Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
FE-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $17.80 $17.80 11.80
FE-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.00  
FE-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
FE-5   Win (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $14.80  
FE-6   Win (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.80  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEND IN THE RIVER 5 1 54½ 32½   31 1nk (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 41% 1.40 0.95 W
1  PARTY OF NO 1 4 22 21½   2½ 2nk (robillard josh)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 3.50 ★ 2.90 P
2  GREAT GO GO 2 3 12 11½   1½ 3.15 (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 124 4.00 14% 6.00 6.05 S
4  MUSICAL STRIDE 4 5 44 44   42½ 44¼ (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 1.80 4.35  
3  HALF LIT 3 2 33 54   52½ 55 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 8.05  
 
FE-2   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEEZESPEEDY 1 4 12 12   12 14¾ (bird alan)VIVES SOFIA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90 W
5  GENERAL COMMAND 5 1 32½ 32½   22 24¾ (simms c)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 18% 4.50 0.90 P
3  STREET SERENADE 3 5 55½ 56   52¾ 35½ (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.00 3.85  
6  SENSING HOLIDAY 6 3 45 43½   32½ 46¼ (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00 6.65  
4  JUSTIN'S WAY 4 2 22 22   42½ 56½ (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 51% 1.00 3.85  
2  SUPER HEADLINE 2 6 69½ 69½   67¾ 617¾ (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 39.25  
 
FE-3   07/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING PIPER 1 6 1½ 11½   12 19¼ (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.50 0.50  
3  WAR VOW 3 4 31 21½   22 29¼ (powel)DENNIS JEREMIAH 112 6.00 5% 19.00 20.85 P
5  TACHYON SPEED 4 3 64 47   33½ 311¼ (leblanc warren)SINGH S 122 4.50 38% 1.70 3.90 S
2  P T BEAUCETTE 2 5 2½ 36   44 413¼ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 34% 2.00 10.90  
8  RING IT UP 6 2 53½ 610   55 513¾ (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00 4.20  
7  MISS SINGH ANGEL 5 1 43 57½   65 619¼ (cohen michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 33.45  
SCR  IT'S ME               (agostino georg)SALLES LEO 122 5.00    
SCR  ROHESE               (william)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00    
 
FE-4   07/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CORE 2 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 11 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.20 W
5  ALACRITOUS 4 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 21 (buttigieg kevin)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 27% 2.70 6.35 P
6  SUNYANI 5 3 42¾ 34   33½ 31 (newland george)AEBLY FRASER 117 6.00 5% 19.00 1.90 S
2  SUMMER RETREAT 1 5 32½ 44½   46 49 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 12.95  
4  I LIVE BY FAITH 3 6 53¾ 5100   5100 5100 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 12.00 16.35  
7  MOBILIZER 6 4 64¾ 6100   6100 6100 (keen howard)VIVES SOFIA 115 15.00 5.70  
SCR  SHAKOO MAKOO               (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00    
 
FE-5   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOUNTAIN SOUND 5 6 88 77   41½ 11¼ (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00 6.40  
1  CANT BEAT THE KATZ 1 4 31½ 32   1½ 21¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.00 51% 1.00 5.95 P
3  J M R GEMMA 3 7 53 45   51¾ 33 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 S
8  BIG GINGER 8 1 2nk 1½   3½ 43½ (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 3.90  
6  FOREST B 6 2 1nk 2½   2½ 54½ (powell a)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 16% 5.30 5.25  
2  SHEBATOWN 2 8 65 66½   62¼ 65 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 12.00 8.35  
4  SILVER CANDICE 4 3 42½ 55   72¾ 76¼ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 124 2.50 5% 19.00 4.55  
7  LOADED VIXEN 7 5 75½ 88   85¾ 812½ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 10.00 6.35  
 
FE-6   07/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CREATIVPERFORMANCE 2 1 11 1½   1½ 1¼ (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 2.90  
7  ASHWICKEN 5 2 31½ 32½   3½ 2¼ (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 32% 2.10 7.20 P
8  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 6 3 54 55   41½ 3¼ (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 32% 2.10 1.85 S
2  FEW REGRETS 1 5 21 2½   2½ 41½ (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 2.00 3.05  
6  PICK A PENNY 4 4 42 43½   52½ 56¾ (fournier m)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 4.30  
5  SILENT WARNING 3 6 66 611   612½ 625¼ (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 15.00 5% 19.00 21.70  
SCR  HERMIONE GRANGER               (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
SCR  MENAGERIE               (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50    
SCR  MISS SCHILLER               (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.