Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-4   EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-3 $24.60 $0.60 3%
MVR-5   EXA (10/3/9)-(10/3/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00  10-3 $37.80 $25.80 215%
    TRI (10/3/9)-(10/3/9)-(10/3/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00  10-3-9 $34.05 $31.05 1035%
MVR-6   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $16.00 $10.00 167%
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $61.40 $49.40 412%
    DD (10/3/9)-(8/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  10-6 $31.20 $13.20 73%
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(10/3/9)-(8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-10-6 $48.25 $30.25 168%
MVR-7   DD (8/6/2)-(5/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-5 $33.40 $15.40 86%
    PK3 (10/3/9)-(8/6/2)-(5/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50  10-6-5 $21.50 $8.00 59%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FROZEN Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGPICLITTLEPIC 1 1 42½ 31½   2nk 12 (poole m)BRACHO A 122 1.80 23% 3.30 1.00 W
  (by QURBAAN out of LOOKTHEOTHERWAY by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
2  FOURDATESFORHOCO 2 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 22 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 18% 4.70 2.80 P
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  BLAZING TONY 6 7 77½ 77¾   46 35½ (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 3.00 38% 1.60 1.80 S
  (by TONALIST out of SUNNY EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  JUDY'S COMET 3 3 2nk 2nk   31 46¾ (zielinski richard)STOKES J 122 15.00 15.70  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
4  R C IRONSIDE 4 6 54½ 45½   58 510¾ (donjuan )FERNANDEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 54.60  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
7  SMOKE N MOONSHINE 7 5 65 66¼   611 612½ (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 122 5.00 25.80  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of DOWN ON COPPERLINE by MUTAKDDIM)
5  MY BABY BULLET 5 4 3½ 56   715½ 718¼ (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00 ######  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
 
MVR-2   12/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FROZEN Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:214 :441       1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INSIDE STUNT 3 2 1½ 1nk   12 13¼ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 1.60 66% 0.50 0.10 W
6  FROSTY PAWS 4 1 2½ 2nk   22 23¼ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 7.90  
3  MONTEREY PENINSULA 2 3 34½ 33½   35 37¾ (martinez kel)HALDAR J 124 8.00 6% 14.50 8.70 S
1  THE COACHMAN 1 4 45 47½   47½ 49 (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00 9.00  
SCR  CIELO AZUL               (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 124 2.50    
SCR  WINGING WAYS               (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EXTRA CRAFTY 2 5 42¼ 31½   21 1½ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 5.90  
4  ROCKY CHANNEL 4 3 77¼ 77   32 2½ (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 53.00 DQ↓4
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 5 2 1nk 11   11 32¼ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 2.00 ★ 1.90 P
3  DANCE DRAMA 3 4 52¾ 52   42½ 44 (flores christ)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10 S
7  MS. DEBBIE ALAN 6 6 32 42   53 54 (smith larry)DIAZ I 123 6.00 6.90  
1  MIZZEN THE POINT 1 7 65¼ 64   64 65¼ (overholt pau)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.00 65% 0.50 1.50  
9  OPIE'S GIRL 7 1 2nk 21   74 77¼ (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 16.00  
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME               (bates l)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
SCR  STATE OF GRACE               (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:214 :44 :562     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY DIAMOND 1 2 15 16   15 11½ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 27% 2.60 3.20 W
3  QUICK RENDEZVOUS 3 3 25 26   25 21½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 41% 1.40 0.90 P
2  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 2 4 510 514   311 37¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 8.00 6.90  
5  SPUNKY ONE 5 6 715 616   611¾ 49¾ (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 2.50 9% 9.80 3.70  
4  FAITHFUL SOLUTION 4 7 614 716½   712¼ 512 (skerrett jef)AYALA J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
7  OFFICE CHATTER 6 5 47 39   411 613¾ (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 123 12.00 15.30  
8  THIRTY SOMETHING 7 1 36½ 410   511½ 713¾ (morales m)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 17.90  
SCR  I'M JAC'D               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:22 :442 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 5 3 33 32½   2½ 11½ (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 31% 2.20 0.90 W
3  SCRATCHOFF 3 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 21½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 22% 3.60 17.00 P
9  UBIQUITOUS 4 4 44½ 44   43½ 33 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 16% 5.40 7.10 S
2  GILLIGAN 2 5 57 55½   54 43½ (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 5.90  
1  HOUSEBUILDER 1 2 1nk 1nk   3½ 53¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 1.60  
SCR  GRAPHENE CASSOCK               (watkins james )DIAZ I 124 12.00    
SCR  PALHACO               (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
SCR  ROTARY DIAL               (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
SCR  STAR OF KODIAK               (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
SCR  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:242 :464 1:103 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 4 2 2½ 11 1½ 1nk 1½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 25% 3.00 7.00 W
2  BOURBON WISDOM 2 6 52½ 31 2½ 2nk 2½ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 15% 5.50 6.10 P
3  HUNTER SCOTT 3 5 67½ 68¼ 64¾ 31½ 31½ (vecchio caryn)STOKES J 124 8.00 2.30  
7  THRU THE VINE 5 3 31½ 42½ 42½ 43½ 44¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 4.00  
1  MAYITO 1 1 42½ 52¾ 54½ 65 57½ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 5.10  
8  NIKOLAOU 6 4 1½ 21 3½ 54 69¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 31% 2.20 2.30  
SCR  ATKINS               (reavis michael)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00    
SCR  BLUEGRASS PRAYER               (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   12/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:24 :461 1:102 1:223   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WHO DA BOSS 4 4 24 27 1nk 11½ 12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 28% 2.60 0.90 W
2  ONLY GET'N BETTER 2 6 56¼ 49 54½ 52½ 22 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 9.70  
4  TIER ONE 3 2 36 59½ 44 32 32 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 3.50 25% 3.00 3.40 S
1  WETZEL 1 1 46 38 32 42½ 44 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 3.80  
7  MAGICAL MONARCH 6 3 14 17 2nk 21½ 54 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 12.00 7.60  
6  VAIL OF HONOR 5 5 69¼ 611½ 67½ 66½ 66¼ (higham nico)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 125 8.00    
 
MVR-8   12/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:251 :473 1:112 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CRAFTED 2 1 12 17 14 12 14 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 14.90  
1  BOLD BUCKEYE 1 4 33 37½ 24 22 24 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 5.00 38% 1.70 7.70 P
7  RED CHILI PEPPER 6 3 22 27 34 33 35 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
5  KNOCK WOOD 5 5 43½ 48½ 46½ 55½ 45½ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 1.40  
3  PAINT THE TOWN 3 2 55 59½ 56¾ 45 55½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.00 31% 2.30 2.70  
4  K KID 4 6 65 610 67¼ 69½ 610¼ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 3.50 2.90  
SCR  BLUE NOMORE               (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.