Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - December 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOLO SANTIAGO Nov19 Oct22       (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Nov19 Nov09 Oct26 Oct12 Aug30 (roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  FORREST CITY         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 12% 7.00    
4  MAHAL KITA Aug28 May27 May21 May11 Apr19 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 122 50.00    
5  BAYOU SHACK Nov14 Oct08 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 (fernandez e)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 8.00    
6  GENTLEMAN LOGAN Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 Aug23 (mullins scot)RAMOS D 122 20.00    
7  FORTITUDE SOUTH         (medina r)RODRIGUEZ A 115 15.00 15% 5.80    
8  LUTE'S ANGEL Sep28 Aug10 Aug03 Jul19 Jul01 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00    
9  TROPIC STORM Mar25 Mar02 Jan22     (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 ★    
10  BATTLING BAILIFF Jan21         (blair jordan)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00    
 
TP-2   12/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALK RADIO Nov01 Oct10 Sep22 Aug25 Aug09 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Aug03 Jul02 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DANCE THE DAY AWAY Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 Jan08   (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
4  MY GOOD FORTUNE Nov18 Oct26 Aug15 May18 Apr28 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00 ★    
5  LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Nov23 Nov12 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 (richardville)RAMOS D 123 3.50    
6  MAGICAL THOUGHT Oct28 Sep18 Aug04 Jun25 May14 (mora leandro)LEZCANO ABEL 121 12.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY NELLIE Nov09 Oct09 Sep20 Sep01 Aug18 (bends p)MOJICA JR 121 30.00    
8  INVALUABLE Nov12 Oct14 Sep01 Jul15 Jun17 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.60 23% 3.40    
9  MIDNIGHT FROST Sep29 Sep13 Sep06 Aug16 Jul11 (estvanko ri)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 30.00    
10  WITCH Nov06 Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 Jun30 (doran carl)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 30.00    
11  POLKA POLENTA Oct31 Oct13 Aug29 Aug16 Jul14 (davis j)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
TP-3   12/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN'S ROCK Nov18 Oct13 May09 Apr11 Mar04 (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00    
2  SAMURAI SAINT Nov15 Oct22 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 121 10.00    
3  TAKAFUMI (BRZ) Nov30 Oct22 Aug23 Jul14 Jun25 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  JUNIOR BUG Nov10 Oct11 Sep13 Aug05 Jul15 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 6.00 ★    
5  DOWN HOME KITTEN Oct11 Sep28 Sep16 Aug22 Aug03 (antonuik je)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FEROCITY Nov22 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 Aug26 (grubbs jamie)RAMOS D 120 4.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 Jul15 Jun24 (hamilton )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  TWO LAST WORDS Nov27 Oct11 Sep29 Sep07 Aug17 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 8.00    
 
TP-4   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGGESTED Nov02 Oct05 Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
2  KITCHEN FIRE Oct24 Sep26 May28 May11 Apr19 (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
3  ARMY SCOUT Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 120 15.00    
4  FEELING IT Oct13 Oct05 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 30.00    
5  LIVINGONTULSATIME Nov16 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Sep01 (brownfiel)BERMUDEZ E 118 15.00    
6  TOASTTORODNEY Oct11 Sep30 Sep08 Aug18 Aug12 (grubbs l)FELIX E 118 12.00    
7  GET HAMMERED Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Sep07 Jun18 (west aaron )CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00    
8  GRACEFUL KITTEN Oct18 Sep14 Aug15 Jul17 May13 (short thomas)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00    
9  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Oct06 Sep12 Jul13 Jul04 Jun22 (girten ti)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 9% 9.70    
10  DOUBLE ADVANTAGE Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 Sep01 Jul19 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 4.00 14% 6.40    
11  DRAGON DREW Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Aug23 Aug16 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 ★    
12  BOA NOVA (IRE) Sep09 Jul21 Jun21 May24 May12 (miller kenny)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  BOLD ADVENTURE Nov16 Oct27 Oct10 Aug28   (peterson annet)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIERO MAS Jan23 Jan01       (lobo h)RAMOS D 122 4.50 58% 0.70    
2  AMERICAN HEIGHTS Apr27 Apr02 Mar07 Jan29   (morey willi)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 3.50    
3  BELPERRON Nov19 Oct23 Aug07 Jul16   (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 5.00 ★    
4  MARTIQUE MISS Nov10 Oct18 Mar20 Mar06 Feb13 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  ROYALE DELTA         (mora leandro)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
6  THEDEVILYOUSAY         (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
7  WHITTLESEY Oct25 Sep26       (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 122 50.00    
8  STANDUP COMEDIENNE Oct18 Apr10 Mar12 Feb27 Jan22 (barkley jason)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
9  SEABROOK Oct07         (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
10  CAMI CAT Nov09 Oct17 Sep16 Jul30 Jun19 (foster eric)MCKEE J 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
11  LADY PELE Sep14 Aug20 Jul08 Jun18 Apr22 (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 ★    
 
