Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.60 $1.60 20%
MVR-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $22.40 $10.40 87%
    DD (7/1/3/4)-(1/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-1 $35.00 $11.00 46%
MVR-7   EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-6 $12.60 $0.60 5%
MVR-8   EXA (3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $33.00 $9.00 38%
    TRI (3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-5-2 $16.85 $4.85 40%
    SFT (3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-5-2-8 $14.74 $12.34 514%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DATTTSAFANCYFOX 4 2 1nk 11½   13 11 (suarez ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.00 76% 0.30 1.20 W
1  MAGGIE 1 5 53¼ 42   23 21 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 1.80  
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN 2 3 31½ 54   35 35½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 11.80  
5  REDWHITEANDTACOS 5 4 41¾ 31½   45 46¼ (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 10.20  
6  ELIKA 6 6 63¼ 64¼   67½ 59 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
3  GIRL BYE 3 1 2nk 21½   55½ 69¼ (fle)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 ★ 6.40  
7  GENERAL GINNY 7 7 75¼ 77¼   710½ 713¼ (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★ 11.20  
 
MVR-2   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:231 :463 :594     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RAY'S EMPIRE 5 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 11½ (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 124 4.00 8% 11.40 1.70 DQ↓2
1  PARTY POOPER 1 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 21½ (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 3.00 1.60  
4  GRAND ZHOUL 4 3 32½ 31½   31 32 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
6  NATIONAL STORY 6 1 55¼ 44   54½ 42½ (jensen p)STOKES J 124 4.50 5.20  
3  GRAY DAY 3 6 45 54¼   43 52¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.50 61% 0.60 4.30  
2  BIG TIME FLIRT 2 4 620¼ 6100   6100 6100 (erd)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 5.00 40.90  
 
MVR-3   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD LITTLE BEAST 1 6 42 22   2½ 13½ (winters mich)HALDAR J 126 8.00 21% 3.80 3.80 W
2  FIRST CITIZEN 2 5 11 12   1½ 23½ (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 126 15.00 2.90  
3  KHALFANI 3 4 21 32½   33½ 36¾ (skelton cha)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 10.00 18% 4.70 5.70 S
7  MY MAN VITO 7 2 32 43   46 49¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 0.80 33% 2.00 1.60  
4  UNCLEJACKOMO 4 8 79¼ 79   68 511¼ (faulkner c)STOKES J 126 20.00 5% 19.00 29.30  
6  FISHING FOR FUN 6 7 53 55½   58 614¼ (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 2.50 4.70  
8  OPEN OUT 8 1 811¼ 813   814¼ 720¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 15.00 43.10  
5  DANCE MOVES 5 3 63¼ 68½   714 823¼ (haehn r)GONZALEZ A 126 20.00 ######  
 
MVR-4   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:214 :453       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLARS IN CHARGE 1 1 13 12½   13 11¾ (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 55% 0.80 3.60 W
2  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 2 3 23 22½   23 21¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 3.00 10% 9.00 0.70 P
7  K P SILVER BULLET 6 5 610 610   57 34¾ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6.90  
6  CONSIDER ME 5 6 56 45½   35 47¼ (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 22.30  
3  ONE RED CENT 3 2 33 34½   46½ 510 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 2.90  
5  MEROKEE 4 4 45½ 57   614 621 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00 53.70  
SCR  GILLIGAN               ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JOHN FITZGERALD 2 3 11½ 11   1½ 1¾ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00 2.00  
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  WILD DOMAIN 1 7 32½ 31   2½ 2¾ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 31% 2.20 1.50 P
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
4  SILVER IS A GIFT 3 2 21½ 21   33 34 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 122 3.50 17% 4.80 2.20 S
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
7  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY 5 5 66 63¾   46 410 (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 8.00 5% 19.00 32.10  
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
5  NATIONAL PUNCHLINE 4 6 710 77¼   79 510½ (jensen p)STOKES J 122 20.00 64.40  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
8  DRILL EM 6 4 56 43   56½ 611 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 10.50  
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
9  REMIX FROM PHOENIX 7 1 43 53¼   67 711¼ (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 12.00 16.30  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
SCR  DUO               (winters michelle)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
SCR  R C IRONSIDE               (don)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
 
MVR-6   12/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:15 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEPPER PIKE 2 2 11½ 11½ 1nk 11 1¼ (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.50 3.30  
5  MILLARD'S SMILE 4 3 21½ 32 32 31 2¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 11.20  
1  ROSE'S PEPINO 1 5 44½ 56 64 43 3¾ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 126 2.00 36% 1.70 0.40 S
6  SEE SPOT RUN 5 1 32½ 21½ 2nk 21 44¾ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 16% 5.40 12.20  
7  EXALTED JOY 6 6 54½ 44 42½ 55 56 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 13% 6.80 7.30  
3  VAIL OF HONOR 3 4 67 66½ 53½ 65½ 66¼ (higham nico)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 23.00  
SCR  REINVEST               (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LORD OF MISCHIEF 2 3 31 21½   1nk 13¾ (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 29% 2.40 1.30 W
6  GAVEL 6 1 11 11½   2nk 23¾ (rivelli larr)HALDAR J 123 1.60 39% 1.50 1.10 P
3  ROCKY'S EXPRESS 3 4 43 43½   34 36¼ (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 15.00 43.10  
4  CLOAK AND DAGGER 4 5 69 68½   48 410¼ (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 6.00 4.50  
5  VERBIER (IRE) 5 2 55 56½   69 513 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 6% 16.60 15.40  
1  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 1 6 21 32   58½ 614 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00 11.80  
SCR  HUB               (farrior )MARTINEZ A 123 3.50    
 
MVR-8   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:23 :471       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALL MY LIFE 3 4 21½ 2½   1nk 12½ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 62% 0.60 2.10 W
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of STONERAGEOUS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
5  RUFUS 5 1 11½ 1½   2nk 22½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KEY VISTA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
2  MISTER ROSSO 2 3 32 42   35 33½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 2.00 13% 6.70 1.80 S
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SHELTOWEE'S POINT by CALEB'S POSSE)
8  FAST LUCK 7 6 76½ 65   48 410¾ (short thomas)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00 5% 19.00 28.60  
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
1  LUKE'S LASSO 1 7 65½ 53   69½ 511¼ (short w)STOKES J 122 20.00 22.30  
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
4  SAVE FERRIS 4 2 54½ 75¼   59 611¼ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 15.00 44.00  
  (by MO TOWN out of SANDRA'S DAY by MR. GREELEY)
6  REASON TO BELIEVE 6 5 43 32   79¾ 715¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 122 6.00 2.20  
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  UNION SWAG               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOLID GOLD by STREET SENSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.