Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY OF NO Jul01 Jun24 Dec05 Nov05 Oct09 (robillard josh)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 3.50    
GREAT GO GO Jul01 Jun11 May28 Nov05 Oct21 (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
HALF LIT Jul01 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Dec08 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
MUSICAL STRIDE Jun24 May31 May18 Dec10 Nov26 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 1.80    
BEND IN THE RIVER Jul01 Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Oct16 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
FE-2   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEEZESPEEDY Jun24 May28 Nov23 Nov09 Oct20 (bird alan)VIVES SOFIA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER HEADLINE Jul05 Jun07 May25 May05 Dec01 (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 12.00    
STREET SERENADE Jun24 Jun11 Dec02 Nov23 Nov12 (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 2.00    
JUSTIN'S WAY Jun16 Oct16 Sep25 Sep14 Aug22 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
GENERAL COMMAND Jul08 Jun25 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
SENSING HOLIDAY Oct27 Oct16 Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   07/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING PIPER Jun01         (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 2.50    
P T BEAUCETTE Jun25         (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
WAR VOW Jul02 Jun16 Jan01 Dec13 Nov18 (powel)DENNIS JEREMIAH 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROHESE Jul07 Jun25 May28 May11 Nov11 (william)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 8.00    
TACHYON SPEED Jul02 Jun16 Jun02 May10 Dec14 (leblanc warren)SINGH S 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  IT'S ME Jul02 Jun14 May25 Sep16 Aug16 (agostino georg)SALLES LEO 122 5.00    
MISS SINGH ANGEL Jul07 Jun25 Jul29     (cohen michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00    
RING IT UP Jun27 Jun02       (capi m)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00    
 
FE-4   07/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHAKOO MAKOO Oct21 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Jul10 (alderson anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 124 5.00    
SUMMER RETREAT Sep25 Aug09 Aug01 Jul16 Jul10 (robill)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
CORE Jul01 Jun04 Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
I LIVE BY FAITH Jul02 Jun16 Dec08 Nov17 Oct16 (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 117 12.00    
ALACRITOUS Sep12 Jul18 Jun18 May30 Apr23 (buttigieg kevin)BYNOE DESEAN 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
SUNYANI Jun16 Jun04 May05 Mar24 Feb23 (newland george)AEBLY FRASER 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
MOBILIZER Jun25 Jun07 May28 Oct17 Sep25 (keen howard)VIVES SOFIA 115 15.00    
 
FE-5   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT BEAT THE KATZ Jul01 Jun16 Oct17 Oct02 Sep04 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
SHEBATOWN Jun16 Sep04 Aug22 Aug15 Jul20 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 12.00    
J M R GEMMA Jul02 Jun16 Oct17 Sep25 Sep05 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SILVER CANDICE Jul01 Jun16 May07 Apr22 Jan31 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
MOUNTAIN SOUND Jun25 Dec07 Nov17 Oct26 Sep30 (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
FOREST B Jul01 Jun16 May18 Jan08 Dec13 (powell a)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
LOADED VIXEN Jun30 Jun02 Dec14 Nov16 Oct13 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 10.00    
BIG GINGER Jul02 Jun13 May30 May11 Dec14 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50    
 
FE-6   07/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS SCHILLER Jul01 Jun24 May28 Sep26 Aug29 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00    
FEW REGRETS Jun24 Jun04 May04 Apr02 Mar20 (buttigieg kevi)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 2.00    
CREATIVPERFORMANCE Jul02 May03 Apr21 Mar27 Mar10 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 8.00    
SCR  MENAGERIE Jun24 Jun16 Nov03 Oct19 Sep28 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50    
SILENT WARNING Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Sep26 Sep05 (lister steven)BADAL MAX 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
PICK A PENNY May28 Nov02 Oct09 Sep26 Aug28 (fourni)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00    
ASHWICKEN Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 Oct17 Oct03 (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Jun24 Jun16 Jun04 May28 May19 (newland george)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  HERMIONE GRANGER May28 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.