Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-3   EXA (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-8 $27.40 $3.40 14%
    DD (3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $30.00 $6.00 25%
    PK3 (8/7/6/4)-(3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2) 48 $2.00 $96.00  1/7-2/3/5/7-5 $142.20 $46.20 48%
PID-4   WIN (10/8/5/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $24.60 $14.60 146%
    DD (8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-2 $71.00 $31.00 78%
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2) 60 $2.00 $120  2/3/5/7-5-2 $435.80 $315.80 263%
PID-5   EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-6 $13.40 $1.40 12%
    DD (10/8/5/1/2)-(6/2/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00  2-2 $51.80 $21.80 73%
    PK3 (8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2)-(6/2/5) 60 $2.00 $120  5-2-2/3 $518.40 $398.40 332%
    PK4 (3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2)-(6/2/5) 180 $2.00 $360  2/3/5/7-5-2-2/3 $1310.80 $950.80 264%
    PK5 (8/7/6/4)-(3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2)-(6/2/5) 720 $2.00 $1440  1/7-2/3/5/7-5-2-2/3 $3114 $1674 116%
PID-8   EXA (1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-12 $46.40 $6.40 16%
    TRI (1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10) 60 $2.00 $120  8-12-6 $434.20 $314.20 262%
    SFT (1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10) 120 $2.00 $240  8-12-6-10 $2592 $2352 980%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRUE ACCOUNT 6 2 45 32   1nk 13¾ (brion keri)SPIETH S 124 4.00 12% 7.30 2.10 W
8  LAST POST 7 3 66½ 53   42¼ 23¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 58% 0.70 3.50 P
3  ELUSIVE CHANGE 2 4 1½ 11½   2nk 34¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 3.60  
6  HOPPERTULLIO 5 8 78 74¼   63¾ 47 (valdez moise)AYALA J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
2  GOODMORNING JOE 1 5 34½ 42   32 58 (shaffer ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 6.00 3.50  
5  MOUNT MORRIS 4 7 56 63¼   53¼ 68 (bartlett will)DELGADO DAVID 124 20.00 34.30  
4  SHADY BOY 3 6 88½ 86¼   86¾ 711¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 15.00 5% 19.00 81.80  
9  BENGAL CAT 8 1 2½ 21½   75¾ 814½ (potts g)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00 6.70  
SCR  CHIEF CRAZY MOON               (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00    
 
PID-2   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) 2 1 11 1½   11 1¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 5.00 30% 2.40 1.00 W
1  WATERLOO SUNSET 1 3 31½ 31½   21 2¼ (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 27.80  
4  FLOAT AWAY 3 6 63 63   31½ 3¼ (bourke joh)AYALA J 124 3.50 27% 2.70 2.90 S
8  LAWN DART 5 5 21 2½   43 43 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 10% 9.00 13.20  
6  FOREVER UNCAPTURED 4 2 42 41½   54 54¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 10.00 5.50  
9  SONET'S NAME 6 4 52 52½   66½ 68½ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 3.70  
SCR  PROSPECTIVE FORUM               (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00    
SCR  QUEEN WIGGY               (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
SCR  TALK MUCH               (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
 
PID-3   10/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IRISH STONE 4 2 52½ 52¾ 41¾ 3½ 13¼ (bourke john)BAYS BROOKE 114 5.00 25% 3.00 3.00 W
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
8  TIZ WICKED STRONG 7 5 31½ 3½ 3.2 1nk 23¼ (antonacci p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.00 P
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
7  ROBAIRE 6 6 74¼ 73¾ 53¼ 51¾ 34 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 15.00 11.80  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
3  ZEVON 3 4 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 44½ (hodsdon da)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 3.50 12% 7.50 3.80  
  (by IMAGINING out of ZAFEEN'S PEARL by ZAFEEN (FR))
6  PARTY AT THE BEACH 5 1 11 1½ 1nk 41½ 510 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 6.00 7.90  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DANCING FLAME by SEEKING THE GOLD)
2  WO HOP 2 3 42½ 42½ 63¼ 65¼ 613½ (barrow paul)ALENCAR WALBER 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
1  FROZEN FOUR 1 7 64 63¾ 74¼ 77¾ 722½ (barron rory)ALLEN D 121 10.00 39.00  
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
SCR  HARBOUR BRIDGE               (hetrick )GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
 
