Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - January 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (7/11/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/11/1/4)-(7/11/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/11/1/4)-(7/11/1/4/2)-(7/11/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/11/1/4)-(4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/11/1/4)-(4/1/8)-(7/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/8)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8)-(7/1/4/3)-(9/2/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3/5)-(7/1/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/4/3)-(9/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3)-(9/2/6/8)-(8/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-4   WIN (9/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/8)-(9/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/8)-(9/2/6/8)-(9/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/6/8)-(8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/2/6/8)-(8/7)-(1/9/3/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-5   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/12/9/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/12/9/6)-(8/7/12/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7)-(1/9/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(1/9/3/5)-(4/9) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-6   WIN (1/9/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/5)-(1/9/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/5)-(1/9/3/5/4)-(1/9/3/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/3/5)-(4/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/5)-(4/9)-(10/11) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TP-7   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9/10/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/9)-(4/9/10/6/5)-(4/9/10/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9)-(10/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TP-8   WIN (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/11)-(10/11/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (10/11)-(10/11/3)-(10/11/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONUNDRUM QUEEN Dec03 Oct21 Sep10 Aug21 Jun25 (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 11% 8.30    
2  NARROWS BRIDGE Jun22 Jun09 May11 Mar24 Mar09 (jarvis kathy)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 ★    
SCR  FASHION DIVA Dec17 Nov15 Oct12 Sep15 Jul19 (greenhill jef)BECKMAN ALICE 113 15.00    
4  CLEVER TALE Dec15 Nov30 Sep29 Aug22 Aug09 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  I LIKEM Dec17 Mar24 Mar03     (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
6  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Nov30 Aug30 Aug10 Jun24 May26 (grubbs l)FELIX E 120 10.00    
7  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Dec08 Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 Jan08 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  MISS OXBOW Dec17 Aug31 Jul26 Jun22 May26 (cline c)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
9  LA TOURISTA Dec03 Nov24 Nov06 Oct09 Aug28 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 5.00    
10  NO SNIVELING Oct11 Sep16 Sep01 Jul13 Jun10 (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
11  LOOKIN TO FLY Dec11 Oct13 Sep05 Aug12 Jul16 (morey willia)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 3.50 11% 7.80    
12  FORGLO Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 Oct10 Sep29 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
 
TP-2   01/04/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUALITY STAR Nov25 Oct21 Sep08 Aug14 Jul06 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 1.60 25% 3.00    
2  JUBILEE BRIDGE Oct13 Sep18       (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 113 10.00    
SCR  TWILA MAE Dec07 Oct26 Oct11 Sep29 Sep06 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 6% 16.50    
4  IDIOMATIC Dec07 May06 Apr02     (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
5  HIGH FASHION Nov20 Oct23 Oct02 Aug20 Jun24 (oliver vi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00 ★    
6  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Dec07 Nov04 Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
7  EDGEE ANGEL Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 Sep21 Aug28 (king barry)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
8  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Dec08 Oct13 Sep09 Aug06 Jul16 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00 6% 16.30    
 
TP-3   01/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY LIQUOR Dec01 Sep24 Feb19 Jan29   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
2  BANDIT SWANSON Nov24 Nov13 Oct20 Aug02 Jun19 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
3  KING KUMBALAY Nov02 Oct07 Aug22 May24 Apr08 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HENLEY'S JOY Dec04 Oct23 Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 6% 15.00    
5  GRADED ON A CURVE Nov11 Sep03 Jul09 May20   (judd cassandr)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 ★    
6  MAX EXPRESS Dec17 Nov24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 120 12.00    
7  EL KABONG Dec01 Jul09 May20 Apr13   (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
8  QUICK MASTER Dec06 Sep10 Aug09 Jul12 Jun07 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 5.00    
 
TP-4   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BOHEMIO Nov21 Oct23 Oct07 Sep30 Sep09 (esquive)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
2  BOA NOVA (IRE) Dec08 Sep09 Jul21 Jun21 May24 (miller kenny)RAMOS D 120 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  GRACEFUL KITTEN Dec08 Oct18 Sep14 Aug15 Jul17 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
4  THE BOSS FACTOR Nov13 Oct30 Oct21 Sep24 Sep13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 4.50    
SCR  PACHI Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 Sep20 Sep02 (martinez a)MCKEE J 120 5.00 8% 11.30    
6  SAMURAI SAINT Dec08 Nov15 Oct22 Oct10 Sep21 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
7  APACHE Dec12 Nov21 May11 Apr27 Mar19 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
8  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Nov07 Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 Jul29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  DRAGON DREW Dec17 Dec08 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  IMPROBABLE STORY Nov30 Nov12 Sep30 Sep21 Aug11 (king barr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
11  CUT GLASS Dec17 Nov02 Sep14 Aug23 Aug11 (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
 
