Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $13.60 $9.60 240%
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-1 $9.80 $7.80 390%
FE-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-4 $10.75 $6.75 169%
    DD (1/2)-(3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-6 $16.25 $12.25 306%
FE-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $12.40 $6.40 107%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:131 1:40   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLLABORATIVE 4 1 2nk 2½ 1½ 11 12½ (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 4.95 DQ↓3
2  FIFTH SEASON 2 2 33 33½ 31½ 31 22½ (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 5% 19.00 5.80 W
1  CARPE BELLUM 1 3 1nk 1½ 2½ 21 33¾ (silva pab)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.60 54% 0.80 0.35 P
3  SANTIAGO SALSA 3 4 44½ 45 44 43 48¼ (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5.55  
SCR  GLORIOUS TRIBUTE               (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 2.00    
 
FE-2   07/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:132 1:40   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OCTOBER FROST 5 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 11¼ (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 13% 6.80 1.50 W
4  THELONIOUS 4 3 33 32½ 31½ 1nk 21¼ (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 ★ 5.10 P
1  PRIVATE NETWORK 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 31 36½ (keen howard)WOLFE TENECA 124 3.00 1.55  
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 2 4 48 514 512 55 410¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00 10.55  
3  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 3 5 511½ 412 410½ 44 511 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 42% 1.40 4.75  
SCR  GRAND GIZMO               (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.00    
 
FE-3   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAMANA 6 1 23½ 22   2½ 1½ (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 0.85  
5  SPEEDY JOHNY 5 2 13½ 12   1½ 2½ (dav)DENNIS JEREMIAH 114 3.00 2.35  
1  ZAFEATHER 1 5 33½ 35   34 38¾ (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50 34% 2.00 7.00 S
3  JIMMY IS A BREEZE 3 4 56¾ 47   46 412½ (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 18% 4.40 7.95  
4  RIFLING 4 6 68¾ 69   57 515¼ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
2  T'PRING 2 3 46½ 58½   67½ 619½ (clemmer krist)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00 38.85  
 
FE-4   07/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:222 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED MAPLE 3 1 11 11   11 1nk (wieczorek kendr)VIVES SOFIA 122 15.00 2.80  
6  STORMY SOUL 4 3 21 21   21 2nk (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 50% 1.00 4.40 P
3  ANARCHY 2 2 31 31½   31½ 31 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80 0.55  
1  EXCEED 1 4 43½ 45   46½ 46¾ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  QUARKY               (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 4.00    
 
FE-5   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FOLLOW ME HOME 5 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 55% 0.80 2.80 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREATEST ESCAPE by GAME PLAN)
3  TONKA WAKAN 3 4 41½ 42 2nk 2nk 2nk (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 14% 6.10 1.90 P
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
1  JOEYBONES 1 3 55 53½ 31½ 33½ 37 (carter angelle)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00 3.10  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S GOT FIRE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
2  PERSEVERE 2 2 2nk 32 43 45 412¼ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 3.00 2.25  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  YOU SEE ME 4 5 3½ 2½ 56 528 5100 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00 17.75  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of CAUGHT MY EYE by HANSEL)
 
FE-6   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NAMEOFTHEGAME 6 3 11 12½   14 16½ (newland )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 4.55  
5  M C JACKHAMMER 5 2 21 22½   24 26½ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.50 7% 12.80 6.60 P
7  BACK TO REALITY 7 5 42½ 43½   35 38¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 62% 0.60 3.45 S
2  MOMENT OF ZEN 2 4 54 33½   45 49½ (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 14.90  
3  BUSTA GROOVE 3 6 64 53¾   55½ 511¾ (agostino roy )PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 3.10  
1  FAJARDO 1 7 76 77¼   77¼ 615¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 8.00 5% 17.40 4.45  
4  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE 4 1 31½ 63¾   65¾ 716 (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00 ★ 4.50  
 
FE-7   07/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED QUESTION 1 3 2nk 1nk   12 13¾ (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 4.50 1.20  
8  LITTLE FIRE 4 5 44 34½   33½ 23¾ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.50 3.35  
9  MS SUEDOO 5 4 65¼ 67¼   54½ 33¾ (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 13.65  
3  MUSICAL RIDE 3 2 1nk 2nk   22 48¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 42% 1.40 4.20  
10  LOUEMMA 6 1 54¼ 44¾   44 58½ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
2  BORN TO BE GOOD 2 6 32 54¾   66 612¼ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 124 10.00 14% 6.40 7.45  
SCR  AWILDAS TREASURE               (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 124 3.00    
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH               (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
SCR  CHROME'S BIG BREAK               (crete pierre)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00    
SCR  NEW YORK MINT               (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.