Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (8/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/7)-(8/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/7)-(8/2/5/7)-(8/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/7)-(7/10/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/7)-(7/10/5/4)-(4/3/7/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-2   WIN (7/10/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/5/4)-(7/10/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/5/4)-(7/10/5/4)-(7/10/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/10/5/4)-(4/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/10/5/4)-(4/3/7/1)-(8/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (4/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/1)-(8/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/1)-(8/3/9)-(2/6/13/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (8/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/9)-(8/5/3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/9)-(8/5/3/2/9)-(8/5/3/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/9)-(2/6/13/5/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9)-(2/6/13/5/11)-(3/8/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-5   WIN (2/6/13/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/13/5/11)-(2/6/13/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/13/5/11)-(2/6/13/5/11)-(2/6/13/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/13/5/11)-(3/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/13/5/11)-(3/8/2/1)-(9/7/3/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-6   WIN (3/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/1)-(9/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/1)-(9/7/3/2)-(8/3/10/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (9/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/2)-(9/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/2)-(9/7/3/2)-(9/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/3/2)-(8/3/10/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/2)-(8/3/10/1/6)-(7/4/10/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-8   WIN (8/3/10/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/1/6)-(8/3/10/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/1/6)-(8/3/10/1/6)-(8/3/10/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/10/1/6)-(7/4/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/10/1/6)-(7/4/10/3)-(5/3/6/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-9   WIN (7/4/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/3)-(7/4/8/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/3)-(7/4/8/10/3)-(7/4/8/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/10/3)-(5/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-10   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1/9)-(5/3/6/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBIN SAGE Jan23 Dec20 Nov13 Oct10 Sep08 (fernandez )VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.00    
CANDY CAUSE Jan16 Nov28 Jul20 Jun04   (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 127 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  BONITA SONG Jan15 Dec18 Nov20     (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
SHES A GOOD ONE Jan26 Nov24 Oct30 Sep10 Aug20 (dalton miche)BARBOSA CARLOS 125 12.00    
CUMBERLAND FALLS Dec20 Nov27 Aug24 Jul04 Jun14 (begley greg)SERPA ANGEL 125 4.50 14% 6.10    
WHAT IF Jan17 Nov29       (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
THREE COINS Jan29 Mar16 Dec02 Oct10 Sep13 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
IN YOUR LIFE Jan23 Nov29 Oct18 Sep13 Aug29 (eurton peter)MONCADA IRVING 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TP-2   02/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31.9K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY KING AIR Dec19         (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
COLONEL CALIENTE Dec28 Nov27       (foley greg)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00    
AND THATS MY STORY Aug27 Aug05 Jul24 Jul08 Jun19 (greenhill je)MONCADA IRVING 115 12.00    
MISTER ROSSO Jan25 Dec12 Nov13 Oct28   (evans mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
TARTARIAN Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Oct23   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 6% 16.20    
OH PLEASE Jan16 Dec13 Nov23 Nov05   (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SPINBACK Jan18 Dec06 Oct06     (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  RIDE OF A LIFETIME         (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
DEVIL ANSE Dec19         (wal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00    