TP-5   01/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAQAMAT Dec21 Oct09 Aug28 Aug11 Jun07 (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
2  LIAM THE BRAVE Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Sep22 Sep03 (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
3  MAGILLA Nov27         (arnold )DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
4  RAMPATIOUS Dec03 Oct16 Sep18 Jul31 Apr29 (o'neill d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
5  ADMIRAL TIM Nov30         (newton troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 20.00    
6  VERSATILE Dec09 Nov22 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (garcia israe)HALDAR J 122 15.00 ★    
7  TAP THE CANDY Dec09 Nov23 Oct08 Aug27 Aug05 (tomlinson mich)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  TUSKEGEE CAT Nov06 Oct02 Sep11 Aug25 May01 (wong jonathan)FELIX E 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
9  WORKINFROMHOME Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 Oct06 Sep18 (guerrero)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00 ★    
10  KINISON Nov22         (walden willi)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
11  INFLUENTIAL Jan21 Jan03       (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 122 15.00    
12  THE BIG MOZZ Nov19         (trujillo e)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  MR. YASUDA Nov09         (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 4.00    
SCR  OFF THE CUFF Nov11 Feb16       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
 
TP-6   01/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLETE Dec17 Dec03 Nov23 Nov01 Aug29 (cook jason)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  WATERS OF MEROM Dec14 Nov25 Nov16 Nov03 Oct21 (vasquez german)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
3  TILTINGATWINDMILLS Dec15 Nov16 Oct23 Sep07 Aug02 (gerteisen a)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
4  A REAL HERO Dec17 Dec02 Oct20 Sep13 Aug09 (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 ★    
5  TEXAS MAGIC Dec21 Oct21 Sep30 Sep10 Aug13 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
6  HASHTAG WINNER Dec02 Oct11 Sep25 Aug06 Jul07 (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
7  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Oct26 Sep22 Aug30 Jun09 Mar31 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
8  TAPERINEA Nov09 Oct02 Sep20 Aug23 Jul21 (ortiz al)MCENTEE GRACE 120 20.00    
9  PRINCESS NINA Dec07 Sep22 Aug22 Aug06 Jul23 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
10  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Dec07 Nov14 Oct29 Oct19 Oct12 (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
 
TP-7   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM RATE Dec09 Oct05 Sep05 Aug20 Jul17 (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
2  MORNIN' BOSS Sep15 Aug18 Jul19 Jun28 Jun02 (hernand)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
SCR  SEACHROME May11 Apr10       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
4  FEE Dec09 Nov02 Sep18 Aug05   (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 122 3.50 49% 1.10    
5  JILL JITTERBUG Oct03 Sep19       (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
6  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY Dec09 Nov19 Oct26 Sep16 Aug06 (danner doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 ★    
7  CASTELMOLA Dec09 Oct09 Sep09     (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 122 8.00    
8  VIOLENT WONDER Nov15 Oct05 Aug30     (lyster step)CHIRINOS ROIMES 122 12.00    
9  MEAN SUE Nov25 Oct26       (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
10  HURRICANE DEBBIE Nov05 Sep08 May05 Apr14   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 ★    
 
TP-8   01/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL RED CLOUD Dec14 Nov20 Nov03 Oct11 Sep30 (forston roy)HALDAR J 122 20.00    
2  KENTE KLARKE Dec21 Nov10 Sep14     (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 122 30.00    
3  GIGLIO Dec02         (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 ★    
4  ISABEL DE CLARE Dec14 Nov17 Oct20 Sep17 Aug14 (wojczynski jus)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00    
5  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Dec14 Nov21 Nov10 Oct27 Oct13 (mcbride barbar)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00    
6  OLIVIA'S JOY Dec14 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 Jul03 (gilliam james)BECKMAN ALICE 115 10.00    
7  SODDY DAISY Dec11 Nov10 Mar05 Jan22   (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 10.00    
8  REINA DE LA ROSE Jul30 Jul16 Jun04 May19 Apr29 (watkins)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS SOVELIA Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct20 Oct06 (edgell sharon)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
10  BIRD HUNTER Dec01 Nov03 Oct20 Sep18   (gorder kel)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 9% 10.40    
11  GIN N SIN Dec14 Nov20 Nov11 Oct17 Sep30 (roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
12  LONGLIVEROCKNROLL Nov13 Sep09 Jun17 May20 Apr30 (childers va)CHIRINOS ROIMES 122 30.00    
SCR  AKEDAH Dec14 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Oct11 (egbe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 20.00    
SCR  PUGLIA Dec15 Nov09       (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.