Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(2/1/4)-(2/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/5/6)-(7/4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(7/4/3/2)-(10/8/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(10/8/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(10/8/6/3/5)-(4/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (10/8/6/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5)-(10/8/6/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/6/3/5)-(4/7/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/8/6/3/5)-(4/7/3)-(1/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(1/5/6)-(8/2/5/7/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(8/2/5/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/2/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/7/9)-(8/2/5/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/7/9)-(8/2/5/7/9)-(8/2/5/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE BOTTOMS Oct26 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BELLAMY BROOKE by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  HOLIDAY MUSICAL Oct09         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  SECRET VALENTINE Oct26 Sep16 Aug28 Jun26 Jun15 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BETROTHED by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  A THOUSAND PRAYERS         (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
5  FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT Oct26         (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BILLBOARD HIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  COMPLEXITY GIRL Oct26 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 (rivera r)FELICIANO R 122 4.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
7  RYZEN Oct07         (caramori caio)AVILES YAN 122 4.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
MVR-2   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENVELOPE PLEASE Oct05 Sep07       (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  HIDDEN RANSOM Oct29 Sep23 Aug29 May13 Apr23 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  GRAY TORMENTOR Oct29 Sep23 Sep14 Jul15 Jun27 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 10.00    
4  GRAY DAY Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul31 (evans ii)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  OBI KENOBI Oct23 Oct05 Aug24     (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 124 4.00    
6  ROMANIAN PRINCE Sep23 May04 Mar28 Mar05 Feb22 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 122 3.00    
 
MVR-3   11/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NICK CAN FIX Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00    
2  WORTHY OPPONENT Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  NAMBITI Nov02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
SCR  BIG TIME FLIRT Oct09 Sep26 Sep05 Aug19 Jul25 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
5  GOLDEN MONEY Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 Sep04 Aug12 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
6  STONE COLD CAT Oct26 Oct08 Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 11% 8.40    
7  SPIRIT OF AKRON Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 15.00    
 
MVR-4   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL'S BOY Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 Sep16 Aug30 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
2  DUO Oct28 Sep25       (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
3  COUPLE BEERS DEEP         (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 122 6.00 15% 5.90    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  FLARING SONG         (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 24% 3.10    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
5  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Oct28 Sep25 Sep16     (dacosta jas)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
6  DRILL CITY Oct28         (meyers shane)BRACHO A 122 5.00    
  (by DRILL out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
7  SILVER IS A GIFT Sep19 Aug31       (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 1.40 26% 2.80    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
 
MVR-5   11/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREEZY MONEY Oct20 Sep18 Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00    
2  CREDIT RIVER Oct23 Aug27 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
3  BOURBON WISDOM Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 May30 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AULD LANGE SYNE Oct23 Oct08 Aug29 Aug12 Jul22 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
5  DOCTOR NASH Oct07 Aug27 Jun26 Jun07 May12 (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Oct23 Oct01 Apr02 Feb20 Jan23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
7  MAGICAL MONARCH Nov01 Oct20 Sep02 Aug16 Jul20 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
8  MAYITO Oct15 Sep02 Jul30 Jul08 Apr02 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.50 20% 3.90    
9  HUNTER SCOTT Oct11 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 (poole )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
10  STRIKE APPEAL Sep18 Aug27 Jul09 Jun26 Dec28 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
 
MVR-6   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL EM Sep25 Sep16       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
2  BOBBY ROB Oct28         (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 122 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of KAREN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
3  DUSTY BILLY Oct28         (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 5.00 16% 5.40    
  (by BIRDRUN out of DUSTY LILY by DESERT WARRIOR)
4  OVID         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CAMBRE out of PREACHETTE by PULPIT)
5  KIMMY'S FLAGSHIP         (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 ★    
  (by FLAGSHIP out of KIMTASTIC by DISCREET CAT)
6  JOHN FITZGERALD Oct28 Oct09 Sep25     (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50    
  (by KENNEDY out of SMILE AND A WINK by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  WILD DOMAIN         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by ONE SIDED out of ENDEARED by BIRDSTONE)
 
MVR-7   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Oct30 Sep08 Aug26 Jul03 May21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80 51% 1.00    
2  SHARP HERO Oct19 Sep12 Jun07 Sep16 Aug20 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 120 4.00    
3  MORE LOVE Oct30 Oct03 Sep18 Oct24 Oct02 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00    
4  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Nov05 Oct26 Sep10 Aug29 Aug10 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
5  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Oct30 Oct02 Aug20 May23 May07 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  TIME TO SHOOT Oct28 Oct08 Sep11 Jul24 Jul03 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 123 12.00 7% 13.50    
 
MVR-8   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCIFUL Oct05 Sep18 Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 (caramori caio)AVILES YAN 122 4.50    
2  DERBY DAY KISS Oct28 Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 Jun07 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.00 11% 7.80    
3  NATIONAL DIAMOND Oct28 Oct02 Sep11 Aug31 Aug22 (rivera nesto)AYALA J 122 15.00    
4  MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov04 Oct21 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
5  CALI CRUISER Oct28 Aug30 Aug12 Jul04 Jun18 (calderon iv)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
6  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Oct28 Aug26 Jul25 Jul03 Jun03 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00    
7  DANZANITEAWAY Oct28 Sep20 Aug17 Aug03 Jul12 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LARRY'S ANGEL Aug26 Jul11 Jun07 May02 Feb08 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 1.60 60% 0.70    
9  SUGAR LOVES IT Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.