2/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-3   WIN (11/4/10/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/10/12/1)-(11/4/10/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/10/12/1)-(11/4/10/12/1)-(11/4/10/12/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/10/12/1)-(1/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/4/10/12/1)-(1/2/3)-(1/5/7/11/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/5/7/11/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/5/7/11/9)-(8/4/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/5/7/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/11/9)-(1/5/7/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/11/9)-(1/5/7/11/9)-(1/5/7/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/7/11/9)-(8/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/11/9)-(8/4/6/3)-(3/10) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/3)-(3/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/3)-(3/10)-(10/7/9/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/10)-(3/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/10)-(10/7/9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/10)-(10/7/9/2)-(5/7/8/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-8   WIN (10/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/9/2)-(10/7/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/9/2)-(10/7/9/2)-(10/7/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/9/2)-(5/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/1/3)-(5/7/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN WOODY Sep22 Sep03       (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 3.50    
2  AWESOME FOR SURE Sep22 Aug26 Aug06     (abreu fe)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  SOLO IN PARIS Oct04         (persaud randi)LUZZI J 119 10.00    
4  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR         (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  RUDY RUDY RUDY Oct07 Sep14 Aug04     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.50    
6  DRINKING SOLO Oct04 Aug11       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 11% 7.80    
 
AQU-2   11/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Oct14 Sep22 Aug19 Jul08 Jun09 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  SOUTH STREET Oct07 Aug16 Aug10 Jul01 Jun02 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
3  PINE VALLEY Sep28 Sep11 Sep01 Aug10 Jul12 (jones e)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00    
4  DEPUTY CONNECT Oct19 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jun29 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
5  DISAPPEARANCE Oct06 Aug31 Jul04 Jun10 May06 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 115 10.00    
6  FIGHT FIERCELY Oct06 Sep01 Aug20 Jul16 Jun11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.80    
7  MUDVILLE NINE Oct08 Aug20 Jul30 Jun01 Apr14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5% 18.30    
 
AQU-3   11/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENEBRIS Sep15 Aug31 Jun11 Jun03 May21 (wilson f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPTAIN QUICK Oct13 Aug26 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 (milne joan)LUZZI J 122 6.00    
SCR  VOLKERT Oct05 Jul29 Jun23 May26 Mar10 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50    
4  CHARGING Oct05 Aug31 Jul27 May20 Apr26 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 24% 3.20    
5  R B'S THE BOSS Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 (magana j)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
6  BURN JAKEY BURN Aug17 Jul08 Jul17     (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00    
7  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jul04 May13 May05 Apr02 Feb10 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00    
8  HE'S GOT IT Sep14 Aug26 Jun02 Jan04 Nov28 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00    
9  TIVY Sep15 Aug31 Jul27 May20 Mar23 (antonucci j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
10  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Oct06 Sep16 Aug31 Aug17 May26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
11  GIROOVIN Oct06 Aug31 Aug17 Jul16 Jun11 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
12  CHARLIE FIVE O Oct14 Sep18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun03 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUPP Oct08 Sep22 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 115 2.50 51% 1.00    
2  JOKING WAY Oct13 Aug25 Jun15 Apr29 Mar05 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  HIGH STRIKE Sep22 Jul24 Jun25 Apr22 Mar17 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 7% 13.70    
4  STREET SWAGG Oct08 Aug25 Jul28 Jun11 Apr12 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
5  NARCISO DALI Oct04 Aug30 Aug13 Jan07 Dec01 (chichakly amira)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
6  PROVISION Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 Jul02 Jun15 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 12.00    
SCR  PRESIDENT Z Aug13 Jul23 Sep11 Jul03 Jun10 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  RIDE UP Sep16 Aug17 Jul14 Jun17 May20 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
 
AQU-5   11/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUGHTY DESTINY Oct12         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by DESTIN out of MO JUSTICE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  BELLS TOLLING Oct01         (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 15.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of LASTING APPEAL by A.P. INDY)
3  ARTEMIS GIRL         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of DANCING ONTHEMOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  MISS CITY GIRL         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CITY SCAMPER by CITY ZIP)
5  NO LAYUPS         (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CORNER THREE by SCAT DADDY)
6  BOSSY JEANS Sep15 Aug16 Jun29     (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
7  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Oct12         (barker edw)RIVERA R 114 12.00 15% 5.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
8  HOLDER CLOSE Sep28 Aug24       (ferraro w)RUIZ ELISEO 114 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
9  ASSISI         (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of ARIETTA by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
10  STARSINTHECITY Oct12         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
11  SHE TAKES CASH Sep16         (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 8% 11.90    
  (by STREET BOSS out of RESOUNDINGLY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
12  TSUKIMI Sep28         (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of SHINE UPON by CONGAREE)
SCR  PRACTICAL ROYALTY Oct12         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of YANQUEE REIGN by YANKEE VICTOR)
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF Oct01 Sep01 Aug09     (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 2.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
 