PID-4   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DISCO CENTS 2 3 1½ 11   1½ 11 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.30 W
4  TWELVETWO 4 2 32½ 33   2½ 21 (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 35.00  
10  WEEKEND CONCERTO 10 1 53½ 43   43½ 31 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 119 4.50 41% 1.50 6.60 S
5  SANDRONE 5 6 2½ 21   32½ 41¼ (bond kev)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 15% 5.70 1.30  
1  IMPOSTER SYNDROME 1 8 74¼ 54   53½ 52¼ (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
9  BRENNAN'S WAR 9 9 85¼ 84¾   75¼ 62¼ (sells rach)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00 90.10  
7  TIZ BIG MONEY 7 10 105¾ 95¼   65 74¾ (grabowski jo)ALENCAR WALBER 119 15.00 41.50  
3  GO GET THE BAG 3 5 64 74¾   96¾ 85¾ (barrow paul)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 8.70  
8  CHANGE THE HOUR 8 4 42½ 64¼   86¼ 96¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 18% 4.60 2.50  
6  TAPINTOYOURBEER 6 7 95¾ 106¼   108¼ 109 (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 15.00 16.60  
 
PID-5   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Finest City Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DIXIELAND BELLE 2 5 57 33   1½ 1½ (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 116 1.80 32% 2.10 1.20 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DIXIE SERENADE by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN)
6  HONORABLE WIN 5 3 35 43   3½ 2½ (crook-de)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 35% 1.90 2.40 P
  (by WINCHILL out of HONORABLE PARTNER by CONGRESSIONALHONOR)
4  BOUJIE BETZ 3 1 45½ 22   2½ 37¾ (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 116 8.00 10.40  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SEVEN TWO OFFSUIT by ROBYN DANCER)
5  MORRIGANA 4 2 23 55   56½ 413¾ (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MORE THAN THIS by DIXIELAND HEAT)
1  NIGHT NURSE 1 4 13 12   45 518¼ (dacosta )GALLARDO A 118 2.50 2.50  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of DOUKAS by KANTHAROS)
SCR  TUDOX DAHLIA               (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 116 5.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
 
PID-6   10/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET NOLA 2 3 76¾ 86¾ 73 2½ 11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00 30.70  
1  READY SHE IS 1 5 87¾ 76¾ 62 31 21 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 5.30  
3  STELLARATOR 3 2 32½ 42¾ 31 1½ 31 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 7% 12.90 8.50 S
9  SHE'S GOT RHYTHM 8 9 912¾ 912¾ 95¾ 43 41¼ (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 62% 0.60 1.10  
6  EQUINAMOUS 5 4 2nk 1nk 1½ 53½ 59 (bourke john)BAYS BROOKE 112 10.00 17.50  
8  SIGN AND SEAL 7 8 65¾ 65¾ 83¼ 75½ 613 (hamm timothy)AYALA J 122 10.00 14.30  
7  ORPHAN EXCHANGE 6 6 55¾ 54¼ 51½ 86 718¼ (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00 22.60  
5  INDIAN SPIDEROO 4 1 1nk 2nk 2½ 65½ 820 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.00 7% 14.40 3.90  
10  HOUSE OF MELODY 9 7 42¾ 32½ 41 98 922 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
SCR  LA CREMA               (hendriks rich)WALKER M 122 3.50    
 
PID-7   10/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:113 1:354   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EFF THIRTY FIVE 1 7 710 76 73¾ 41½ 12½ (russell britt)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 2.90  
3  HE'S A MESS 3 2 56½ 53 52¼ 3½ 22½ (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 20% 3.90 1.10 P
6  VALENTINE BUG 6 5 33½ 32 21 1½ 34½ (herrington ca)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00 11.00  
5  GOOSE HUNTER 5 4 66½ 63 31 52 45½ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 26% 2.80 8.50  
4  PAYNTED WARRIOR 4 1 11 1½ 11 2½ 510½ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 14.70  
2  RECYCLE 2 3 44½ 42½ 41¼ 65 613¾ (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
7  A WESTERN YARN 7 6 21 2½ 62¾ 79½ 722¼ (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 2.50 18% 4.50 4.40  
 
PID-8   10/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:103     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GENERAL WINSTON 7 4 21½ 21   1nk 1¾ (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 124 1.80 32% 2.10 1.80 W
12  EXTRA MEDIUM 10 1 32 31½   2nk 2¾ (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 8.00 12% 7.00 6.60 P
6  WAPITI WAY 5 5 74¼ 63½   3½ 31 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30 S
10  WINNING DRIVE 8 3 11½ 11   4¾ 41½ (shaffer ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.40  
5  CITY PLAN 4 8 43 52½   62¾ 52½ (zook w)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 8.50  
1  LESLIE CHOW 1 10 95¾ 74½   74¼ 63¼ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 34% 2.00 1.70  
4  NEW BERN 3 6 53 42   51¾ 73½ (connelly teres)ALLEN D 119 15.00 30.00  
2  BEACH HOLIDAY 2 9 106¾ 106¾   84¼ 85¼ (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 10.60  
7  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 6 7 85¼ 94¾   95¼ 96 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00 26.20  
11  J P CORNETTA 9 2 64 84½   106¼ 106¾ (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00 74.80  
SCR  JOSH'S HONOR               (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GOOD               (urieta johan)AYALA J 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.