TP-6   12/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY BAFFLED Nov13 Oct15 Aug19 Jul03 Apr09 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00    
2  CHEROKEE SONG Nov19 Nov12 Oct13 Sep13 Aug18 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00    
3  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Oct13 Sep09 Aug06 Jul16 May18 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 5.00 30% 2.30    
4  SOFT TOUCH Oct07 Sep06 Aug16 Jul12   (stidham mi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  VEZPA (BRZ) Oct23 Sep22 May19 Apr24   (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
6  MEJTHAAM Nov18 Oct07 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 ★    
7  KICK OUT THE JAMS Oct13 Sep29 Sep20 Sep09 Aug18 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
8  HERMANA Nov10 Oct17 Aug29 Aug06   (deegan joseph )ROCCO S 118 5.00 ★    
9  AWESOMELY SHY Oct26 Sep15 Aug08 Jul04   (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 12.00    
10  LEGERITY Nov25 Oct21 Oct02 Aug20 Jul03 (foster eric)MCKEE J 118 8.00    
 
TP-7   12/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RALLY SQUIRREL Oct07 Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr30 (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.50    
2  NEPAL UP Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul10 Jun19 (lobo h)RAMOS D 121 5.00 34% 2.00    
3  MISTER MAN Nov22 Oct31 Sep13 Aug17 Jul18 (blevins billy)PENA JONUELLE 111 15.00    
4  OUT WORK'N Nov25 Nov15 Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 123 15.00    
5  SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Nov09 Jun15 May12 Apr02 Mar04 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FERRYBOAT Nov03 Sep25 Aug31 Jul21 Jun21 (miller jerome)LEBRON VICTOR 119 15.00    
7  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Nov19 Mar04 Feb18     (deegan joseph )ROCCO S 121 8.00    
8  ROGUE ELEMENT Nov12 Sep29 Sep10 Jul17 Jul02 (hiles j)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 5% 18.10    
9  LITTLE ALEX Nov19 Sep29 Sep12 Aug16 Jul22 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 121 30.00    
10  NOMADIC FIGHTER Nov17 Oct26 Oct11 Sep07 Aug23 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU Dec01 Oct18 Sep27 Sep09 Aug31 (cundiff waylo)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
12  READY PURSUIT Nov10 Oct23 Sep30 Sep06 Aug22 (antonuik je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 20.00    
SCR  NICKY BEAR Nov07 Oct22 Sep09 Aug15 Jul08 (milosevic m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 10.00    
SCR  AVIANO Oct09 Aug20 Jul01 May06 Apr13 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TP-8   12/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RA'S AL GHUL Nov19 Oct16 Aug16     (colebroo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00    
2  GO VIRTUAL Oct19 Oct01 Sep20 Aug19 Jul22 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
3  ROBUST Oct14 Sep06 Apr24 Mar17 Feb26 (lyster stephen)ROCCO S 122 4.00 ★    
4  WATERBOY Sep21 Sep09 Jul13 Mar02   (merritt l)LEZCANO ABEL 124 12.00    
5  GIRO D'ORO Sep05 Aug15 Aug02     (pincins rober)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00    
6  OFFUTT COLE Oct26 Sep21 Jul15 Jun18 May13 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  SHERLOCKED May19 May06       (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 122 20.00    
8  LONGER VIEW Nov14 Oct26 Oct03 Sep15 Jun29 (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
9  PROTECTED AREA Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Sep15 Jul14 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
10  KICK ROCKS KID Oct05 Aug19 Aug03 Jul08 Jun24 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 122 15.00 6% 15.90    
11  MONTEREY PENINSULA Sep09 Aug25       (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 10% 9.50    
12  WHEN IN ROME Nov14 Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 Jul12 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  FLAGSTONE Oct26 Oct03 Aug19 Jul23 Jun29 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
SCR  PURSUANT Nov23 Nov08 Oct13 Sep19 Sep09 (egbert james)BAYS BROOKE 112 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.