10  ALL THE LUCK Nov22 Oct30 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 (foley greg)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
TP-3   02/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOBO SALVAJE Jan24 Dec14 Nov17 Nov06 Oct18 (salas marceli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DEWY'S BEAST Jan30 Jan04 Dec12 Nov24 Nov10 (sal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 5.00    
FEAR AND LOATHING Jan17 Dec11 Oct01 Sep06 Aug19 (richardville tian)FELIX E 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
UPSIDE POTENTIAL Jan04 Nov08 Apr20 Mar01   (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
GO BALI GO Jan04 Dec12 Nov04 Sep30 Sep11 (nance j)DE CRUZ 124 5.00    
CHISELER Jan17 Oct18 Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 (vanden br)ROCCO S 124 4.50    
HUNTERTOWN Jan30 Dec07 Nov15 Oct16 Jun05 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 6% 15.80    
 
TP-4   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHION AFFIRMED Jan26 Dec19 Nov02 Oct15 Sep25 (pittman b)CORREA L 126 12.00    
SWEET VOYAGE Jan17 Nov23 Jan01     (hiles a)LANERIE J 126 6.00    
LUNAR SEAS Jan18 Nov21       (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
PURRFECT GIRL Oct19 Sep15 Aug02 Jun23 Mar31 (esq)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 10.00    
AMERICAN HONEY Nov16 Sep27 May31     (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 121 4.00    
ARGENTINIDAD Jan03 Nov23 Nov02 Oct09 Sep13 (segl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 126 8.00    
I AM THE SAUCE Jan17 Nov02 Oct09 Sep01 Jul21 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 126 3.50    
VANISHED Jan17 Oct23 Sep14 Dec14 Nov19 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 126 2.50 74% 0.30    
NEED A BIT OF LUCK Sep16 May20 Apr17 Mar02   (spicer t)JURADO EDDIE 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL PROTECTION Dec28 Oct26 Aug29 Jul13 Oct22 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50    
MERCANTE Jan26 Dec14 Nov02 Jul22 Jun02 (knippenberg b)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  TOOFAREASTISWEST Nov18 Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 Jun16 (trombetta )CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00    
ANCHOR MANNE Nov05 Sep26 Sep11 Aug15 Jul11 (toye li)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 20.00    
GAMER Jan26 Dec13 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 8.00 15% 5.90    
VERBAL Apr14 Mar16 Jan06 Dec07 Aug19 (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
LIAR'S POKER Jan26 Nov29 Oct05 Aug30 Jul21 (londono genevi)ROCCO S 124 10.00    
FRANZ JOSEF Jan25 Sep01 Jul24 Jun25 Jun05 (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
MY ROMEO LIMA Jan26 Dec14 Oct02 Aug17 Jul17 (brownfiel)CORREA L 124 20.00    
10  EL KABONG Dec27 Nov17 Oct19 Sep01 Jul29 (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 6.00    
11  RECORD TIME Dec28 Dec01 Oct05     (stidham mich)MONCADA IRVING 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  GUANARE Jan03 Dec07 May04 Apr06 Mar05 (vanden berg )BARBOSA CARLOS 124 10.00    
13  FIRST STRIKE Dec12 Sep22 Apr14 Mar01 Feb02 (lobo h)ROMAN A 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  READ ON Jan19 Nov24 Oct18 Sep15 May12 (del)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00    
 
TP-6   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24.7K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO ICE FORTHE LADY Jan23 Dec18 Oct01 Sep08 Aug25 (fletche)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DECREE Jan24 Oct10       (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 10% 9.20    
QUEEN OF HONDURAS         (vaughan edward)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 41% 1.50    
MELODITY Jan04 Dec12       (hernandez )VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 10.00    
SCR  CROWNED WITH GRACE Jan29 Jan02 Nov04 Oct02 Sep17 (richardville)RAMOS D 120 5.00    
MY ANGEL DOES Jan04 Dec18 Nov10 Oct06   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00    
ARE YOU A SPY Jan15 Dec18 Nov30 Nov10 Oct13 (bogle fergus)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
SPOT ON COOKIE Nov29         (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 5.00 17% 4.70    
 
TP-7   02/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P K WOOD Jan24 Jan03 Dec12 Oct08 Sep20 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00    
ROCKSTAR RED Feb01 Oct30 Sep25 Sep15 Jul29 (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
