Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (1/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (8/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (9/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (3/1/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (9/2/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-8   Win (7/2/9/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-9   Win (8/7/12/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-10   Win (6/9/1/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK ON ANNA Aug28 Aug08 Aug02 Jul11 Jun22 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Aug16 Jul04 Jun15 May11 Apr18 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50    
BACKED BY GOLD Aug29 Aug14 May27 May05 Apr13 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
WILLOW BEND Aug11 Jun26 May23 Jan11 Nov22 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
HAZARDOUS HUMOR Aug29 Aug03 Jul11 Apr14 Feb16 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 4.50    
ROYAL POPPY Jul08 May18 Apr18 Feb19 Jan11 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
BAQ-2   09/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY LIGHT Aug21 Jul25       (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 39% 1.50    
SARATOGA SNOW Aug04         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
KISSED BY KARMA         (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
INFASTUATION Aug25         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
ONE MORE DANCE         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
TIMIA Aug14         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
SPEED AND BEAUTY Aug21 Jul26       (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
BRYANT AND COOPER         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 10% 8.70    
GRACE AND GRIT         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  TWILIGHT TANGO (GB)         (gargan danny)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAY'S LOVE Aug10 May24 May03 Apr14 Mar02 (barrera o)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 6.00    
PROPER GRAMMAR Jun27 Jun13 May24 Apr20 Apr07 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLAY FREE BIRD Aug17 Jul26 Jun21 May25 Sep04 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00    
PERMED Jul17 Jun02 Mar17 Aug10 Jul07 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
DEVIL BLUE DRESS Aug10 Jun05 Jan18 Nov26 Nov03 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
FRANNIE LEW Aug07 Jun30 Jun22 May17 Apr25 (jones eduard)BONILLA CRISTINA 123 4.50    
YOU'RE FOREVER Jul06 Apr18 Apr11 Mar08 Jan27 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
BAQ-4   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACING COLORS Aug22 Jul18 Jun20 May12 Apr12 (follett no)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
THE SHOE LADY Jun09 Apr07 Feb24 Jan14   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 22% 3.40    
MAGGIE T Aug02 Jul07 May02 Apr05 Mar16 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 122 3.50    
KRYSTALHEIR Aug14 Jun20 May24 Apr18 Mar29 (coffey m)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ECHO IN ETERNITY Aug14 Jul24 Jun23 May24 Apr25 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
SCR  AMITY ISLAND Aug22 Aug14 Jul04 Jun20 May12 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
APRIL ANTICS Aug16 Jul05 Apr04 Mar15 Feb19 (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 17.90    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Aug14 Aug03 Jul18 Jun20 May12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
 