AQU-6   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROWTH MINDSET Oct13 Jan29 Dec17 Sep17 Aug13 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00    
2  WHENLOVETAKESOVER Oct13 Sep28 Jul07 Jun03 Apr13 (lakeman an)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
3  LITTLE SKIPPY Oct05 May05 Apr07 Mar19   (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
4  SWING DISTRICT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  GOLDEN PURCHASE Oct05 Aug17 Jul19 Jul04 Jun15 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
6  MAGIC CITY Jun04 May08       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 9% 10.30    
7  CHALKY CAT Oct15 Aug20 Aug02 Jul07 Feb24 (barker)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 12.00    
8  FRISKY JIM May27         (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
9  I LOVE CARA Aug17         (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 117 20.00    
 
AQU-7   11/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE) Jun17 Apr07 Oct22 Sep24 Aug28 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
SCR  ZAPRUDER Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 Jul03 Jun01 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
2  MAMA BANNED ME Oct06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul20 Jun15 (follett norman)RUIZ ELISEO 115 50.00    
3  BLAME D RULE MAKER Oct13 Aug19 Jun04 Apr15 Feb25 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 Mar04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  INTO IT Oct06 Aug23 Jun17 Apr08 Mar18 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  INTERNAL CAPITAL Sep02 Jul22 Oct22 Sep04 Jul29 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00    
7  GOOD RAPPORT Oct15 Sep14 Aug20 Jun15 May26 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
SCR  CARPE'S DREAM Oct06 Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 Oct16 (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
9  ADDICTED TO YOU Jul26 Jun25 May26 Apr22 Dec02 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
10  BARREL OF QUESTS Sep17 Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr08 (donk david)RIVERA R 116 12.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ARUBA (IRE) Oct06 Jul28 Jul08 May05 Mar25 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00    
SCR  NO REGARD Oct06 Aug03 Jul09 Jun04 May19 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SCR  THETHRILLOFVICTORY Oct13 Sep07 Aug03 Jun18 Jun03 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
SCR  MISTER ABARRIO Sep17 Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 Mar22 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Oct06 Sep03 Aug25 Jul14 Jun11 (milne joan)LUZZI J 123 30.00    
 
AQU-8   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO SALT Oct17 Sep10 Aug10 Jul02 Feb01 (volk scott)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 30.00    
2  I AM THE LAW Jan06 Dec02 Oct02 Sep05 Aug12 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 6% 14.60    
3  SYNTHESIS Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
SCR  ADERO Oct04 Aug22 Jul23 Jun18 May14 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00    
SCR  ALTERNATE REALITY Oct08 Sep21 Aug25 Jul01 May27 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
6  PORTOS Oct13 Sep21 Sep10 Aug18 Aug02 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 121 15.00    
7  BOURBON CALLING Oct01 Aug18 Jul16 Jun17 May05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 10% 8.60    
8  FULL SCREEN Oct01 Aug12 Jul20 Jun04 May07 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00    
9  CASTLE CHAOS Sep16 Aug13 Jul23 Jun03 Jun02 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00 9% 10.40    
10  WINIT Feb05 Jan06 Nov27 Oct29 Sep29 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
AQU-9   11/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY Sep15         (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 ★    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
2  FAST AND FRISKY Oct12 Sep28 Aug27     (abreu r)OLVER MADISON 114 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of IMPISHNESS by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  SPEIGHTS DANCE Sep16         (duggan p)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NESSELRODE by LEMON DROP KID)
4  DAME CATHERINE Sep28         (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MICHELE THE GREAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  DIVIDEND RECAP Oct12         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RESTRUCTURE by BLAME)
6  ARCHIVIST Sep16 Aug27 Jul27     (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of A TRUE PUSSYCAT by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  GRAND STREET         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of CLAUSE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Sep15 Aug16 Aug02 Jul14 Jun15 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by TAPIZAR out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
SCR  PRETTY UP Oct12 Sep15 Aug10     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
10  JINGLE JANGLE Aug27         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BOLD CHILD by FLATTER)
11  BERTRILLE Sep15 Aug16 Jul19     (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 30.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SILLY SISTER by BROKEN VOW)
12  BOXED WINE Sep15 Aug17       (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TEMPER MINT PATTY by CONGRATS)
SCR  LONE STAR WILDCAT Oct20         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of NICE KITTY KITTY by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  EKWANOK Sep28 Sep01 Aug10     (atras rob)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.