Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.20  
MVR-2   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $2.80  
MVR-3   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $26.40  
MVR-4   Win (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.80  
MVR-5   Win (10/8/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 2.00
MVR-6   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
MVR-7   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MVR-8   Win (8/2/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $53.80  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE BOTTOMS 1 4 2 2   2nk 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 1.60  
COMPLEXITY GIRL 5 2 1 1   1nk 2 (rivera r)FELICIANO R 122 4.00 3.60  
SECRET VALENTINE 2 3 4 37   34 3 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.50 29% 2.50 2.00 S
FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT 4 5 59 514½   510 416 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 7% 13.80 7.70  
RYZEN 6 1 34 4   48 516¼ (caramori caio)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 9.40  
A THOUSAND PRAYERS 3 6 610 614½   612½ 628 (rivera nestor)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 22% 3.60 11.30  
SCR  HOLIDAY MUSICAL               (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 8.00    
 
MVR-2   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANIAN PRINCE 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 3.00 0.40  
ENVELOPE PLEASE 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (maker j)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 29% 2.40 3.40 P
GRAY TORMENTOR 2 2 35 36   3 3 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00 9.50  
OBI KENOBI 4 4 4 4   46 4 (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 124 4.00 5.30  
GRAY DAY 3 5 5 5   5 57 (evans ii)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
SCR  HIDDEN RANSOM               (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-3   11/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :47       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF AKRON 5 1 12 12   14 15 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 15.00 12.20  
GOLDEN MONEY 3 4 4 43   34 25 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 124 5.00 23% 3.40 2.90 P
STONE COLD CAT 4 5 58 58   57 37 (calderon ivan)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 11% 8.40 1.20 S
WORTHY OPPONENT 1 3 22 22   24 48 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.70  
NAMBITI 2 2 33 32   4 511¼ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 4.60  
SCR  BIG TIME FLIRT               (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
SCR  NICK CAN FIX               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00    
 
MVR-4   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILL'S BOY 1 5 11 12   14 1 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00 3.40  
DRILL CITY 6 2 67 6   58 2 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 122 5.00 5.90  
SILVER IS A GIFT 7 1 3 22   35 39 (andrade hugo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 1.40 26% 2.80 0.90 S
BLUE BLOOD COWBOY 5 4 4 32   24 410 (dacosta jason)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00 16.40  
DUO 2 6 5 5   46 511¼ (winters michel)HALDAR J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
FLARING SONG 4 7 7 7   711 618¾ (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 24% 3.10 22.20  
COUPLE BEERS DEEP 3 3 21 4   68 722¾ (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 122 6.00 15% 5.90 4.50  
 
MVR-5   11/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:132 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR NASH 5 1 3 4 1½ 1½ 1 (cannon s)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
BOURBON WISDOM 3 7 4 34 4¾ 2½ 2 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50 P
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 6 8 810¾ 5 3½ 3 37 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 11% 7.80 5.20 S
MAYITO 8 2 710½ 7 6 4 4 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.50 20% 3.90 7.20  
AULD LANGE SYNE 4 6 59 6 7 6 512¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 16.40  
BREEZY MONEY 1 4 2 2 2½ 55 614½ (rivera r)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6.00  
HUNTER SCOTT 9 3 912¼ 912¾ 95 7 715¼ (poole jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7.20  
CREDIT RIVER 2 10 610½ 8 83 8 816¾ (castro a)BRACHO A 124 12.00 10.50  
10  STRIKE APPEAL 10 9 1012¾ 1014¾ 109 1014½ 931¼ (winters michel)HALDAR J 124 4.00 43% 1.30 3.10  
MAGICAL MONARCH 7 5 1 1 5 911½ 1036 (farrior anthony)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 12.50  
 
MVR-6   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVID 4 3 11 11   13 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.00 34% 1.90 1.20 W
DUSTY BILLY 3 5 77 66   47 2 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 5.00 16% 5.40 3.00 P
WILD DOMAIN 7 2 4 21   23 3 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 22% 3.60 3.10 S
JOHN FITZGERALD 6 1 31 31   33 4 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 6.20  
DRILL EM 1 7 66 5   5 511¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 28.00  
BOBBY ROB 2 6 52 44   6 620 (szczepanski em)GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 20.00 27.30  
KIMMY'S FLAGSHIP 5 4 21 7   714 729¾ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 13.10  
 
MVR-7   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:23 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP 1 4 12 1   12 1 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80 51% 1.00 1.00 W
MORE LOVE 3 2 3 3   3 2 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 2.00  
SHARP HERO 2 1 22 2   22 3 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 120 4.00 7.50  
RAINBOW'S PRIDE 5 6 6 5   5 410 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.50 18% 4.70 4.20  
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 4 5 53 44   4 510¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 11.80  
TIME TO SHOOT 6 3 4 6   6 616½ (rettele richar)HALDAR J 123 12.00 7% 13.50 38.00  
 
MVR-8   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
1:132         1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 2 1nk 1   12 1¾ (skerrett jeffr)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00 25.90  
LARRY'S ANGEL 8 1 3 45   22 2¾ (cowans william )BRACHO A 124 1.60 60% 0.70 0.60 P
CALI CRUISER 5 8 7 35   32 3 (calderon ivan)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 7% 14.00 6.10 S
DERBY DAY KISS 2 7 6 5   5 4 (clin)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 11% 7.80 3.10  
FANCIFUL 1 4 2nk 2   4 5 (caramori caio)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 14.10  
SUGAR LOVES IT 9 3 5 66   6 610 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 4 6 911¼ 8   7 710¾ (rettele richar)HALDAR J 124 15.00 46.40  
DANZANITEAWAY 7 9 8 9   9 814¾ (barker scott )JIMENEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 44.40  
NATIONAL DIAMOND 3 5 4 7   8 916¾ (rivera nestor )AYALA J 122 15.00 56.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.