BAQ-5   09/13/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORENO Aug30 Jun22       (bond harold)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
SCR  RIDOLFI         (bond james)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
WIND DANCER Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 Jun06   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
BUSTINO SANTINO Jul31 May17 Dec07 Nov10 Oct12 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
SPOKEN BLUNTLY Jun29 May17 Apr19 Feb15   (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
MASTER FREUD Jul06 Jun14 May03 Mar07   (klesaris)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  FLAME ROCK FIRE Aug10 Jul28       (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
ROHAN         (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
COUSIN ED Jun22         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
KING PUCK Jul20 Jun22       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.40 47% 1.10    
SCR  VITALIZE Jan07         (donk david)RIDER TBA 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NONNA LYNNE         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
MANGETSU Aug21         (danner kelsey)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
YOUNG AT HEART Aug14         (russell brittany)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 36% 1.70    
ON A SUMMER DAY Aug15 Jul25       (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
TRES ARIES         (ryerson jame)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
WILLFUL MAMA Aug22         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
TRALEE GIRL         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
ARGENTIERA         (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Aug14 Jul05       (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  BERNIEANDTHEROSE         (schettino dominick )RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FRONTIER Jul19 Jun27 May18 Apr26 Apr13 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 17.80    
1A  BOLD VICTORY Jul11 Jun21 May02 Mar30 Mar16 (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 122 10.00    
MYSTIC NIGHT Aug01 Jun21 Mar29 Mar01 Jan12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
HE'S GOT THIS Aug15 May31 May12 Apr10 Mar10 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 12% 7.70    
SUERTE Aug21 Jul13 Jun08 Mar09 Jan27 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Aug30 Aug04 Jul11 Apr26 Mar30 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 126 8.00    
GRANDPA'S KID Jul21 Jun22 May26 May19 May04 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 124 6.00    
COMMANDPERFORMANCE Aug18 Jul19 Jun06 Mar29 Feb09 (barrera o)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 8% 12.20    
LIFE AND LIGHT Aug04 Apr25 Apr06 Feb18 Feb02 (pringle edmund)CANCEL ERIC 122 30.00    
FIRST GLIMPSE Jul19 Jun28 May26 Apr26 Apr07 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
10  HIGHER QUALITY Jul11 Jun21 May18 Apr25 Jan04 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/13/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN GLORY Jul24 Jun28 May24 Nov09 Oct26 (quick j)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
MARCO T. Aug08 Jun15 May12 May02 Mar29 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 20% 3.90    
MZ BIG BUCKS Aug08 Jul11 May24 Nov16 Aug31 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 9% 9.90    
IM JUST KIDDIN Aug22 Jul24 Jan04 Sep17 Aug16 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
PATRIA Aug08 Jul18 Jun09 May25 Feb25 (salazar marco)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SPOOKY LADY Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 May24 Apr25 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
STRICTLY TABOO Jul13 Jun06 Oct26 Jul03 May27 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
LATEST EDITION Aug08 Jun15 Jun05 Oct26 Oct06 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 125 12.00    
WEEKEND RAGS Aug08 Jul11 May18 Apr25 Oct26 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 12% 7.40    
10  QUEENS DANCER Aug08 Jul11 Jun10 May07 Oct03 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
SCR  FOXY CARA Aug18 Aug02 Jul07 Jun20 May24 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 125 3.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Mar30 Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60    
 
BAQ-9   09/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Winter Memories Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACANGA Aug02 Jun22 May05 Mar02 Feb03 (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  ZO LEE Aug05 Jun22 May29 May04 Mar30 (danner kelsey)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
LES REYS (FR)         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  MIXOLOGIST Aug16 Jul18 Jun09     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
WHISKEY DECISION Aug17 Jul08 May10 Mar23 Feb14 (delacour arna)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00    
CLOUDWALKER Jul12 Jun15 May11 Apr20 Oct19 (walsh p)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8% 12.20    
POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (IRE) Jun29 May31 Apr06 Mar09 Feb03 (arnold geor)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE) Aug17 Jul06 May03 Mar09 Feb03 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  NICE AS PIE May31 May11 Mar30 Feb10 Jan26 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
10  LADY DE BERRY Jul13 Jun08 Dec02 Oct27 Aug26 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
11  READY TO JAM Jul20 Jan10 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  PROCTOR STREET Jul18 May27       (walsh p)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  VINO ROUGE Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 May19 Dec02 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
14  ORI Aug17 Jul19 Jun27     (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00    
SCR  VALUE AREA Aug10 Jul17 May17 Mar28 Feb17 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
 
BAQ-10   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSELIOFWAR         (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 9% 10.00    
AILANI Jul17         (giddings )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 15.00    
JUST WORDS         (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SELECTIVELY SWEET Aug28 Jul26 Jul11     (chichakly amira)PANAIJO JORGE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
DIVORCED OF COURSE Aug14 Jul31       (martin )HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
BUBBE DEAREST Aug08 Jul17       (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
TOWER TWENTY TWO         (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SILENT SANDY         (sacco d)LUZZI J 119 15.00 9% 10.00    
T D MAGEE         (levine bruce)RIVERA R 119 6.00 11% 7.70    
10  PRACTICALLY SUMMER Aug30 Aug08 Jul17     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
11  FIFI LA FUME         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.