Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - May 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/1/3)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/3)-(6/4/3)-(1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(1/6/5)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(2/1)-(10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(10/6)-(8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-5   WIN (10/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/6)-(10/6/4/9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/6)-(10/6/4/9/7)-(10/6/4/9/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/6)-(8/1)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-6   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/5/9)-(8/1/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1)-(4/5)-(4/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/6/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKSONTHEBEACH May17 Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 Jun22 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 6% 16.50    
ARCHARCH CAT Apr04 Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Oct16 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 5.00    
SILVER MATT May08 Mar06 Feb23 Jan23 Jan11 (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
FISHING FOR FUN May08 Apr15 Apr05 Mar15 Feb09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
SOAKING WET May08 Nov19 Oct11 Sep09 Sep02 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 20.00    
ON SPOT Apr05 Feb07 Dec09 Nov12 Oct26 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
LED TASSO Apr26 Mar01 Nov25 Nov19 Oct22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 1.80    
 
TDN-2   05/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORLEANS STORM Jan26 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 Nov09 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50    
THANKSDAD May03 Mar22 Mar02 Jan31 Jan17 (poole m)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
TWINSPIREDJOEY May03 Apr24 Apr03 Mar21 Feb27 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.50 17% 4.90    
ACCURATE May03 Apr06 Mar22 Mar06 Feb01 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  CATMAN JACK Apr24 Apr03 Dec14 Dec01 Nov22 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50    
IMA BELIEVER Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Nov12 Oct26 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
TDN-3   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARSA May11 Apr26 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
PROPHETESS May03 Apr13 Apr04 Mar27 Mar16 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50    
SCARLETT'S AWISH May03 Apr13 Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE May03 Apr12 Apr04 Feb16 Dec21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
PROPER ETIQUETTE May03 Mar16 Dec30 Dec07 Nov19 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 10.00 8% 11.50    
BAREFOOT BEACH Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 (radosevich )SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 18% 4.40    
 
TDN-4   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEECHI May06 Apr10 Mar23 Dec01 Oct31 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
CUE THE BAND Apr24 Dec27 Nov17 Oct29 Sep26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Aug13 Aug02 Jul14 Jun17   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50    
SCR  APPEALING SENORITA May10 Apr10 Mar23 Mar06 Feb23 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
MARGARITA CINCO May06 Apr24 Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
SCR  HITCH CITY Apr27 Sep28 Sep12 Aug25 Aug08 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
DANZA MAGIC Apr10 Apr03 Mar15 Feb23 Jan23 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MAN CAN May08 Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 15.00    
DYNAMITE CLOUD May09 Mar06 Feb21 Feb02 Jan16 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00    
BIG OHIO May09 Apr11 Mar23 Mar09 Feb02 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
RECKLESS L J Apr26 Mar09 Feb13 Jan17 Dec27 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
HANSENATION May16 Apr27 Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 (juarez lorenz)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
SPIN DOCTOR May15 Apr26 Nov19 Nov12 Oct12 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
JACK BE FAST May09 Mar23 Mar01 Feb09 Feb02 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
SCR  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE May08 Mar13 Jan11 Dec12 Nov09 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 4.50    
RONNI'S STORM May09 Apr06 Mar23 Feb15 Feb02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
10  ROYAL'D Dec03 Oct04 Aug18 Jul19 Jul05 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 72% 0.40    
 
TDN-6   05/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DRAKE May03 Apr12 Jan24 Jan05 Dec14 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  FUEGO CALIENTE May06 Apr13 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 118 3.00    
AULD LANGE SYNE May16 Apr13 Mar27 Mar07 Feb27 (sondej amy)CULP BRIANNE 119 10.00    
YONDERING May01 Nov23 Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
GOOD IDEA Apr15 Mar16 Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 4.50    
VISKI JONES May16 Mar07 Jan25 Jan01 Dec15 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
MASTER OF WAR May06 Apr04 Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00    
GILES May06 Apr03 Mar14 Mar02 Feb22 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 61% 0.60    
STAGE READY May06 Apr16 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHOVILLE May02 Mar07 Feb16 Jan11 Jan02 (castillo jab)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50    
SHEZA HOOT May09 Jan02 Dec07 Nov10 Nov02 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
SWEET EMPIRE Apr12 Apr04 Mar16 Feb08 Jan26 (radcliff donald )RIVERA R 121 8.00    
BLACK BUTTE May02 Mar07 Feb16 Jan11 Dec30 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00 51% 1.00    
LILAC LACE Apr30 Mar22 Feb22 Feb07 Jan11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
ROSE RING May02 Mar29 Feb21 Feb01 Jan19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
SCR  FLOWZANO May16 Apr25 Apr10 Mar15 Feb22 (rivera n)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
WOLF EYES Jan31 Jan12 Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   05/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF THE LYON May06 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug13 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
EXACTITUDE May03 Apr26 Mar29 Mar08 Feb13 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 11% 8.00    
BROWNIE May06 Apr10 Mar02 Sep15 Sep01 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 10.00    
LADY JASPER Apr24 Mar21 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
SERGER Nov30 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul07 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
GLIMMERGLASS Feb07 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 5.00 20% 4.10    
HELLO SWEETS May06 Apr10 Mar21 Feb23 Dec31 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 4.00 12% 7.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.