Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-5   Win (4/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-7   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-8   Win (3/6/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERSEVERE Jul16 Jul01 Dec15 Nov03   (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 113 5.00 28% 2.50    
DRILLHALL Jul08 Jun24 May28 Nov26 Nov03 (husbands anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.50    
SIGNONTHDOTTEDLINE         (raghunath eric)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 32% 2.10    
SILENT SUMMIT Jul07 Jun16       (leblanc warren)RAMSAMMY E 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
DELIRIO Jul07 Jun11 Dec01 Nov03   (wieczorek kend)HUSBANDS TERRY 118 3.00    
 
FE-2   07/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET FINALE Jul21 Jun04 May11 Apr27 Oct17 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
LOVE MY CHERYL Jul21 Jul07 Jan31 Dec05 Nov01 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
CARELESS HEIRESS Jul07 Jun25 Mar31 Mar04 Jan27 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROAD MAP Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 May30 (robillard josh)PINTO MELANIE 124 8.00    
KATCHY NAME Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Nov30 Nov11 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 119 3.00    
SCR  STRIKE THE POSE Jul22 Jun11 May28 Oct17 Oct06 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80    
 
FE-3   07/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANISH DYNAMITE Jul07 Sep07 Aug12 Jul23 Jun23 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 2.50    
HERMIONE GRANGER May28 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
LOADED SECRET Jul02 Jun16 Oct26 Oct09 Sep26 (chudobiak gary)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
SISTER COUSIN Jun20 May23 May04 Apr28 Feb21 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.60 53% 0.90    
PEACE IN PARADISE Jul08 Jun25 Jun08 Dec07 Oct21 (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
TIME TO WATCH Jul18 Jun27 Jun09 May10 Apr27 (newland)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICOLE'S SONG Jul07 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Oct17 (blake j)MORENO OMAR 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
A GAL FOR T J Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 May14 Feb07 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
LOADED QUESTION Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 May23 May04 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 3.00    
BORN TO BE GOOD Jul16 Jun25 Oct03 Sep04 Aug13 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00    
LITTLE FIRE Jul16 Jul01 Jun14 May18 May04 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
TAMANA Jul16 Jul07 Jun27 Jun11 May28 (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 2.00    
 
FE-5   07/30/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHCAR NELLIE Jul08 Jun11       (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00 11% 8.30    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Jul21 Jul15 Jun24 Jun16 Jun04 (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00    
SILENT WARNING Jul15 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Sep26 (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ASHWICKEN Jul15 Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 Oct17 (pion sylva)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
MENAGERIE Jun24 Jun16 Nov03 Oct19 Sep28 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00    
MISS SCHILLER Jul01 Jun24 May28 Sep26 Aug29 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00    
TANGERINE TWIST Jul07 Jun16 Dec14 Nov17 Oct26 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
FEW REGRETS Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 May04 Apr02 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 2.50    
 
FE-6   07/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIATUS Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 Nov15 Oct31 (voyce jeff)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  JACK THE CAT Jul21 Oct12 Oct02 Sep23 Sep12 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 4.00    
SCR  SEA TO AIR Jul18 Jul01 Jun21 May25 May12 (voyce jeff)DAVID MICHAEL 120 8.00    
PAPERBACK HERO Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 Oct17 Oct03 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00    
MAYITO Jul08 Apr02 Mar05 Feb20 Jan24 (buttigieg kevin)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SOCIETY JOE Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 May19 Mar13 (holder ted)DOTTIN-DOWNES KODI 115 5.00    
 
FE-7   07/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOVERY CHART Jul01 May28 Dec15 Dec02 Nov23 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPANISH SERENADE Jul12 Jun08 May23 Dec17 Dec01 (loescher pau)CAMPOS LUIS 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
LE GRAND GARCON Jun24 Nov10 Oct09 Sep25 Sep02 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 2.00    
ABSOLUTE CHAIRMAN Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 May10 Dec15 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00    
BILL NEEDLE Jul12 Jun14 May31 May18 May05 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 4.00 23% 3.30    
AMAZING SUCCESS Jul21 Jun28 Jun08 May23 Apr19 (mcknigh)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00    
 
FE-8   07/30/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLE THE RING Jul22 Jul04 Jun16 Jun11 May28 (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 10.00    
THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 May17 Dec15 (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50    
LULU'S LULLABY Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 May28 Nov16 (squires a)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
EYE GOT IT GOOD Jul07 Jun16 May28 Nov04 Oct26 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
CREATIVPERFORMANCE Jul15 Jul02 May03 Apr21 Mar27 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
TURF AND SURF Jul04 Jun16 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 124 3.00 27% 2.80    
FORMENTOR Jul08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Sep27 (robillard josh)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00    
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Jul07 Jun24 May28 Oct03 Sep26 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00    
RIFLING Jul16 Jun25 Nov30 Nov23 Nov04 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 May28 Nov30 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.