WISSAM SHARAF Feb01 Dec12 Oct22 Oct07 Sep26 (cazares jo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 8.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  DRUNKEN SAILOR Feb01 Jan17 Dec18 Sep21 Sep02 (pino michael )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.00    
BALLINDINE Feb01 Dec14 Nov23 Oct23 Oct10 (estvanko richard)FELIX E 124 30.00    
COOPERSTOWN Feb01 Dec07 Oct16 Sep25 Sep03 (danner do)CORREA L 124 5.00    
TOM'S SPIRIT Jan17 Dec07 Sep19 Aug23 Oct30 (cowans willi)RAMOS D 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
FIERCE ASSAULT Jan28 Jan07 Dec20 Dec07 Nov04 (egg)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00    
IRONSIDES Jan24 Dec26 Dec01 Nov17 Oct09 (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
TP-8   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOURGLORIOUSDAYLIS Dec12         (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 120 10.00 10% 8.80    
LEZIATE Jan24 Dec14 Nov23     (pion sylvain)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
AL GIMAAM Feb01 Dec27       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
KATE WINS Jan31 Jan17 Jan02 Nov20 Nov04 (salas marceli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
D'ORO ROAD Jan31 Jan02 Dec12     (radosev)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
POINT OF REFUGE Feb01 Dec20       (gonzalez lili)FLACO ARCELIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
KIM'S MONEY Jan29 Jan01 Sep10 Aug26   (foster eric)MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00    
SUNNY'S FLAME Jan24         (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
J'S NAUGHTY ANGEL Jan24 Jul30       (davis jos)CORREA L 120 15.00    
10  RABBLE Jan24 May25 Apr24     (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 3.00 11% 7.80    
11  CABARYN Jan24 Nov05 Oct16 Sep24   (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
12  FREE PASSAGE Jan29 Nov20 Oct31 Oct12   (galindo-torr)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 10.00    
SCR  REECHO Jan03         (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
 
TP-9   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($86K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSED BY FIRE Dec21 Nov01 Sep02 Jul14 Apr13 (eurton pe)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00    
JILL JITTERBUG Dec19 Nov14 Sep20 Aug29 Aug04 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 123 30.00    
QUIMICHIS Dec21 Aug12 Jul06 Jun09 May12 (gutierrez fa)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SICKLE DANCE Jan15 Dec05 Oct09 Sep19 Jun18 (danner kelsey)ASHTON GAVIN 123 10.00 5% 18.10    
HONEY HAULER Jul28 Jul07 May19 May06 Mar15 (wismer glenn)MONCADA IRVING 118 15.00    
MARMALADE SKYE Jan01 Nov29 Nov06 Oct09 Aug13 (jacobson david)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00    
NICE AS PIE Jan25 Dec14 Oct25 Sep20 May31 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 1.80 70% 0.40    
PURR SEA Dec21 Oct29 Sep08 Aug18 Jun29 (boyce m)DE CRUZ 123 3.50    
CURRENT CLIMATE Dec21 Nov14 Sep29 Aug31 Aug03 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 123 6.00    
10  LAURA'S CHARM Jan25 Oct24 Sep29 Aug29 Jul28 (kerrick lacy)LANERIE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-10   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MOTTO Jul09 Jun13 May09 Oct02 Aug29 (cazares jo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEA THE SKIES Jan01 Dec11 Oct24 Sep06 Mar25 (navarrete an)RAMOS D 125 15.00    
ODORICO         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 12.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  HOLDEN MICHAEL Dec19 Sep26 Sep08     (catalano )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
IDIOSYNCRASIES Nov04         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 125 2.50 56% 0.80    
BISATE Jan03 Dec13 Nov10 Dec23   (bogle fergus)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
ISWHATITIS Jan04 Oct09 Sep12     (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 20.00    
SUNDAY SURPRIZE Jan04 Oct15 Sep12 Aug29   (pittman b)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 125 20.00    
COAL BOSS Jan04 Nov05 Oct15 Aug10 Jun19 (foley greg)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 3.50    
10  HANDSOME RASCAL Jan04 Dec20 Nov04 Sep18 Feb09 (anderson susan)JURADO EDDIE 125 20.00    
11  PRICE IS TRUTH Jan03 Dec13 Nov07 Sep19 Jun29 (mckeever andre)ASHTON GAVIN 125 6.00    
12  TANEYCOMO Nov11 Sep16 Jul30 May16 Apr16 (paye jose)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 30.00    
SCR  UPTOWN TOM Jan23 Jan03 Dec20 Nov14 Oct08 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
14  PLUNDER Jan24 Dec12 Oct20 Sep17 Jul21 (wojczynsk)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.