Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-3   TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-7-4 $15.78 $10.98 229%
    SFT (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-7-4-2 $35.55 $30.75 641%
FE-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-1 $10.45 $1.45 16%
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60  5-1-7 $6.55 $2.95 82%
    DD (7/2/6/3)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $16.80 $4.80 40%
FE-6   EXA (1/6/2/9/3)-(1/6/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $32.40 $12.40 62%
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/6/2/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-6 $21.25 $6.25 42%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOONBRIGHT 5 5 31 21   1½ 13 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 1.40 33% 2.00 0.15 W
2  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 2 3 1½ 11   2½ 23 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00 7.30  
3  LOUEMMA 3 1 2½ 42   31½ 33¼ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 15.25  
1  BIG BELL 1 4 42 31½   41½ 43¼ (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 33% 2.00 6.60  
4  MY GIRL GABBY 4 2 52 52½   54 510½ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.35  
 
FE-2   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCESS BU CHERRO 4 4 44½ 41¾   2nk 11¼ (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 3.65  
  (by BUCCHERO out of PORT AU PRINCESS by FULL MANDATE)
3  TACHYON SPEED 3 5 59½ 53¾   51¼ 21¼ (leblanc warren)SINGH S 122 1.80 54% 0.90 0.70 P
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of MY CHRISTINI by FLATTER)
5  ALMONTE PRINCESS 5 1 3½ 1nk   1nk 35¼ (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 7.55  
  (by PRINCEPS SENATUS out of PRETTY CHRISTINA by TOUCH GOLD)
1  I'M PHANTOM 1 2 1nk 3.2   3.2 47¼ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
  (by SLIGO BAY out of DOWOOPER by E DUBAI)
2  FAITHFUL GIFT 2 3 2nk 2nk   4¼ 57½ (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 18% 4.60 4.90  
  (by GRAYDAR out of SUNSHINE GRACIE by SUNDARBAN)
 
FE-3   07/02/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:141     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KNOTTY AND NICE 3 1 13 13   16 110½ (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 16% 5.30 1.45 W
  (by BIG SCREEN out of KNOTTY PINE by PIVOTAL (GB))
7  IT'S ME 6 2 23 23   26 210½ (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.45 P
  (by TIZNOW out of HELLO EVERYBODY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  LUCKY LOUISE 4 3 35½ 34   38 314½ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 13% 6.40 8.00 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of LUCKBEALADY NOW by UNKNOWN)
2  WAR VOW 2 5 612 610½   513 416½ (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 38% 1.60 2.35  
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
1  FEROCIOUS QUEEN 1 6 510 58   613 520½ (newland george)MAILHOT P 122 20.00 13.05  
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of KRISMAS PROSPECT by ARCH)
6  ALWAYS MY FAULT 5 4 49½ 47   412 633½ (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50 4.30  
  (by BIG SCREEN out of TELL NO ONE by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  TWIRLING PIPER               (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PIPERS FUTURE by NIIGON)
 
FE-4   07/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NICE BABY 6 1 2nk 1nk   11 11¼ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 17% 4.70 1.20 W
1  BIG GINGER 1 3 41¾ 62¾   42 21¼ (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 4.25  
4  J M R GEMMA 4 6 62 2nk   21 32½ (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00 3.65  
2  SNELL FLICKA 2 2 1nk 41¼   32 44¼ (blake j)MORENO OMAR 122 6.00 26% 2.90 18.15  
3  LOADED QUESTION 3 4 31½ 52¼   52½ 57¾ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
5  BODACIOUS MISS 5 5 51¾ 31   63½ 610 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 9.35  
7  HEADING WEST 7 7 74½ 74¾   75½ 710½ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 29% 2.40 8.35  
 
FE-5   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:22 :454 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPEEDY JOHNY 5 3 32 31½   11½ 13½ (dav)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 10.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
1  JIMMY IS A BREEZE 1 7 67 64½   32 23½ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 65% 0.50 1.55 P
7  BELLASPINA 7 1 1½ 11   21½ 37¼ (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 ★ 3.05 S
4  T'PRING 4 2 43 43   53½ 47¼ (clemmer krist)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 15.30  
2  LULU'S LULLABY 2 6 77 77½   64½ 58 (squires )BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 7% 12.90 9.15  
3  LOADED SECRET 3 5 2½ 21   42½ 68¼ (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 18.75  
6  CREATIVPERFORMANCE 6 4 54½ 54   75½ 713¾ (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 7.45  
 
FE-6   07/02/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:133     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WILBERFORCE 6 9 66 56½   11½ 13¾ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 23% 3.30 3.40 W
3  GUS'S GAMBLE 3 7 32½ 33   21½ 23¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20 P
7  THY KINGDOM 7 8 79 710½   65½ 37¾ (shirle)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00 52.70  
5  HARDWARE GAP 5 4 44 44   44 49½ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 6.50  
1  BAJAN BULLET 1 1 1nk 11   32 510¾ (squires a)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 0.80  
9  BAIT N SWITCH 9 5 911½ 811½   88½ 612½ (alderson anth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 8% 10.80 6.60  
4  TWO YEAR CONTRACT 4 2 55½ 69½   77½ 714¼ (capi m)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 ######  
2  I LIVE BY FAITH 2 3 2nk 21   54½ 815¼ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 3.00 9% 9.60 17.65  
8  SANTIAGO SALSA 8 6 811 913   910 922½ (keen howard)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 20.00 ######  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.