Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - October 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/2/3)-(2/4/8/10/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/4/8/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/4/8/10/3)-(5/2/7/1/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-3   WIN (2/4/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/10/3)-(2/4/8/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/10/3)-(2/4/8/10/3)-(2/4/8/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/8/10/3)-(5/2/7/1/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/10/3)-(5/2/7/1/9)-(8/6/9/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/2/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/1/9)-(5/2/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/1/9)-(5/2/7/1/9)-(5/2/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/7/1/9)-(8/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/1/9)-(8/6/9/2)-(3/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/9/2)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/9/2)-(3/6/1)-(9/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(9/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(9/1/4/2)-(5/1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/2)-(9/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/2)-(9/1/4/2)-(9/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/4/2)-(5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON BIG O Oct01 Sep04 Aug22 Jul31 Jul15 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 1.80    
2  CLEVELAND POWER Oct01 Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
3  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Oct08 Sep19 Aug12 Jul17 Jul10 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 124 4.00    
4  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jun04 May15 Apr24 Feb28 Jan24 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  RED HOT POWER Oct19 Oct11 Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
6  ORVILLE B Oct03 Sep12 Jul31 Jun19 May28 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSING MEDALS Oct07 Sep17 Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50    
2  GOLD HONEY Jul11 Jun03 May14 Apr13 Mar28 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  MISS BUMBUM Oct03 Sep04 Aug08 Jul19 Jun22 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUGAR LOVES IT Oct01 Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00    
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Oct01 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jun24 (rone mik)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  CRYSTAL M Sep28 Sep19 Aug29 Jul31 Jul15 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   10/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONSTER HUNTER Oct11 Sep25 Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
2  IT'S FATE Oct10 Sep19 Aug21 Jul09 Jun19 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  KLAATU Oct11 Sep12 Aug21 Jul29 Jul09 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MASON A. P. Aug02 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May18 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  GAMBLER Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jul13 (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 119 20.00    
6  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Oct11 Aug15 Jul23 Jun17 Nov15 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
7  OPEN OUT Oct11 Oct01 Aug21 Jul29 Jul09 (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
8  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Oct22 Sep30 Jul30 Jul08 May27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50 6% 16.40    
9  FISHING FOR FUN Sep24 Sep05 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (castillo jabd)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
10  LEXATOGA Oct11 Sep24 Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS CLOWN Oct11 Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 (jackson jam)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARMEN OHIO Oct11 Sep03 Aug14 Jun27 Jun08 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 3.00 9% 10.60    
3  CHECK OUT LINE Oct11 Aug14 Jul17 Jul09 Jun10 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
4  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Oct19 Sep30 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
5  AUJARA Oct03 Aug15 Jun05 Feb12 Jan23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 2.00 61% 0.60    
6  SARAH JANE Oct03 Sep14 Jul25 Jul04 May31 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
7  BISCAYNE BAY Jul09 May30 May04 Apr01 Mar07 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
8  TALE OF THE LYON Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug14 Jun10 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
9  SUSHI Q Aug20 Jan18 Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Sep03 Aug21 Jul04 Jun05 May09 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.00    
2  GIFT OF OAK Oct11 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul25 (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOTROD BOBBY Oct08 Sep04 Feb14 Jan24 Dec28 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
4  GOOD MUSIC Sep26 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 May30 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
5  STREAKY Sep21 Aug30 Aug19 Aug01 Jun21 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
6  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Oct08 Sep26 Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
7  CONDEMNATION Oct07 Sep26 Sep09 Aug20 Jul25 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
8  WILDCAT BILL Sep26 Sep09 Aug20 Feb15 Jan22 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
9  MUCHO PRIMO Oct11 Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
MVR-6   10/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY'S EMPIRE Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jun27 Jun18 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOUBLE AGENT Sep26 Aug31 Aug02 Jul06 Jun20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.80    
3  HIDDEN RANSOM Sep23 Aug29 May13 Apr23   (wolochuk david)SERPA ANGEL 121 1.60 53% 0.90    
4  GRAY TORMENTOR Sep23 Sep14 Jul15 Jun27 Jun12 (vazquez ivan)VIGIL NOEL 121 12.00    
5  GOLDSTRIKER Sep26 Aug22 Aug03 Jun27 Jun07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
6  GATHA'S SONG Oct07         (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 120 3.50 14% 6.20    
 
MVR-7   10/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MIRACLE KIUT Oct01 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Aug14 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 10% 8.90    
2  EXACTITUDE Sep30 Aug28 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
4  QUEENIE ROSE Oct09 Sep17 Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 (cline c)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TWISTED JUSTICE Sep17 Aug28 Jul25 Jul09 Jun19 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 6.00    
6  EXPRESS FASHION Oct07 Sep20 Sep10 Jul31 Jul10 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 126 12.00    
7  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Oct14 Sep23 Jul18 Jun11 May27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
8  REDWHITEANDTACOS Oct14 Sep09 Sep02 Aug14 Jul28 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
9  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Sep30 Jul31 Jun19 Oct12 Sep21 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 57% 0.70    
 
MVR-8   10/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGPICLITTLEPIC         (poole m)BRACHO A 122 15.00 9% 9.70    
  (by QURBAAN out of LOOKTHEOTHERWAY by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
2  MY VALENTINO         (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 122 20.00 9% 9.70    
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
3  FOURDATESFORHOCO Oct10 Sep18 Aug28     (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  JUDY'S COMET Oct10 Sep18       (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 122 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
5  TAKE FIVE CHARLIE         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of PAOLA by MISREMEMBERED)
6  SMOKE N MOONSHINE         (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 12.00 9% 10.60    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of DOWN ON COPPERLINE by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Aug25 Jul19 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
8  MY BABY BULLET Jul23 Jul08       (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
9  MOR STORMY Oct10 Aug28 Aug10     (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STORMY JUSTICE by REGAL RANSOM)
SCR  NIGIRI Oct04         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 8.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CHLOE KATE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.