Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.60 $1.60 27%
MVR-4   WIN (6/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.00 $4.00 50%
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/2/8/7)-(6/9/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-1/8-5 $213.45 $189.45 789%
MVR-5   EXA (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-7 $190.80 $158.80 496%
    TRI (3/8/6/4)-(3/8/6/7/4)-(3/8/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-7-6 $175.00 $151.00 629%
    DD (6/9/5/1)-(3/8/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-8 $38.00 $6.00 19%
MVR-6   WIN (1/9/6/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $14.40 $4.40 44%
    EXA (1/9/6/4/5)-(1/9/6/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-1 $76.80 $36.80 92%
    DD (3/8/6/4)-(1/9/6/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-6 $101.00 $61.00 153%
    PK3 (6/9/5/1)-(3/8/6/4)-(1/9/6/4/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00  5-1/8-6 $83.45 $43.45 109%
MVR-7   PK3 (3/8/6/4)-(1/9/6/4/5)-(8/2/4/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00  8-6-8 $52.75 $12.75 32%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:132 1:262   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAT ON TIME 3 5 55 33 2nk 13 17½ (rivelli larr)HALDAR J 124 1.00 39% 1.60 0.10 W
2  PLAIN AND SIMPLE 1 1 12½ 11½ 1nk 23 27½ (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
7  MASTER OF THE NITE 6 4 33½ 43 42½ 37 38¼ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 122 20.00 48.60  
3  LIBERTANGO 2 3 22½ 21½ 32 413 414¼ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 7.00  
6  SPAN 5 2 44 55½ 56½ 515 514½ (blea tony)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 78.20  
5  CANT BE DOIN THAT 4 6 66½ 67 69½ 620 626 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 22% 3.50 7.90  
SCR  SOOEY STRONG               (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 122 4.00    
 
MVR-2   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:141 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESS COLETTE 1 3 44½ 55½ 21 11 13½ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 3.00 67% 0.50 2.80 W
6  BANANA PUDDING 6 7 55 33 31½ 21 23½ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 2.00 1.90  
2  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 2 2 22 44½ 43 42½ 37¾ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00 S
7  FLAME FOR REAL 7 1 12 12½ 11 32 48¼ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 4.00 2.70  
4  STICK AROUND 4 5 76 67 58 58½ 518 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 ★ 3.30  
3  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT 3 4 65½ 712 716 610½ 620½ (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 117 10.00 33.40  
5  EMERALD EYES 5 6 32½ 22½ 611 714½ 729 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 5% 19.00 72.10  
 
MVR-3   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOTROD BOBBY 1 1 12 1nk   13 17¼ (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 9.10  
2  ROLL ON BIG O 2 2 32 31   33½ 27¼ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 2.50 22% 3.60 2.50 P
4  PALACE TEMPTATION 4 4 44 43½   46½ 37¾ (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50 23% 3.40 2.40 S
7  GIFT OF OAK 7 7 76¾ 76¼   57 47¾ (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 10.00 8% 11.80 11.70  
6  STORMED OUT 6 3 22 2nk   23 58¼ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 2.50  
3  LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 6 54½ 65¾   67½ 612 (corriveau john)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 21.10  
5  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 5 5 64¾ 55½   711½ 717¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 21.60  
8  ORVILLE B 8 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
 
