Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (5/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/7)-(4/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-4   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(6/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (6/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5)-(6/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/4/5)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(3/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (3/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6)-(3/9/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN WIND Jul12 Jun28 Jun09 Aug17 Jul22 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.60 30% 2.40    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of CARAH FIVE by YOU AND I)
2  FRAC CITY Jun28 Jun02 Apr27 Dec10   (robillard josh)MUNOZ LARRY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of WOODLAND CITY by AL MUFTI)
3  TIPSY FOX Jul12 Jun16 Dec17     (loescher pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.50    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of ANTE UP AUNTEE by OLD FORESTER)
4  JAVA POWER Jul12 Jun28 Jun15     (pottinger anthon)SALLES LEO 120 3.50    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
5  JOEYBONES Jul16 Jun28 May26     (carte)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S GOT FIRE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
 
FE-2   07/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO BREANNA Jul08 Nov04 Oct16 Oct03 Sep22 (wills daniel)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  GETTING AHEAD Jun25 Jun11 May23 Oct17 Sep26 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
3  STOLE THE RING Jul04 Jun16 Jun11 May28 Dec01 (chudobiak gary)SALLES LEO 122 8.00    
4  STRIKE THE POSE Jun11 May28 Oct17 Oct06 Sep15 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 16% 5.10    
5  THIS ONE CAN RUN Jul08 Jun04 May12 Apr30 Apr22 (robillard ju)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.50    
 
FE-3   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAISYCREST Jul11 Jun20 May31 Nov11 Oct21 (agosti)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  AZIEL Jun28 Jun07 May18 Apr27 Oct15 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 1.80 24% 3.20    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of NOW AND ALWAYS by STORMELLO)
3  FEROCIOUS QUEEN Jul02 Dec07 Nov17     (newland georg)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of KRISMAS PROSPECT by ARCH)
4  I'M PHANTOM Jul02 Dec14 Nov30 Oct07 Sep14 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 12.00    
  (by SLIGO BAY out of DOWOOPER by E DUBAI)
5  GHOSTLY PERFECTION Jul04 Jun20 May17 May05 Dec07 (spada lauren)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WILNOSPERFECTION by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
6  BAD ZEZE Jul07         (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of WICKED ROMANCE by DEHERE)
7  FAITHFUL GIFT Jul02         (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SUNSHINE GRACIE by SUNDARBAN)
 
FE-4   07/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S GAME KNIGHT Jul08 Jun24 Aug19 Jul09 Jun23 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
2  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Sep29 Sep11 Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNION COLONEL Jul07 Jun24 Oct09 Sep23 Aug29 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 5.00    
4  QUARKY Jun24 Jun11 May20 May05 Apr23 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  RELOAD BULLET Jun04 May28 May12 Dec17 Dec01 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  EQUAL JUSTICE Jun24 May20 May05 Oct23 Oct08 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50    
7  HARDWARE GAP Jul02 Jun21 May25 May05 Dec17 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 8.00    
 
FE-5   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct16 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.50    
2  BOXER BRIEF Jul08 Jun07 May24 May05 Dec01 (butti)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 3.00    
3  LOQUACIOUS Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Oct16 (chudobiak ga)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00    
4  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Jul08 May21 May06 Apr21 Jan22 (robillard jul)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 10.00 8% 12.30    
5  BOUND LUCKY Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Nov12 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PARTY OF NO Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 Dec05 Nov05 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
7  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Jun24 Dec05 Oct31 Oct18 Sep04 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 124 15.00    
8  BAILS HIM OUT Jun24 May28 May07 Feb13 Dec30 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 124 6.00 8% 11.90    
 
FE-6   07/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT BELLE Jul01 Jun16 May28 Nov16 Nov04 (meli salvator)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DONNARUMMA Mar06 Feb19 Feb08 Jan03 Dec07 (buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
3  PLUIE D'AVRIL Jul01 Oct19 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 (simms c)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
4  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Jul07 Jul01 Jun04 Feb14 Jan25 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 2.00    
5  DOODLE DANDY Jul07 Jul01 Jun16 May28 May11 (hoad lin)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00    
6  SWEET SERENADE Jul04 Jun20 Nov16 Apr12 Feb25 (raghunath er)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
FE-7   07/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU SEE ME Jul16 Jul01 Jun24 Jun11   (powell a)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 ★    
2  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jul08 Jul01 Jun11 Dec08 Nov25 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 1.80 22% 3.50    
3  BEST AND FINAL Jul01 Jun11 Nov14 Nov01 Jul11 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 3.50    
4  SAILINGTHEISLANDS Jul05 May31       (dixon patrick)ZENTENO EDGAR 118 15.00    
5  SCREEN LEGEND Jun11 May28 Dec17 Dec08 Nov12 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
6  OPEECHEE Jul07 Jun25 May28 Apr28 Nov12 (ceccato sharo)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  FINAL RUN FOR LOVE Jun21         (robillard ju)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 15.00    
 
FE-8   07/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEADING WEST Jul02 Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  AWILDAS TREASURE Jul01 Jun04 May18 May04 Mar28 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00    
3  CRUMLIN BIRD Jun13 Oct20 Oct02 Sep25 Sep19 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  NEW YORK MINT Jul01 Jun04 Jul25 Jun27 May23 (benne)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00    
5  EASY ACCESS Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 Oct17 Oct09 (keen howard)WOLFE TENECA 122 20.00    
6  SPRING HIGH Jul01 Jun16 May28 May14 Sep26 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEVIL IN HER HEART Jul01 Jun04 May11 Apr27 Oct02 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00    
8  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 May28 May12 (crete pierre)VIVES SOFIA 117 5.00    
9  FRERET Oct02 Sep19 Sep07 Aug21 Jul11 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.