Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - October 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.60 $0.60 10%
MVR-3   WIN (2/4/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $21.60 $11.60 116%
    EXA (2/4/8/10/3)-(2/4/8/10/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-4 $88.40 $48.40 121%
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/4/8/10/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00  2-3 $115.20 $85.20 284%
MVR-4   EXA (5/2/7/1/9)-(5/2/7/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-2 $45.00 $5.00 13%
    DD (2/4/8/10/3)-(5/2/7/1/9) 25 $2.00 $50.00  3-9 $158.00 $108.00 216%
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/4/8/10/3)-(5/2/7/1/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50  2-3-9 $192.05 $154.55 412%
MVR-5   PK3 (2/4/8/10/3)-(5/2/7/1/9)-(8/6/9/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00  3-9-8 $112.70 $62.70 125%
MVR-8   EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-1 $40.60 $16.60 69%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 3 1 11½ 12   11 13 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 124 4.00 8.10  
1  ROLL ON BIG O 1 4 21½ 32½   21 23 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 1.80 0.90  
6  ORVILLE B 5 2 32½ 22   35 37¾ (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★ 3.50 S
4  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 4 3 56 47½   56½ 48½ (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 2.50 27% 2.70 4.30  
2  CLEVELAND POWER 2 5 45 58   46½ 58¾ (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 22% 3.60 4.10  
SCR  RED HOT POWER               (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
 
MVR-2   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:223 :463 :60     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLD HONEY 2 3 2nk 21   31½ 1nk (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 121 4.50 22% 3.60 2.30 W
4  SUGAR LOVES IT 4 1 44½ 43½   21½ 2nk (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 4.70  
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 4 33½ 33   11½ 3¾ (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20 S
1  KISSING MEDALS 1 2 1nk 11   43½ 49 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 4.50  
3  MISS BUMBUM 3 6 69 617½   615½ 517¾ (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 17.70  
6  CRYSTAL M 6 5 57 59½   513½ 623¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 14.20  
 
MVR-3   10/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:274   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KLAATU 3 2 21 21½ 32½ 22½ 11 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 9.80 W
4  MASON A. P. 4 4 32 31½ 1½ 12½ 21 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 21% 3.70 3.30 P
1  MONSTER HUNTER 1 9 98½ 96 54 44½ 32¼ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 13.90  
5  GAMBLER 5 3 64 43½ 64¼ 34½ 43½ (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 119 20.00 10.80  
7  OPEN OUT 7 8 86½ 85¾ 76¼ 57½ 55½ (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 15.00 25.40  
6  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 6 1 11 11½ 2½ 69½ 614 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 17.70  
8  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 8 5 43 53¾ 44 710½ 715¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 6% 16.40 4.80  
10  LEXATOGA 10 10 1012½ 1010½ 99¼ 811 816½ (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
9  FISHING FOR FUN 9 6 53½ 63¾ 87¼ 913 922½ (castillo jabd)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 9.10  
2  IT'S FATE 2 7 76½ 75¼ 1011¼ 1014 1023¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 46% 1.20 2.10  
 
MVR-4   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SUSHI Q 9 2 21½ 2nk   12½ 13½ (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
2  CARMEN OHIO 2 6 42 43½   35 23½ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 3.00 9% 10.60 3.60 P
8  TALE OF THE LYON 8 1 11½ 1nk   22½ 35¼ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 4.40  
6  SARAH JANE 6 4 77½ 77½   68½ 48¾ (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 16.20  
4  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 4 5 32 31½   45½ 59¼ (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 22.70  
5  AUJARA 5 9 66 55   58 69¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.00 61% 0.60 2.70  
1  FABULOUS CLOWN 1 8 910¼ 99½   911½ 713½ (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
3  CHECK OUT LINE 3 7 87¾ 88   710½ 814½ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 14.70  
7  BISCAYNE BAY 7 3 54½ 65½   810½ 914¾ (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 6% 14.80 8.10  
 
MVR-5   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WILDCAT BILL 7 2 21 11   12½ 15½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.90 W
7  CONDEMNATION 6 6 42½ 21   22½ 25½ (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 1.60  
4  GOOD MUSIC 3 4 31½ 42½   34½ 38½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 13.20  
2  GIFT OF OAK 1 7 74½ 64½   56½ 49¼ (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
9  MUCHO PRIMO 8 1 53 31½   46 511¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 6.00 18% 4.50 8.70  
5  STREAKY 4 3 86 85¾   610½ 616¾ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00 42.90  
3  HOTROD BOBBY 2 8 64 74¾   710½ 719 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00 6.20  
6  LUNCHATTHELIZARD 5 5 11 52½   810¾ 820¾ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 25% 3.00 12.10  
SCR  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE               (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
 
MVR-6   10/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:133 1:282   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOUBLE AGENT 2 6 612 511 59½ 31½ 1¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80 5.40  
4  GRAY TORMENTOR 4 3 44½ 48½ 47½ 21½ 2¾ (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 12.00 10.80  
6  GATHA'S SONG 6 4 34 36½ 22½ 11½ 31¼ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 120 3.50 14% 6.20 6.90 S
3  HIDDEN RANSOM 3 1 23 25½ 33½ 44½ 47 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 121 1.60 53% 0.90 0.30  
1  RAY'S EMPIRE 1 2 13 15½ 12½ 56½ 517¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
5  GOLDSTRIKER 5 5 510½ 614 617½ 614½ 623½ (smith larry)DIAZ I 121 6.00 26.60  
 
MVR-7   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:222 :454 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 8 1 3.2 1nk   11 11 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 57% 0.70 2.30 W
5  TWISTED JUSTICE 4 3 1nk 2nk   21 21 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 5.80  
6  EXPRESS FASHION 5 8 79¾ 77½   44 31½ (meyers shane)BRACHO A 126 12.00 43.90  
7  FOREVER UNCAPTURED 6 6 42¼ 31½   31½ 43¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 4.70  
8  REDWHITEANDTACOS 7 4 53¾ 66   66 59 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 14.30  
4  QUEENIE ROSE 3 2 811¼ 810½   88½ 69 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
1  THE MIRACLE KIUT 1 7 64¾ 43½   56 79½ (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 10% 8.90 2.00  
2  EXACTITUDE 2 5 2nk 55½   78 817 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS               (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :472       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAKE FIVE CHARLIE 5 5 11½ 12   12 14¼ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.50 44% 1.30 0.70 W
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of PAOLA by MISREMEMBERED)
1  BIGPICLITTLEPIC 1 6 54 55   22 24¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 122 15.00 9% 9.70 20.20 P
  (by QURBAAN out of LOOKTHEOTHERWAY by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
3  FOURDATESFORHOCO 3 4 42 44½   34½ 311½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 2.20  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  JUDY'S COMET 4 3 32 34½   46 414¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00 12.00  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
2  MY VALENTINO 2 8 88¾ 815½   68 517¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 122 20.00 9% 9.70 11.20  
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
6  SMOKE N MOONSHINE 6 7 75¾ 69   79 619½ (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 12.00 9% 10.60 10.20  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of DOWN ON COPPERLINE by MUTAKDDIM)
9  MOR STORMY 8 1 21½ 22   58 721 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 39.40  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
8  MY BABY BULLET 7 2 65½ 79½   819 833¾ (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00 30.30  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
SCR  BLESSEDNOTLUCKY               (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  NIGIRI               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CHLOE KATE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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