Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.70 $2.70  
FE-2   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
FE-3   Win (5/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
FE-4   Win (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
FE-5   Win (6/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $7.50  
FE-6   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.30  
FE-7   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
FE-8   Win (3/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $14.90  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN WIND 1 1 13 12   13 13½ (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60 30% 2.40 0.35 W
5  JOEYBONES 5 2 53¾ 33   23 23½ (carter )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 3.00 38% 1.70 2.85 P
4  JAVA POWER 4 4 43½ 43½   45 39¼ (pottinger anthony)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 10.50  
2  FRAC CITY 2 5 23 22   35 414½ (robillard josh)MUNOZ LARRY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
3  TIPSY FOX 3 3 33½ 54   58 521 (loescher paula)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.50 10.60  
 
FE-2   07/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STRIKE THE POSE 4 2 31 2nk   1nk 1nk (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 16% 5.10 2.00 W
2  GETTING AHEAD 2 5 11 1nk   2nk 2nk (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 48% 1.10 1.15 P
5  THIS ONE CAN RUN 5 3 52¼ 31½   31 31¾ (robillard juli)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.50 3.20  
3  STOLE THE RING 3 4 42 53   42½ 44¼ (chudobiak gary)SALLES LEO 122 8.00 13.65  
1  SO BREANNA 1 1 21 42½   53 55¾ (wills daniel)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.00 5% 19.00 7.65  
 
FE-3   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GHOSTLY PERFECTION 5 7 74 21   1nk 12¾ (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 34% 1.90 1.65 W
1  DAISYCREST 1 4 53 52¾   42½ 22¾ (agostino)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00 6.40  
6  BAD ZEZE 6 1 1½ 11   2nk 33¾ (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 4.00 20% 3.90 5.55 S
4  I'M PHANTOM 4 5 2½ 31   31½ 45½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 28.30 DQ↓7
7  FAITHFUL GIFT 7 2 31½ 42½   54½ 511 (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00 21.60  
2  AZIEL 2 3 63 6100   6100 6100 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 1.80 24% 3.20 1.25  
3  FEROCIOUS QUEEN 3 6 42½ 7100   7100 7100 (newland george)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00 39.00  
 
FE-4   07/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :47       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  QUARKY 4 1 1nk 11½   13½ 14¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.10 W
1  IT'S GAME KNIGHT 1 4 31½ 32   23½ 24¾ (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 15% 5.80 4.95 P
3  UNION COLONEL 3 5 41¾ 42   44½ 35¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 5.00 3.75  
7  HARDWARE GAP 7 7 62¾ 53   55½ 47½ (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00 18.95  
2  SENSIBLE PORTIONS 2 6 75¾ 76½   76¾ 57½ (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
6  EQUAL JUSTICE 6 3 2nk 21½   34½ 68 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 5.90  
5  RELOAD BULLET 5 2 52¾ 64   66½ 710 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.50 21% 3.80 7.30  
 
FE-5   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOXER BRIEF 2 7 64½ 63   2½ 12¼ (buttigi)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 3.00 2.75  
8  BAILS HIM OUT 8 3 1nk 11   1½ 22¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 124 6.00 8% 11.90 1.30 P
5  BOUND LUCKY 5 5 31 31   31 32¾ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
6  PARTY OF NO 6 4 41½ 21   41 43½ (robillard josh)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 2.00 56% 0.80 6.60  
1  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 1 6 75½ 86½   74¼ 56¾ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.50 14.85  
4  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 4 1 52½ 52½   52½ 67 (robillard julie)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 10.00 8% 12.30 7.20  
3  LOQUACIOUS 3 8 88½ 75½   64 78 (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00 41.10  
7  SOFIA'S SLUGGER 7 2 2nk 42   84¼ 813¼ (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 15.00 37.10  
 
FE-6   07/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:113 1:384   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PLUIE D'AVRIL 3 4 36 22 14 13½ 12¼ (simms c)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 4.15  
2  DONNARUMMA 2 2 26 56 58½ 34½ 22¼ (buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50 12% 7.20 6.25 P
6  SWEET SERENADE 6 3 57½ 34½ 24 23½ 34¼ (raghunath eric)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00 56% 0.80 1.75 S
4  MIMI'S HOLIDAY 4 5 47 45 37½ 46 49½ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 2.65  
1  SPIRIT BELLE 1 1 16 12 47½ 611 5100 (meli salvatore)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.75  
5  DOODLE DANDY 5 6 610½ 69 612 59 6100 (hoad linds)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00 31.15  
 
FE-7   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 2 2 31½ 3.2   11 1½ (humber )GASKIN ZAVIER 115 1.80 22% 3.50 1.00 W
4  SAILINGTHEISLANDS 4 7 42 72½   51¾ 2½ (dixon patrick)ZENTENO EDGAR 118 15.00 36.05  
3  BEST AND FINAL 3 4 72¾ 41¾   41½ 33 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 10.85  
7  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE 7 5 52½ 2nk   21 43¾ (robillard juli)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 15.00 25.25  
1  YOU SEE ME 1 6 21 51¾   62¼ 55½ (powell a)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 ★ 11.20  
6  OPEECHEE 6 1 62½ 62¼   72¼ 65½ (ceccato sharon)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.40  
5  SCREEN LEGEND 5 3 11 1nk   31 78¼ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 15% 5.70 4.40  
 
FE-8   07/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:23 :474       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHROME'S BIG BREAK 7 6 12½ 13½   13 13½ (crete pierre)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00 6.45  
7  DEVIL IN HER HEART 6 3 63¾ 55½   34½ 23½ (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 11.60  
3  CRUMLIN BIRD 2 2 42¾ 23½   23 33¾ (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50 33% 2.10 0.70 S
6  SPRING HIGH 5 7 75¾ 67   54¾ 45¾ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 42.85  
9  FRERET 8 1 52¾ 44½   44½ 56 (agostino geor)MORENO OMAR 124 4.00 24% 3.20 2.40  
5  EASY ACCESS 4 8 86¼ 89   76¾ 612½ (keen howard)WOLFE TENECA 122 20.00 87.10  
4  NEW YORK MINT 3 4 22½ 33½   65¾ 712½ (bennett)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00 54.40  
1  HEADING WEST 1 5 32½ 78   87¾ 821½ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.50 20% 3.90 13.45  
SCR  AWILDAS TREASURE               (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.