MVR-4   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:222 :46 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ONE RED CENT 4 2 31½ 31   2nk 1¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 13% 6.90 5.00 W
6  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 5 3 2½ 11   1nk 2¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 122 1.80 41% 1.40 0.40 P
3  SALTA 2 4 1½ 21   3.2 33¾ (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 126 2.50 5.30  
4  SMALL SAILOR 3 5 63½ 65½   55¼ 48¼ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 51.60  
7  RED DEVOLUTION 6 1 42½ 42½   43¼ 58¾ (nazario pedro)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 10.80  
1  VOORHEES 1 7 53½ 54½   68¼ 616 (galloway )POTTINGER MICHAEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
9  MEROKEE 7 6 76 79½   713¼ 722 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 23% 3.40 20.20  
SCR  MAC PANDOWDY               (blea jr)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
SCR  SIR               (johnson gary)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KOZY NIGHT 7 1 1½ 12½   13½ 19 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.90 W
  (by TENKOZ out of WOODYS NIGHT WATCH by MONDAVI)
7  HEAVENS EUREKA 6 3 2½ 22½   23½ 29 (tumblin andrew)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 ★ 54.60 P
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
6  MOBIL ENSIGN 5 5 54½ 44½   35½ 312¼ (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
10  DRILL BLITZ 9 6 911½ 76¾   69½ 413¾ (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 7.10  
  (by DRILL out of GOLD INK by INVISIBLE INK)
3  WATCH ME DADDY 2 9 65½ 54½   46 514¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 3.00 46% 1.20 2.00  
  (by FLAGSHIP out of PLEASE DADDY by THE DADDY)
4  LIL BIT 3 4 33 64¾   58 619 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
2  SHARP LADY 1 7 44 33½   711 721 (vazquez iva)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 15.00 9.10  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of STRUMMING by CURE THE BLUES)
5  EBONY'S SECRET 4 8 75½ 810¾   819 830½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 18.10  
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
9  BIONIC SAINT 8 2 89½ 918¾   931 953¼ (faulkner rodn)ZONETT KEYNER 122 20.00 46.60  
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
SCR  I BELONG FIRST               (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 4.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MO SWIFT               (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of MO SMART by UNCLE MO)
 
MVR-6   11/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:221 :462       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MISS FUSSY PANTS 6 9 98 910¼   43 1¾ (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 10% 8.90 6.20 W
1  LOADED ONCE MORE 1 5 41 32   31 2¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 36% 1.70 4.00 P
3  TWEET AWAY ROBIN 3 7 63 65¾   54 31½ (nazario pedro)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 2.30  
2  CHESS NOT CHECKERS 2 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 41¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00 8.40  
9  EPICUREAN 9 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 52 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 30% 2.40 3.30  
7  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC 7 8 86 87¼   65½ 64½ (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00 7.80  
5  FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 3 52½ 55½   79½ 79¼ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
4  BOOGIE BOOGEE 4 6 74½ 76¾   812½ 811½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
8  SABELLE 8 2 31 44½   916½ 920 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 31.40  
 
MVR-7   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:142 1:274   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PRIVATE MOMENT 7 6 47 35 2½ 12 11¼ (hurley mary )HALDAR J 122 2.00 55% 0.80 1.20 W
7  IRONCLAD ALIBI 6 4 58½ 46½ 32 22 21¼ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 122 4.00 2.30  
1  SHAKE THE FROST 1 2 1nk 11 1½ 32½ 35 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 3.00 3.40  
2  MAMAS HOME COOKING 2 3 36 57 43½ 46½ 47¾ (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 8% 11.90 12.00  
5  GOLDSTRIKER 4 5 613½ 717½ 710 610½ 513¼ (morales m)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
6  DOUBLE AGENT 5 7 716½ 617 69½ 59½ 614 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 6.00 8.60  
4  LINO'S KID 3 1 2nk 21 56½ 720½ 733 (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
SCR  ORFANO               (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUST A ROCKSTAR 4 5 12½ 12   12 17 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 8.00 2.30  
  (by DANZA out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
8  HIDDEN HEART 7 6 32½ 22   22 27 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 6.00 ★ 6.30 P
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
1  FORMYBOYS 1 4 65¾ 68   39 38¾ (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 126 5.00 21% 3.70 3.70 S
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
2  INDY'S HOPE 2 9 810¼ 79   510 413½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 4.50 4.50  
  (by INDY WIND out of WITHALITTLEHOPE by HOLD ME BACK)
10  HURRYCANE DON 9 3 55½ 45   49½ 515¼ (haehn ter)POTTINGER MICHAEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
3  SO CO MANHATTAN 3 7 44 56½   612 619¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 58% 0.70 3.20  
  (by MUSIC CITY out of OUR GOLDEN SNITCH by PUT IT BACK)
7  SKUNK APE 6 1 76¼ 812   713½ 721¼ (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 124 20.00 20.50  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
9  BYRTHDAY BOY 8 2 22½ 35   813½ 825½ (erwin andrew)ZONETT KEYNER 126 20.00 42.90  
  (by BIONDETTI out of DADDY SAID by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  FATHER FRANK 5 8 928¼ 937   938½ 950¾ (haehn terry)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
SCR  RED CHIPS               (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of STILL SHEA TO ME by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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