Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/3/7/6)-(4/3/7/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/5/4)-(7/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(7/1/3/4)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4)-(7/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/4)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/4)-(1/2/5)-(2/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/4/1/7)-(1/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/7)-(1/6/7)-(6/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(6/2/5)-(3/2/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(3/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5)-(3/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE Nov18 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 Sep02 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00    
FULL TIME STRUTIN Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 Oct19 Sep19 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
GIRL BYE Nov27 Nov06 Oct20 Sep29 Sep18 (fle)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 6.00    
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 May24 Apr29 (suarez ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.00 76% 0.30    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Sep09 Sep02 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50    
ELIKA Dec03 Nov18 Nov05 Oct28 Sep30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GENERAL GINNY Nov20 Nov04 Oct05 Sep25 Aug09 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
 
MVR-2   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY POOPER Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 Aug22 Aug03 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 3.00    
BIG TIME FLIRT Nov26 Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Aug19 (erd)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 5.00    
GRAY DAY Nov13 Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
GRAND ZHOUL Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 Sep14 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
RAY'S EMPIRE Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 Aug21 Jul31 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 124 4.00 8% 11.40    
NATIONAL STORY Nov26 Nov11 Oct09 Aug31 Jul31 (jensen p)WHITACRE B 124 4.50    
 
MVR-3   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD LITTLE BEAST Nov27 Nov12 Oct09 Sep24 Aug28 (winters mich)HALDAR J 126 8.00 21% 3.80    
FIRST CITIZEN Nov27 Nov12 Oct19 Sep30 Sep16 (castillo jabd)ZONETT KEYNER 126 15.00    
KHALFANI Nov27 Nov05 Oct23 Sep28 Sep14 (skelton cha)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 10.00 18% 4.70    
UNCLEJACKOMO Nov12 Nov04 Oct19 Oct11 Sep24 (faulkner c)STOKES J 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
DANCE MOVES Nov18 Nov07 Sep28 Aug31 Aug02 (haehn r)GONZALEZ A 126 20.00    
FISHING FOR FUN Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 Sep24 Sep05 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 2.50    
MY MAN VITO Apr11 Mar20 Mar03 Jan10 Dec27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 0.80 33% 2.00    
OPEN OUT Oct29 Oct11 Oct01 Aug21 Jul29 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 15.00    
 
MVR-4   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLARS IN CHARGE Nov07 Oct02 Sep01 Aug02 Jul26 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Nov21 Oct30 Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 3.00 10% 9.00    
ONE RED CENT Nov21 Oct15 Sep18 Sep07 Aug21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50    
SCR  GILLIGAN Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 (m)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 6.00    
MEROKEE Nov21 Nov12 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CONSIDER ME Nov24 Nov11 Oct28 Oct01 Sep18 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
K P SILVER BULLET Nov20 Nov04 Oct19 Oct07 Sep12 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  R C IRONSIDE Dec02 Oct28 Oct04     (don)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
WILD DOMAIN Nov27 Nov13       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
JOHN FITZGERALD Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
SILVER IS A GIFT Nov27 Nov13 Sep19 Aug31   (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
NATIONAL PUNCHLINE Nov27 Nov06 Oct28     (jensen p)WHITACRE B 122 20.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  DUO Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Sep25   (winters michelle)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Sep25 Sep16 (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
DRILL EM Nov27 Nov13 Sep25 Sep16   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
REMIX FROM PHOENIX Nov27 Oct09       (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
 
MVR-6   12/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE'S PEPINO Nov20 Nov06 Oct24 Sep20 Aug19 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.00 36% 1.70    
PEPPER PIKE Nov26 Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 Sep05 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
VAIL OF HONOR Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 (higham nico)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00    
SCR  REINVEST Nov19 Nov06 Oct11 Aug20 Jul16 (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
MILLARD'S SMILE Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 Oct03 Sep15 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
SEE SPOT RUN Nov20 Oct15 Oct01 Sep18 Sep02 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
EXALTED JOY Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
MVR-7   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Nov07 Jul25 Jun13 May21 May07 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00    
LORD OF MISCHIEF Nov27 Nov04 Oct25 Oct10 Sep22 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
ROCKY'S EXPRESS Aug17 Jun08 May02 Mar25 Mar07 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 15.00    
CLOAK AND DAGGER Nov07 Sep16 Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
VERBIER (IRE) Nov07 Oct19 Sep26 Sep03 Aug31 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 6% 16.60    
GAVEL Sep01 Jul31 Jun26 Jun04 May11 (rivelli larr)HALDAR J 123 1.60 39% 1.50    
SCR  HUB Nov27 Oct22 Sep24 Jun02 May09 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 123 3.50    
 
MVR-8   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUKE'S LASSO Nov25 Oct30 Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 (short w)STOKES J 122 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
MISTER ROSSO Nov13 Oct28       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 2.00 13% 6.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SHELTOWEE'S POINT by CALEB'S POSSE)
ALL MY LIFE         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of STONERAGEOUS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SAVE FERRIS Nov25         (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SANDRA'S DAY by MR. GREELEY)
RUFUS Nov25 Nov11       (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KEY VISTA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
REASON TO BELIEVE Oct30 Oct08 Sep30 Aug09 Jul04 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 122 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  UNION SWAG Nov25         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOLID GOLD by STREET SENSE)
FAST LUCK Nov25 Oct30 Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 (short thomas)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.