Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/4)-(7/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(3/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (3/2/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/10)-(3/2/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/10)-(3/2/10)-(3/2/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE BELLUM Jul01 Jun16 May05 Mar12 Feb27 (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
2  FIFTH SEASON Jul01 Jun11 Oct16 Oct03 Sep18 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  SANTIAGO SALSA Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 Oct17 Oct10 (keen howard)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
SCR  GLORIOUS TRIBUTE Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 Feb21 Jan24 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 2.00    
5  COLLABORATIVE Jun24 May31 May11 Nov24 Nov16 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00    
 
FE-2   07/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE NETWORK Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 Apr24 Mar29 (keen howard)WOLFE TENECA 124 3.00    
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Jul08 Jun24 May28 Dec05 Nov06 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 20.00    
3  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Jul08 Jun11 May28 Nov15 Nov01 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  THELONIOUS Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 Oct17 Oct10 (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  GRAND GIZMO Jul01 Jun04 Apr03 Mar26 Mar04 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 4.00    
6  OCTOBER FROST Jul08 Jun14 May31 Dec30 Dec15 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 13% 6.80    
 
FE-3   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAFEATHER Jun25 Oct17 Sep04 Aug15 Jul18 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
2  T'PRING Jul02 Jun25 Jun16 May28 May17 (clemmer krist)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00    
3  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Jul02 Jun11 May28 Nov30 Nov17 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
4  RIFLING Jun25 Nov30 Nov23 Nov04 Oct05 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPEEDY JOHNY Jul02 Jun16 Jun11 May17 May04 (dav)DENNIS JEREMIAH 114 3.00    
6  TAMANA Jul07 Jun27 Jun11 May28 Nov16 (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.00    
 
FE-4   07/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCEED Jul01 Jun11 May28 Dec01 Nov12 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNION COLONEL Jul07 Jun24 Oct09 Sep23 Aug29 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 4.00    
3  ANARCHY Jun24 May28 Dec01 Nov02 Oct12 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 1.80    
4  RED MAPLE Jul01 Jun11 Oct10 Sep04 Jul31 (wieczorek ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 15.00    
SCR  QUARKY Jun24 Jun11 May20 May05 Apr23 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50    
6  STORMY SOUL Jun24 Jun11 May13 Sep18 Sep04 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
FE-5   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEYBONES Jun28 May26       (carter angelle)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S GOT FIRE by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
2  PERSEVERE Jul01 Dec15 Nov03     (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FINN'S JEWEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  TONKA WAKAN Jul01 Dec15 Nov25 Nov10 Oct09 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of HIJIKI by GLOBALIZE)
4  YOU SEE ME Jul01 Jun24 Jun11     (powe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of CAUGHT MY EYE by HANSEL)
5  FOLLOW ME HOME Jun24 May28       (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREATEST ESCAPE by GAME PLAN)
 
FE-6   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAJARDO Jul08 Jun25 May28 Sep26 Sep11 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 8.00 5% 17.40    
2  MOMENT OF ZEN Jul07 Jun14 May31 May11 Aug25 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 6.00    
3  BUSTA GROOVE Jun28 May28 Apr28 Dec08 Nov25 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 2.50    
4  SPIRIT OF SEATTLE Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May05 Mar26 (powell a)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 5.00 ★    
5  M C JACKHAMMER Jun04 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.50 7% 12.80    
6  NAMEOFTHEGAME Jun25 Jun14 May30 Aug27 Aug13 (newland )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
7  BACK TO REALITY Jun24 Jun04 Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 62% 0.60    
 
FE-7   07/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADED QUESTION Jul02 Jun16 May23 May04 Nov09 (humbe)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 4.50    
2  BORN TO BE GOOD Jun25 Oct03 Sep04 Aug13 Jul25 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 124 10.00 14% 6.40    
3  MUSICAL RIDE Jun04 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 Sep19 (robi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  BRIENNE OF TARTH Jul01 Jun04 Oct20 Oct02 Sep19 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
SCR  NEW YORK MINT Jul01 Jun04 Jul25 Jun27 May23 (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 12.00    
SCR  CHROME'S BIG BREAK Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 May28 May12 (crete pierre)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00    
SCR  AWILDAS TREASURE Jul01 Jun04 May18 May04 Mar28 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 124 3.00    
8  LITTLE FIRE Jul01 Jun14 May18 May04 Nov18 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 124 2.50    
9  MS SUEDOO Jun25 Dec10 Nov12 Oct24 Oct16 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00    
10  LOUEMMA Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 Oct09 Sep19 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.