Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - November 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-2   Win (2/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $3.80  
MVR-3   Win (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 6.00
MVR-4   Win (3/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
MVR-5   Win (3/4/7/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.40 $8.40  
MVR-6   Win (1/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
MVR-7   Win (2/1/8/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 0 $38.00  
MVR-8   Win (9/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $23.60 $23.60 15.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCESSANT 4 4 4 33   2nk 1 (galloway kh)POTTINGER MICHAEL 121 3.50 43% 1.30 0.80 W
CONSTITUTIONALIST 1 5 11 12   1nk 2 (cald)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00 3.00  
SNELL FLICKA 2 3 21 22   3 3 (buttigieg kevin)DIAZ I 126 3.00 23% 3.40 2.90 S
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 6 2 67 57   4 4 (haehn r)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
KRISTIN 5 1 3 4   57 517¼ (rettele richar)HALDAR J 126 15.00 21.10  
BLEST LIFE 3 6 5 68   69 617¾ (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 9.00  
SCR  FUTURE FLAY               (aguirre r)TAPARA LUIS 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:23 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYNO WRECKER 2 3 11 1   13 1 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 0.90  
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 5 6 32 2   23 2 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 22% 3.50 2.40 P
NORTH SHIP 1 7 21 3   46 3 (hetrick krista)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 46% 1.20 4.00 S
CALL IT A NIGHT 6 5 75 57   3 4 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 6.00 10.70  
ZAPTASTIC 7 1 5 45   5 59 (donjuan se)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 35.40  
RED RIZZLER 3 4 43 67   611½ 617 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
POP THE CORK 4 2 64 79   715½ 723 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 13.60  
SCR  LEGENDARY STAR               (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   11/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:124 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPPER PIKE 1 3 66 6 5 23 1 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 5.00 14% 6.10 6.00 W
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 2 2 1½ 11 11 13 2 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 2.10  
HAMMERIN AAMER 7 8 56 42 21 4 3 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 126 3.00 30% 2.30 6.30 S
MR LAOBAN 5 4 3 32 32 33 47 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
DIGITAL FOOTPRINT 3 7 710 710½ 7 5 5 (huffman ca)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 20% 3.90 9.10  
BOSS BEAR 6 1 45 55 6 6 6 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 32.80  
NIGHT TIME RULER 8 5 2½ 21 4 7 713½ (brown glenr)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.50 1.50  
OVER CALENDARED 4 6 810¼ 811½ 8 8 818 (dorochenko ge)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 58.60  
 
MVR-4   11/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:142 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY KITTEN 3 5 6 5 2 2½ 1 (rivera nestor)NUNEZ Y 124 3.50 38% 1.70 2.50 W
ISLANDINTHESTREAM 4 3 2nk 1nk 1 1½ 2 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 34% 1.90 1.90 P
BATTLE TESTED 2 6 3.2 3.2 3 33 3 (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 2.30  
MAIDEN ROCK 5 8 710¾ 7 7 68 411¼ (candelas blanca)FELICIANO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
WILDCAT DREAM 6 4 5 6 5 4 511½ (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 57.30  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 1 7 1nk 2nk 4 5 615¾ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
RUMOURS FLY 8 2 811¼ 8 811¾ 713 721½ (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 5.80  
TRAMA QUEEN 7 1 4 4 6 819 854¼ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 39.40  
 
MVR-5   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUFFIN 4 4 1nk 11   1½ 1nk (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 17% 4.90 3.20 W
BLUE MAX 3 9 8 7   7 2nk (buttigieg kevin)DIAZ I 124 2.50 47% 1.10 3.60 P
EXCITEMENT 9 1 7 6   5 3 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 5.00 2.10  
SIMPLY VALID 1 5 2nk 21   2½ 4 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
FROSTY PAWS 2 10 5 5   32 5 (sweeting crai)NUNEZ Y 126 15.00 14.30  
CYBERTIME 7 7 6 42   42 65 (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 14% 6.40 4.60  
THE COACHMAN 5 6 4 8   8 7 (urieta joha)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00 13.70  
10  PROSECUTOR 10 2 32 3   6 86 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 5% 19.00 29.70  
GAPPER 6 8 95 9   9 99 (galloway khadeem)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 70.20  
HEART OF AN ANGEL 8 3 1010 10   1010¾ 1014¾ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 126 30.00 54.50  
 
MVR-6   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:232 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 4 5 5 3½   3.2 1¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90 W
K KID 5 3 41 2nk   2nk 2¼ (zielinski rich)AYALA J 124 15.00 15.00  
KNOCK WOOD 1 7 6 53   4 3 (tumblin andrew)BRACHO A 124 2.00 49% 1.00 1.80 S
PAINT THE TOWN 3 4 7 7   6 4 (gorham m)DIAZ I 124 4.50 14% 6.20 4.50  
RED CHILI PEPPER 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 5 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 13% 6.50 5.10  
OLLIE'S FOLLY 6 2 3½ 4   5 6 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 6.10  
CONDEMNATION 2 6 2nk 6   7 717½ (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 14.00  
SCR  INTO GOLD               (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50    
 
MVR-7   11/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Leona's Reward Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:14 1:412   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  MOBIL CHIC 12 11 1220¾ 912½ 72 33 1¾ (zielinski rich)AYALA J 120 30.00 18.00  
MIZ KEETA 8 6 4 3 3.2 13 2¾ (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00 19% 4.20 5.40 P
NEAR PERFECT 7 8 6 6 4 23 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 16% 5.40 4.60 S
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 6 9 812¾ 7 5 4 4 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 12.00 7.30  
11  KETTLE KISS 10 13 1322¾ 1318½ 1311 7 5 (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 118 20.00 11.10  
14  EXPRESS FASHION 13 12 1116¼ 1113 109 88 6 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 118 12.00 36.20  
RATATAT 2 4 33 42 6 6 7 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 4.50 22% 3.50 3.90  
12  DOLCE MARIE 11 7 712¼ 811½ 1110 1010 810½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 118 30.00 82.60  
OUR LAST SONG 1 2 5 5 85 98 913 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 22% 3.50 5.70  
TWISTED JUSTICE 3 3 1nk 2½ 2nk 5 1013½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 116 12.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
GOODNESS SAKES 5 5 914¼ 1216½ 1210½ 1112½ 1117 (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 8.00 26.30  
10  MOBIL LADY 9 10 1015¼ 1013 95 1215½ 1218¾ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 45.10  
FACTISIMFLASHY 4 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 1319½ 1334 (antonuik jerr)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00 28.30  
SCR  IMA MOM               (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 116 20.00    
 
MVR-8   11/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:222 :461 :593     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLOAT 2 6 6 58   5 11 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80 W
STRING OCTET 6 2 2 22   3 21 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.50 2.00  
CASH BACK 7 4 5 35   2nk 3 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 2.50 37% 1.70 2.00 S
BLESSEDNOTLUCKY 4 3 1 12   1nk 4 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 20% 4.00 3.00  
MY VALENTINO 1 7 710¼ 69   6 5 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 122 20.00 35.90  
BIGPICLITTLEPIC 5 1 3 4   44 6 (poole m)BRACHO A 122 8.00 17% 4.70 5.50  
JUDY'S COMET 3 5 45 710   711½ 727½ (zielinski rich)AYALA J 122 15.00 20.10  
SCR  BLAZING TONY               (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 10.00    
SCR  SMOKE N MOONSHINE               (bernardini jay)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.