Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-5   WIN (10/8/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $12.00 $2.00 20%
    EXA (10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-3 $139.80 $99.80 250%
    TRI (10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-3-6 $163.00 $133.00 443%
    SFT (10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-3-6-8 $261.25 $249.25 2077%
MVR-6   TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-3-7 $11.15 $2.15 24%
    DD (10/8/6/3/5)-(4/7/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00  5-4 $31.20 $1.20 4%
MVR-7   PK3 (10/8/6/3/5)-(4/7/3)-(1/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50  5-4-1 $24.35 $1.85 8%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE BOTTOMS 1 4 2 2   2nk 1 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 1.60  
  (by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
COMPLEXITY GIRL 5 2 1 1   1nk 2 (rivera r)FELICIANO R 122 4.00 3.60  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
SECRET VALENTINE 2 3 4 37   34 3 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.50 29% 2.50 2.00 S
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT 4 5 59 514½   510 416 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 7% 13.80 7.70  
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BILLBOARD HIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RYZEN 6 1 34 4   48 516¼ (caramori caio)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 9.40  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
A THOUSAND PRAYERS 3 6 610 614½   612½ 628 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 22% 3.60 11.30  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
SCR  HOLIDAY MUSICAL               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
MVR-2   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANIAN PRINCE 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 3.00 0.40  
ENVELOPE PLEASE 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 29% 2.40 3.40 P
GRAY TORMENTOR 2 2 35 36   3 3 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 9.50  
OBI KENOBI 4 4 4 4   46 4 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 124 4.00 5.30  
GRAY DAY 3 5 5 5   5 57 (evans ii)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
SCR  HIDDEN RANSOM               (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-3   11/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :47       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF AKRON 5 1 12 12   14 15 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 15.00 12.20  
GOLDEN MONEY 3 4 4 43   34 25 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 124 5.00 23% 3.40 2.90 P
STONE COLD CAT 4 5 58 58   57 37 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 11% 8.40 1.20 S
WORTHY OPPONENT 1 3 22 22   24 48 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.70  
NAMBITI 2 2 33 32   4 511¼ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 4.60  
SCR  BIG TIME FLIRT               (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
SCR  NICK CAN FIX               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00    
 
MVR-4   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILL'S BOY 1 5 11 12   14 1 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 3.40  
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
DRILL CITY 6 2 67 6   58 2 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 122 5.00 5.90  
  (by DRILL out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
SILVER IS A GIFT 7 1 3 22   35 39 (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 1.40 26% 2.80 0.90 S
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
BLUE BLOOD COWBOY 5 4 4 32   24 410 (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00 16.40  
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
DUO 2 6 5 5   46 511¼ (winters mich)HALDAR J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
FLARING SONG 4 7 7 7   711 618¾ (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 24% 3.10 22.20  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
COUPLE BEERS DEEP 3 3 21 4   68 722¾ (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 122 6.00 15% 5.90 4.50  
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
MVR-5   11/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:132 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR NASH 5 1 3 4 1½ 1½ 1 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
BOURBON WISDOM 3 7 4 34 4¾ 2½ 2 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50 P
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 6 8 810¾ 5 3½ 3 37 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 11% 7.80 5.20 S
MAYITO 8 2 710½ 7 6 4 4 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.50 20% 3.90 7.20  
AULD LANGE SYNE 4 6 59 6 7 6 512¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 16.40  
BREEZY MONEY 1 4 2 2 2½ 55 614½ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00 6.00  
HUNTER SCOTT 9 3 912¼ 912¾ 95 7 715¼ (poole )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7.20  
CREDIT RIVER 2 10 610½ 8 83 8 816¾ (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 12.00 10.50  
10  STRIKE APPEAL 10 9 1012¾ 1014¾ 109 1014½ 931¼ (winters mich)HALDAR J 124 4.00 43% 1.30 3.10  
MAGICAL MONARCH 7 5 1 1 5 911½ 1036 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 12.50  
 
MVR-6   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVID 4 3 11 11   13 1 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.00 34% 1.90 1.20 W
  (by CAMBRE out of PREACHETTE by PULPIT)
DUSTY BILLY 3 5 77 66   47 2 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 5.00 16% 5.40 3.00 P
  (by BIRDRUN out of DUSTY LILY by DESERT WARRIOR)
WILD DOMAIN 7 2 4 21   23 3 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 22% 3.60 3.10 S
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
JOHN FITZGERALD 6 1 31 31   33 4 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 6.20  
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
DRILL EM 1 7 66 5   5 511¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 28.00  
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
BOBBY ROB 2 6 52 44   6 620 (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 20.00 27.30  
  (by DRILL out of KAREN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
KIMMY'S FLAGSHIP 5 4 21 7   714 729¾ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 13.10  
  (by FLAGSHIP out of KIMTASTIC by DISCREET CAT)
 
MVR-7   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP 1 4 12 1   12 1 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80 51% 1.00 1.00 W
MORE LOVE 3 2 3 3   3 2 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 2.00  
SHARP HERO 2 1 22 2   22 3 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 120 4.00 7.50  
RAINBOW'S PRIDE 5 6 6 5   5 410 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.50 18% 4.70 4.20  
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 4 5 53 44   4 510¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 11.80  
TIME TO SHOOT 6 3 4 6   6 616½ (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 12.00 7% 13.50 38.00  
 
MVR-8   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
1:132         1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 2 1nk 1   12 1¾ (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00 25.90  
LARRY'S ANGEL 8 1 3 45   22 2¾ (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 1.60 60% 0.70 0.60 P
CALI CRUISER 5 8 7 35   32 3 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 7% 14.00 6.10 S
DERBY DAY KISS 2 7 6 5   5 4 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 11% 7.80 3.10  
FANCIFUL 1 4 2nk 2   4 5 (caramori caio)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 14.10  
SUGAR LOVES IT 9 3 5 66   6 610 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 4 6 911¼ 8   7 710¾ (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 15.00 46.40  
DANZANITEAWAY 7 9 8 9   9 814¾ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 44.40  
NATIONAL DIAMOND 3 5 4 7   8 916¾ (rivera nesto)AYALA J 122 15.00 56.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.