Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $13.60 $9.60 240%
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-1 $9.80 $7.80 390%
FE-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-4 $10.75 $6.75 169%
    DD (1/2)-(3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-6 $16.25 $12.25 306%
FE-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $12.40 $6.40 107%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COLLABORATIVE   (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 4.95 DQ↓3
2  FIFTH SEASON   (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 5% 19.00 5.80 W
1  CARPE BELLUM   (silva pab)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.60 54% 0.80 0.35 P
3  SANTIAGO SALSA   (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5.55  
SCR  GLORIOUS TRIBUTE   (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 2.00    
 
FE-2   07/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OCTOBER FROST   (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 13% 6.80 1.50 W
4  THELONIOUS   (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 ★ 5.10 P
1  PRIVATE NETWORK   (keen howard)WOLFE TENECA 124 3.00 1.55  
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE   (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00 10.55  
3  REDOUTE'S LIGHT   (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 42% 1.40 4.75  
SCR  GRAND GIZMO   (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.00    
 
FE-3   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAMANA   (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00 0.85  
5  SPEEDY JOHNY   (dav)DENNIS JEREMIAH 114 3.00 2.35  
1  ZAFEATHER   (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50 34% 2.00 7.00 S
3  JIMMY IS A BREEZE   (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 18% 4.40 7.95  
4  RIFLING   (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
2  T'PRING   (clemmer krist)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00 38.85  
 
FE-4   07/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED MAPLE   (wieczorek kendr)VIVES SOFIA 122 15.00 2.80  
6  STORMY SOUL   (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 50% 1.00 4.40 P
3  ANARCHY   (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80 0.55  
1  EXCEED   (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  QUARKY   (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50    
SCR  UNION COLONEL   (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 4.00    
 
FE-5   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FOLLOW ME HOME   (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 55% 0.80 2.80 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREATEST ESCAPE by GAME PLAN)
3  TONKA WAKAN   (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 14% 6.10 1.90 P
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
1  JOEYBONES   (carter angelle)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00 3.10  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S GOT FIRE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
2  PERSEVERE   (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 3.00 2.25  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  YOU SEE ME   (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 4.50 5% 19.00 17.75  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of CAUGHT MY EYE by HANSEL)
 
FE-6   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NAMEOFTHEGAME   (newland )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 4.55  
5  M C JACKHAMMER   (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.50 7% 12.80 6.60 P
7  BACK TO REALITY   (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 62% 0.60 3.45 S
2  MOMENT OF ZEN   (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00 14.90  
3  BUSTA GROOVE   (agostino roy )PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 3.10  
1  FAJARDO   (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 8.00 5% 17.40 4.45  
4  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE   (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00 ★ 4.50  
 
FE-7   07/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED QUESTION   (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 4.50 1.20  
8  LITTLE FIRE   (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.50 3.35  
9  MS SUEDOO   (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 13.65  
3  MUSICAL RIDE   (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 42% 1.40 4.20  
10  LOUEMMA   (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
2  BORN TO BE GOOD   (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 124 10.00 14% 6.40 7.45  
SCR  AWILDAS TREASURE   (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 124 3.00    
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH   (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
SCR  CHROME'S BIG BREAK   (crete pierre)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00    
SCR  NEW YORK MINT   (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.