Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.10 $2.10 35%
FE-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.10 $1.10 28%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:134     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSEVERE 1 5 31 32   1nk 14 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 113 5.00 28% 2.50 0.85 W
2  DRILLHALL 2 3 1½ 11   2nk 24 (husbands anthon)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.50 2.70  
3  SIGNONTHDOTTEDLINE 3 4 2½ 21   32½ 310½ (raghunath er)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 32% 2.10 3.55 S
5  DELIRIO 5 2 42½ 42   43½ 410½ (wieczorek ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 118 3.00 8.65  
4  SILENT SUMMIT 4 1 53½ 510   511½ 525½ (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 118 4.50 5% 19.00 12.50  
 
FE-2   07/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:23 :464       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOVE MY CHERYL 2 4 1nk 12   12½ 16 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.25 W
5  KATCHY NAME 5 2 3.2 22   22½ 26 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 3.00 1.50  
1  SWEET FINALE 1 5 41¼ 32   33 36 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 18% 4.60 3.75 S
4  ROAD MAP 4 1 52¼ 54½   44½ 48¼ (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00 13.00  
3  CARELESS HEIRESS 3 3 2nk 43½   57½ 525¼ (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
SCR  STRIKE THE POSE               (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80    
 
FE-3   07/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HERMIONE GRANGER 2 1 11½ 12   11 11¼ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 15% 5.50 3.05 W
1  DANISH DYNAMITE 1 6 64¼ 22   21 21¼ (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 2.50 5.55  
4  SISTER COUSIN 4 3 21½ 32   33½ 37 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.60 53% 0.90 0.90 S
3  LOADED SECRET 3 2 31½ 42¼   44 48¾ (chudobiak gar)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00 14.85  
5  PEACE IN PARADISE 5 5 53¾ 63¼   56 512½ (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 20.75  
6  TIME TO WATCH 6 4 41¾ 53¼   67 615 (newla)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 6.00 5% 19.00 4.55  
 
FE-4   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAMANA 6 2 12 13   13 15¼ (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 2.00 ★ 0.20  
1  NICOLE'S SONG 1 6 36 39   34½ 25¼ (blake j)MORENO OMAR 124 3.50 33% 2.00 9.10 P
4  BORN TO BE GOOD 4 3 48 412½   46 39¼ (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 16.15  
5  LITTLE FIRE 5 4 612½ 615   57½ 410¼ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 18.55  
2  A GAL FOR T J 2 5 59½ 513½   68½ 510½ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 21% 3.80 15.75  
3  LOADED QUESTION 3 1 22 23   23 612¾ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 3.00 6.45  
 
FE-5   07/30/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MENAGERIE 5 4 74¼ 64¼   2nk 1nk (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00 3.95  
8  FEW REGRETS 8 7 63¾ 54   3.2 2nk (buttigieg ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 2.50 3.60  
7  TANGERINE TWIST 7 1 11 12   1nk 31¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00 22% 3.50 6.35 S
2  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 2 6 89¼ 88¼   65¾ 44¼ (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 2.70  
4  ASHWICKEN 4 2 41¼ 43   41¼ 55¼ (pion syl)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 34% 1.90 4.05  
1  ASHCAR NELLIE 1 3 21 22   52¼ 612 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00 11% 8.30 7.70  
6  MISS SCHILLER 6 8 52¼ 74¼   87¼ 717¾ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00 36.90  
3  SILENT WARNING 3 5 31 33   76¾ 818¼ (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 20.00 5% 19.00 21.60  
 
FE-6   07/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111 1:381   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIATUS 1 1 18 19 15½ 14½ 12½ (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80 45% 1.20 1.55 W
4  PAPERBACK HERO 2 3 411 39½ 25½ 24½ 22½ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 1.30  
5  MAYITO 3 4 39½ 410 411½ 36 36¼ (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.70 S
6  SOCIETY JOE 4 2 28 29 39½ 48½ 414½ (holde)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 5.00 4.65  
SCR  JACK THE CAT               (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 4.00    
SCR  SEA TO AIR               (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00    
 
FE-7   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMAZING SUCCESS 6 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (mckni)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00 0.50  
4  ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 2nk (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 4.55  
3  LE GRAND GARCON 3 5 66½ 67¼   43½ 33¾ (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 2.00 11.60  
2  SPANISH SERENADE 2 4 32 34½   33 44½ (loescher p)CAMPOS LUIS 122 3.50 23% 3.40 6.95  
5  BILL NEEDLE 5 6 55 55¾   53¾ 55¾ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00 23% 3.30 7.75  
1  DISCOVERY CHART 1 3 43 45½   67¼ 619¾ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.25  
 
FE-8   07/30/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:122     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN 2 6 47½ 55   2½ 1¾ (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 1.70  
6  TURF AND SURF 6 8 913½ 86¼   51¼ 2¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 124 3.00 27% 2.80 4.20 P
4  EYE GOT IT GOOD 4 1 33½ 32½   1½ 32¼ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00 5% 19.00 9.45 S
7  FORMENTOR 7 9 711½ 65¼   31 44¼ (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 58.95  
3  LULU'S LULLABY 3 5 812½ 99¼   73¼ 56¾ (squires a)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 28% 2.60 1.85  
9  RIFLING 9 3 58 45   41 67½ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 13% 6.60 9.50  
1  STOLE THE RING 1 7 69½ 76¼   84¾ 711 (chudobiak ga)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00 26.80  
5  CREATIVPERFORMANCE 5 2 1½ 1½   62¼ 813 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 10% 8.60 30.15  
8  IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE 8 4 2½ 2½   97¾ 922½ (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00 39.85  
SCR  JIMMY IS A BREEZE               (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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