Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/7/1)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(2/4)-(2/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/6/7)-(8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(8/1)-(7/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/1)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(7/2/3)-(9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(9)-(3/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9)-(3/6/9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (9)-(3/6/9)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/9)-(3/6/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/9)-(3/6/9)-(3/6/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/9)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Sep22 Aug12 Jul09     (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of HONORED PROMISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  SPEED RUNNER         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SPEED SUCCEEDS by GONE WEST)
SCR  WONDER WONDERLAND         (romero r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of GENTLE GALE by STORM CAT)
4  BILLAL Aug25         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.00 43% 1.30    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAMBALINA by BERNARDINI)
5  LAMBETH         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SOUTH BANK by TAPIT)
6  LE VIN Sep23 Aug22       (romero raf)RIVERA R 119 8.00 20% 4.10    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NURSE DONNA by VINDICATION)
 
BAQ-2   10/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONDON LADY Sep21 Sep10 Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 123 15.00 13% 6.50    
2  RITAAN Sep18 Jul18 Jun19 May18 Mar25 (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 113 10.00    
3  BABY SOX Sep15 Sep04 Aug02 Jul02 Jun03 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 4.50    
4  RACHEL CAROLINE Sep22 Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul15 (frang)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00    
5  DIAMOND COLLECTOR Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Mar18 Feb09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 121 1.20 41% 1.40    
6  SERENADE SOLDIER Sep15 Aug11 Dec31 Nov19 Jan01 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
7  GUARDIAN ANGEL Sep22 Sep04 Jul09 Jun16 Apr29 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 113 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Beldame Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDING PRETTY Sep02 Jul29 Jul08 Jun04 Apr01 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 120 15.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of HIGH RENAISSANCE by GIROLAMO)
2  A MO REAY Sep16 Jul01 May05 Mar11 Feb04 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MARGARET REAY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  RANDOMIZED Aug19 Jul14 Jun09 Mar31 Jul24 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 0.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of FRENCH PASSPORT by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  NOSTALGIC Aug19 Jul19 Nov25 Nov04 Sep17 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
 
BAQ-4   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREDDYMO FACTOR Sep24 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun11 (jones edua)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00    
2  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Sep02 Aug11 Mar11 Feb09 Jan06 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 121 2.00 49% 1.00    
3  QUEENS MASTERPIECE May14 Mar24 Feb17 Nov19   (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
4  FANCYPANTS JULIANA Jul04 Jun05 Sep30 Jul28   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
5  CARBON Sep24 Aug09 Jul30 Jul13 Jun16 (younghans willi)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
6  CLOVER STREET Jul19 Jun15 May21 Apr23 Mar18 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 16% 5.20    
7  SIKUM Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 Jun27 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 6% 14.60    
 
BAQ-5   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Futurity Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S CHRIS Sep14         (dutrow richa)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 8% 10.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SEA QUEEN by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  PLEASE ADVISE Sep13 Aug20 Jul30 Jun22   (weaver geor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AMANSARA by WAR CHANT)
SCR  LAMORNA Aug20 Jul20       (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 115 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FREUDIE ANNE by FREUD)
4  WORKS FOR ME Aug27 Jun23 May18     (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of BELLA'S GAME by SOLDAT)
5  RUDDY BUDDY Sep09 Aug19 Jul27     (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of KATANGA by MAXIOS (GB))
6  JIMMYTHETOOTH Sep13 Jul27 Jul07 Jun16   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  APOLLO TEN Sep22 Aug25       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
8  BOOK'EM DANNO Sep09 Aug12       (ryan s)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 65% 0.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
BAQ-6   10/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3 ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET SWAGG Aug25 Jul28 Jun11 Apr12 Mar16 (miceli michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
1A  DEVIL'S CAY Jul28 Jul07 May18 Mar24 Mar02 (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
2  FREEDOM ROAD Aug05 Jul16 Jun21 May21 Mar11 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 115 8.00 17% 4.90    
3  KUPP Sep22 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May18 (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALTERNATE REALITY Sep21 Aug25 Jul01 May27 Apr21 (englehart chri)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
SCR  PROVE RIGHT Aug25 Jul28 Jul01 May20 Apr08 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
6  THUNDERIAN Sep16 Aug25 Aug12 Jul13 Jun25 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
7  THE KHOZAN ONE Aug27 Aug03 Jun30 Jun16 May20 (gonzalez claudi)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 54% 0.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Noble Damsel Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GERRYMANDER Aug19 Jul19 Jun24 May06 Apr07 (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
SCR  SALIMAH (IRE) Aug20 Jul13 Dec26 Nov13 Sep30 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
  (by EL KABEIR out of PROMISED MONEY by DARK ANGEL (IRE))
SCR  PANAMA RED (IRE) Mar17 Feb04       (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALLEGATION by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SCR  FLUFFY SOCKS Aug24 Jul15 May06 Oct08 Aug27 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BREAKFAST TIME by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MALAVATH (IRE) Jun17 Apr16 Nov05     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
  (by MEHMAS out of FIDAAHA by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
SCR  SPARKLE BLUE Sep09 Jul15 May27 May05 Dec26 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILK N' SAPPHIRE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  BALPOOL Jul01 May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar10 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of REMINGTON ROSE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
9  SUNSET LOUISE Aug09 Jul16 Jun16 May04 Oct30 (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
BAQ-8   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Matron Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESLIE'S LOOT Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 May04   (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of WICKED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE Sep07 Aug17       (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 120 8.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
3  SUGAR HI Sep03 Jul13       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 34% 1.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  TRICKY TEMPER Aug27 Aug09       (englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WINTER BOOK by RIVA RIDGE)
SCR  MARCO T. Sep04 May11       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
6  A PRIMERA VISTA Sep09 Aug17       (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00 6% 14.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of DAZZLINGSWEETHEART by DAZZLING FALLS)
7  JODY'S PRIDE Aug09         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB)         (appleby charle)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by KODIAC out of MISTRUSTING by SHAMARDAL)
9  DEVIL AT MIDNIGHT Aug28 Jul08 Jun18     (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PINATA CAT by TIZNOW)
10  LOVE TO EAT Sep03 Jul23 Jun30     (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of AWESOME FIGURE by PAYNTER)
SCR  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) Sep16 Jul20       (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
  (by CALYX out of SHINE by JIMMY CREED)
SCR  AMIDST WAVES Aug20 Jul29 Jun11 May04   (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TROUBLESOME by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
BAQ-9   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHASI Sep24 Apr08 Mar12 Feb02 Jan12 (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHE'S AWESOME Sep20 Jun12 May13 Apr21 Mar16 (klesaris steve)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
3  VIOLETS SMILE Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul09 Jun23 (ryan derek)RIVERA R 115 5.00 ★    
4  ALICE KRAMDEN Jul16 Jun16 May12 Jul27   (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
5  COOLCALM COLLECTED Jul02 Jun03 May13 Mar17   (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 120 1.80 64% 0.60    
6  HARLAN'S BOND Sep14 Aug09 Jul27 Jul03 May20 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
7  TRUST THE NUMBERS Aug25 Mar25 Feb12     (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.00 11% 8.10    
8  DOLCE SERA Sep22 Jul30 Jun01 May20 Apr28 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.