Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/7)-(7/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-4   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/3)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/6/2/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/6/2/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/9/3)-(1/6/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/9/3)-(1/6/2/9/3)-(1/6/2/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BELL Jun11 May26 May14 Mar13 Mar05 (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  REMEMBEROLDTYMES Jun16 Jun04 Feb08 Jan25 Dec03 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
3  LOUEMMA Jun16 Jun04 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50    
4  MY GIRL GABBY Jun04 May12 Apr30 Apr22 Jan11 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOONBRIGHT Jun11 May23 May11 Dec14 Dec07 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 1.40 33% 2.00    
 
FE-2   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M PHANTOM Dec14 Nov30 Oct07 Sep14 Aug05 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SLIGO BAY out of DOWOOPER by E DUBAI)
2  FAITHFUL GIFT         (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SUNSHINE GRACIE by SUNDARBAN)
3  TACHYON SPEED Jun16 Jun02 May10 Dec14 Nov26 (leblanc warren)SINGH S 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of MY CHRISTINI by FLATTER)
4  PRINCESS BU CHERRO May03 Apr24 Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 2.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of PORT AU PRINCESS by FULL MANDATE)
5  ALMONTE PRINCESS Jun25 Jun11 May28 May05 Jan09 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
  (by PRINCEPS SENATUS out of PRETTY CHRISTINA by TOUCH GOLD)
 
FE-3   07/02/2024 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEROCIOUS QUEEN Dec07 Nov17       (newland george)MAILHOT P 122 20.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of KRISMAS PROSPECT by ARCH)
2  WAR VOW Jun16 Jan01 Dec13 Nov18 Nov09 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 38% 1.60    
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
3  KNOTTY AND NICE Jun16 May28 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of KNOTTY PINE by PIVOTAL (GB))
4  LUCKY LOUISE         (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 13% 6.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LUCKBEALADY NOW by UNKNOWN)
SCR  TWIRLING PIPER Jun01         (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PIPERS FUTURE by NIIGON)
6  ALWAYS MY FAULT Jun16 Nov05 Oct12     (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of TELL NO ONE by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  IT'S ME Jun14 May25 Sep16 Aug16 Jul02 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of HELLO EVERYBODY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
FE-4   07/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG GINGER Jun13 May30 May11 Dec14 Nov23 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50    
2  SNELL FLICKA Jun04 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 Sep05 (blake j)MORENO OMAR 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
3  LOADED QUESTION Jun16 May23 May04 Nov09 Sep29 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  J M R GEMMA Jun16 Oct17 Sep25 Sep05 Aug22 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 5.00    
5  BODACIOUS MISS Jun04 Dec14 Dec03 Oct03 Sep07 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50    
6  NICE BABY Jun04 Mar24 Feb16 Jan24 Dec29 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 17% 4.70    
7  HEADING WEST Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul25 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
FE-5   07/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Jun11 May28 Nov30 Nov17 Oct26 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 65% 0.50    
2  LULU'S LULLABY Jun16 May28 Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 (squires )BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 7% 12.90    
3  LOADED SECRET Jun16 Oct26 Oct09 Sep26 Sep18 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
4  T'PRING Jun25 Jun16 May28 May17 Apr28 (clemmer krist)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00    
5  SPEEDY JOHNY Jun16 Jun11 May17 May04 Dec09 (dav)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CREATIVPERFORMANCE May03 Apr21 Mar27 Mar10 Feb09 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00    
7  BELLASPINA Jun16 May28 Nov09 Oct13 Sep22 (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 4.50 ★    
 
FE-6   07/02/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAJAN BULLET Jun16 Jun04 May24 Nov16 Oct20 (squires a)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  I LIVE BY FAITH Jun16 Dec08 Nov17 Oct16 Oct10 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 3.00 9% 9.60    
3  GUS'S GAMBLE May28 Oct27 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Jun24 May28 Oct16 Oct10 Oct03 (capi m)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00    
5  HARDWARE GAP Jun21 May25 May05 Dec17 Dec01 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00    
6  WILBERFORCE Jun16 Jun04 May12 Apr28 Sep25 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  THY KINGDOM Nov10 Oct20 Oct10 Sep29 Aug21 (shirle)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 20.00    
8  SANTIAGO SALSA Jun16 Jun04 Oct17 Oct10 Oct03 (keen howard)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 20.00    
9  BAIT N SWITCH Oct10 Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 (alderson anth)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 8% 10.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.