Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (8/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/4)-(8/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/4)-(8/7/6/4)-(8/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/4)-(3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/4)-(3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-3   WIN (8/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/2)-(10/8/5/1/2)-(6/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-4   WIN (10/8/5/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/1/2)-(10/8/5/1/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/1/2)-(10/8/5/1/2)-(10/8/5/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/5/1/2)-(6/2/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (10/8/5/1/2)-(6/2/5)-(9/3/5/10/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(9/3/5/10/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(9/3/5/10/7)-(5/3/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-6   WIN (9/3/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/10/7)-(9/3/5/10/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/10/7)-(9/3/5/10/7)-(9/3/5/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/5/10/7)-(5/3/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/10/7)-(5/3/7/2)-(1/8/12/6/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-7   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(1/8/12/6/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (1/8/12/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10)-(1/8/12/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHIEF CRAZY MOON Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 Jul03 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00    
2  GOODMORNING JOE Sep26 Sep03 Aug20     (shaffer ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 6.00    
3  ELUSIVE CHANGE Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul17 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50    
4  SHADY BOY Sep26 Sep11 Feb07 Dec16   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOUNT MORRIS Sep03 Jul22 Jul01     (bartlett will)DELGADO DAVID 124 20.00    
6  HOPPERTULLIO Sep25 Sep09 Jul11 Jun26 Jun11 (valdez moise)AYALA J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRUE ACCOUNT Sep26 Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 (brion keri)SPIETH S 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
8  LAST POST Sep30 Sep16 Aug21 Jul29 Jun25 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
9  BENGAL CAT Sep26 Sep03 Aug28 Aug15 Oct24 (potts g)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00    
 
PID-2   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATERLOO SUNSET Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 Jul17 Jun19 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00    
SCR  QUEEN WIGGY Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
3  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) Sep26 Sep10 Jun26 May20 Oct09 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 5.00 30% 2.40    
4  FLOAT AWAY Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 (bourke joh)AYALA J 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  TALK MUCH Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
6  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Sep23 Jul18 Jun11 May27 Apr24 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
SCR  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Sep24 Aug26 Oct13 Sep20 Aug17 (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00    
8  LAWN DART Sep30 Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
9  SONET'S NAME Sep11 Aug13 Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
 
PID-3   10/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROZEN FOUR Sep25 Sep09 Aug20 Jul31 Jun28 (barron rory)ALLEN D 121 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
2  WO HOP Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jun28 Jun09 (barrow paul)ALENCAR WALBER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  ZEVON Sep05 Jul25 Jul18 Jun12 May23 (hodsdon da)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by IMAGINING out of ZAFEEN'S PEARL by ZAFEEN (FR))
SCR  HARBOUR BRIDGE Sep23 Aug26 Jul28 Dec16 Oct26 (hetrick )GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
5  IRISH STONE Sep25 Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 (bourke john)BAYS BROOKE 114 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ROCK WALL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
6  PARTY AT THE BEACH Sep25 Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 Jun11 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DANCING FLAME by SEEKING THE GOLD)
7  ROBAIRE Jul25 May26       (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 121 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
8  TIZ WICKED STRONG Sep09 Aug02 Jul12 Mar23 Feb24 (antonacci p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
 
PID-4   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Sep26 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 Jun25 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DISCO CENTS Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 Jul16 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GO GET THE BAG Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 Jul10 Jun24 (barrow paul)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
4  TWELVETWO Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00    
5  SANDRONE Sep08 Jul21 Apr21 Nov23 Jul20 (bond kev)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
6  TAPINTOYOURBEER Sep11 Aug25 Aug13 Jul17 Jul07 (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 15.00    
7  TIZ BIG MONEY Sep26 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul10 (grabowski jo)ALENCAR WALBER 119 15.00    
8  CHANGE THE HOUR Sep23 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
9  BRENNAN'S WAR Sep25 Aug28 Jul07 Jun22 Jan06 (sells rach)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
10  WEEKEND CONCERTO Sep25 Sep11 Sep02 Aug19 May17 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 119 4.50 41% 1.50    
 
PID-5   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Finest City Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT NURSE Sep24 Aug14       (dacosta )GALLARDO A 118 2.50    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of DOUKAS by KANTHAROS)
2  DIXIELAND BELLE         (trombetta mic)MORALES PABLO 116 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DIXIE SERENADE by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN)
SCR  TUDOX DAHLIA Sep21 Sep01       (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 116 5.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  BOUJIE BETZ Oct07 Sep10 Aug26 Jul09   (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 116 8.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SEVEN TWO OFFSUIT by ROBYN DANCER)
5  MORRIGANA Oct02         (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MORE THAN THIS by DIXIELAND HEAT)
6  HONORABLE WIN Sep21         (crook-de)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by WINCHILL out of HONORABLE PARTNER by CONGRESSIONALHONOR)
 
PID-6   10/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY SHE IS Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00    
2  SWEET NOLA Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
3  STELLARATOR Sep15 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 Jul23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  LA CREMA Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 (hendriks rich)WALKER M 122 3.50    
5  INDIAN SPIDEROO Oct02 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 Jul03 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.00 7% 14.40    
6  EQUINAMOUS Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 Jul16 (bourke john)BAYS BROOKE 112 10.00    
7  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIGN AND SEAL Sep16 Aug13 Jul29 Feb24 Feb09 (hamm timothy)AYALA J 122 10.00    
9  SHE'S GOT RHYTHM Sep30 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
10  HOUSE OF MELODY Sep30 Sep09 Aug13 Jul14 May31 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   10/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EFF THIRTY FIVE Sep25 Aug28 Aug02 Jun25 May17 (russell britt)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00    
2  RECYCLE Oct03 Sep25 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  HE'S A MESS Sep30 Sep20 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 (connelly)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  PAYNTED WARRIOR Sep30 Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 Jun05 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
5  GOOSE HUNTER Oct03 Sep20 Aug26 Aug07 Jul29 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
6  VALENTINE BUG Oct03 Aug26 Aug06 Jul01 Jun05 (herrington ca)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00    
7  A WESTERN YARN Sep14 Jul10 May31 Sep09 Jul24 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
PID-8   10/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESLIE CHOW Sep24 Sep02 Jul09 Jun24 May27 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
2  BEACH HOLIDAY Oct08 Sep26 Sep11 Aug19 Aug12 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GOOD Oct02 Sep19 Sep10 Aug15 Jun24 (urieta johan)AYALA J 122 12.00    
4  NEW BERN Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 Jul28 (connelly teres)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
5  CITY PLAN Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 Aug13 Aug04 (zook w)WHITACRE B 122 4.00    
6  WAPITI WAY Oct02 Sep24 Sep04 Jul31 Jul10 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 Jul03 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
8  GENERAL WINSTON Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  JOSH'S HONOR Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 May22 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
10  WINNING DRIVE Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jun26 Jun04 (shaffer ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  J P CORNETTA Sep24 Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 Jul23 (valdez moises)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
12  EXTRA MEDIUM Sep26 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul17 (rogers michael)ALLEN M 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.