Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - December 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/4)-(4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/4)-(4/3)-(1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/3/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(10/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4)-(10/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(10/3/9)-(8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (10/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/3/9)-(10/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/3/9)-(10/3/9)-(10/3/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/3/9)-(8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/3/9)-(8/6/2)-(5/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(5/4/6)-(1/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FROZEN Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Nov14 Oct29       (poole m)BRACHO A 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
  (by QURBAAN out of LOOKTHEOTHERWAY by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
2  FOURDATESFORHOCO Oct29 Oct10 Sep18 Aug28   (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  JUDY'S COMET Nov14 Oct29 Oct10 Sep18   (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 122 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
4  R C IRONSIDE Oct28 Oct04       (donjuan )FERNANDEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
5  MY BABY BULLET Oct29 Jul23 Jul08     (langley j)POTTINGER MICHAEL 117 20.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
6  BLAZING TONY         (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by TONALIST out of SUNNY EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  SMOKE N MOONSHINE Oct29         (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 5.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of DOWN ON COPPERLINE by MUTAKDDIM)
 
MVR-2   12/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FROZEN Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE COACHMAN Nov14 Nov02 Jul04 Jun12 May31 (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
SCR  WINGING WAYS Oct24 Sep05 Aug24 Jun22 Apr27 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
3  MONTEREY PENINSULA Nov14 Sep08 Aug04 Jun22 Jun01 (martinez kel)HALDAR J 124 8.00 6% 14.50    
4  INSIDE STUNT Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Jun11 May20 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 1.60 66% 0.50    
SCR  CIELO AZUL Oct24 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 Jun18 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 124 2.50    
6  FROSTY PAWS Nov14 Oct19 Oct02 Mar26 Feb26 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZEN THE POINT Nov06 Dec20 Nov28 Nov09 Oct10 (overholt pau)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.00 65% 0.50    
2  EXTRA CRAFTY Nov20 Oct19 Sep12 Jul31 Jul15 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 3.50    
3  DANCE DRAMA Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 Sep03 Jun30 (flores christia)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROCKY CHANNEL Nov19 Nov06 Aug08 Jul25 Jul03 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Nov06 Sep12 Aug10 Jul04 Jun18 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 123 2.00 ★    
SCR  STATE OF GRACE Oct13 Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 Jul02 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
7  MS. DEBBIE ALAN Nov04 Oct05 Sep06 Aug21 Oct30 (smith larry)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
SCR  SAVESOMEFORME Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 Jul03 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
9  OPIE'S GIRL Nov04 Oct05 Sep18 Aug15 Jul10 (smith larry)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
 
MVR-4   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY DIAMOND Nov06 Oct02 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 27% 2.60    
2  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 Sep18 Sep02 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 8.00    
3  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Nov04 Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 Jun17 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Nov06 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Jul30 (skerrett jef)AYALA J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPUNKY ONE Nov19 Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 Sep02 (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 2.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  I'M JAC'D Nov06 Oct02 Sep03 Aug22 Aug14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
7  OFFICE CHATTER Nov19 Nov06 Sep28 Aug31 Aug14 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 123 12.00    
8  THIRTY SOMETHING Nov06 Oct19 Oct01 Sep05 Aug15 (morales m)REYES FRANK 123 6.00    
 
MVR-5   12/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOUSEBUILDER Nov12 Oct22 Oct07 Sep26 Aug25 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
2  GILLIGAN Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 Sep12 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00    
3  SCRATCHOFF Oct23 Sep25 Sep15 Aug19 Jul30 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  STAR OF KODIAK Oct26 Oct13 Sep17 Sep03 Aug24 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
SCR  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Nov02 Oct17 Oct05 Aug24 Aug10 (watkins james )DIAZ I 124 12.00    
SCR  ROTARY DIAL Nov04 Oct16 Sep17 Aug15 Jun24 (reid davi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00    
SCR  PALHACO Nov04 Oct09 Sep26 Sep10 Aug15 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00    
SCR  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00    
9  UBIQUITOUS Nov12 Oct24 Oct17 Oct08 Sep26 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 16% 5.40    
10  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Nov14 Nov02 Oct20 Oct10 Sep16 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-6   12/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FROZEN Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYITO Nov13 Oct15 Sep02 Jul30 Jul08 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
2  BOURBON WISDOM Nov13 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
3  HUNTER SCOTT Nov13 Oct11 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 (vecchio caryn)STOKES J 124 8.00    
SCR  ATKINS Nov02 Oct24 Oct13 Sep26 Aug29 (reavis michael)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00    
SCR  BLUEGRASS PRAYER Nov12 Oct26 Oct03 Sep11 Aug08 (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 124 8.00    
6  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Apr02 Feb20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
7  THRU THE VINE Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 Sep16 Sep04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50    
8  NIKOLAOU Oct28 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Jun16 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-7   12/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WETZEL Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 Jul30 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 4.00    
2  ONLY GET'N BETTER Nov12 Oct30 Oct10 Aug31 Aug16 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00    
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Nov14 Oct11 Sep26 Aug15 Jul31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 125 8.00    
4  TIER ONE Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  WHO DA BOSS Nov12 Oct07 Sep03 Jul29 Jun22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
6  VAIL OF HONOR Nov12 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 (higham nico)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAGICAL MONARCH Nov13 Nov01 Oct20 Sep02 Aug16 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 12.00    
 
MVR-8   12/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD BUCKEYE Nov06 Oct08 Sep19 Aug28   (poole m)BRACHO A 126 5.00 38% 1.70    
2  CRAFTED Aug16 Jul31 Jul06 Jun09 May26 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
3  PAINT THE TOWN Nov14 Sep17 Aug21 Jun22 Apr01 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
4  K KID Nov14 Oct07 Sep03 Oct23 Oct06 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 3.50    
5  KNOCK WOOD Nov14 Oct26 Oct07 Sep03 Aug12 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
SCR  BLUE NOMORE Oct23 Oct03 Aug19 Jul15 Jun22 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
7  RED CHILI PEPPER Nov14 Oct01 Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.