Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/10/3/2)-(5/1/10/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/3/4)-(3/9/6/4/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/9/6/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/9/6/4/7)-(5/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CD-3   WIN (3/9/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/4/7)-(3/9/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/4/7)-(3/9/6/4/7)-(3/9/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/6/4/7)-(5/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6/4/7)-(5/3/2)-(2/7/6/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(2/7/6/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(2/7/6/12)-(7/10/2/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/7/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/12)-(2/7/6/11/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/12)-(2/7/6/11/12)-(2/7/6/11/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/6/12)-(7/10/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/12)-(7/10/2/4/3)-(10/1/4/12/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-6   WIN (7/10/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/2/4/3)-(7/10/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/2/4/3)-(7/10/2/4/3)-(7/10/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/2/4/3)-(10/1/4/12/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/10/2/4/3)-(10/1/4/12/6)-(2/5/4/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (10/1/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/4/12/6)-(10/1/4/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/4/12/6)-(10/1/4/12/6)-(10/1/4/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/4/12/6)-(2/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/1/4/12/6)-(2/5/4/7)-(9/10/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-8   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(9/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-9   WIN (9/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/5)-(9/10/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/5)-(9/10/5/2/3)-(9/10/5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE ON GRACE May27 May10       (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
2  THUNDER BERN         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROSE RITA Apr12         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
4  VOODOO PRINCESS Apr24         (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
5  GLAMOURCENTS May19         (lightner m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  EMY May02         (torres eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
7  BAYTOWN BOUJEE         (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
SCR  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS         (veinot trudy)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 15.00    
9  SEVILLA May19         (gutierre)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
10  KISS CAM May27 Apr18       (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 ★    
11  LOVEBUG         (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
 
CD-2   06/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUANA CAY Apr30 Sep03 Jul23 Jun11 May27 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
2  CORNINGSTONE Apr04 Jan27 Dec22 Nov24 Oct27 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
3  MYSTIC PLEASURE May01 Mar27 May04 Mar31   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  SUNNY ISLE BEACH Apr30 Mar22 Jan31 Jan01 May05 (shirer a)CHUAN MARTIN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUNA MOTH Apr30 Apr05 Mar22 Mar09 Feb04 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
6  SULTRY LASS May03 Apr13 Mar21 Feb17 Jan01 (lovell michell)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
7  LIL KINGS PRINCESS Apr13 Jul08 Mar17 Dec26 Sep16 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
 
CD-3   06/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY JOKE May11 Apr19 Mar13 Jan21 Dec14 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 4.00    
2  CRAFTED May26 Apr27 Apr05 Jan19 Dec14 (short travis)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
3  SAVE THE TREES Apr19         (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
4  COPPER ECHO Apr28 Mar23 Mar02 Jan27   (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SITKA Apr05 Feb24 Jan13     (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
6  FLOTATION STATION May03 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 Nov12 (asmussen )TORRES A 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
7  AL AMEEQ May24 Apr24 Mar13     (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FOR SOME REASON May09 Mar15 Feb15 Jan24 Dec10 (joseph sa)BEALMEAR C 113 6.00    
9  SPANISH WELLS Apr27 Feb06       (forster gr)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
CD-4   06/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Leslie's Lady Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE SQUALL Apr20 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Dec31 (morse ran)TORRES A 118 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SKY O' BLUE by HENNY HUGHES)
2  CHARLENE'S DREAM Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Aug28   (moger jr)ROMAN A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QURBAAN out of CLARA KELLY by WAR FRONT)
3  MOONLIT LADY May16 Apr12 Mar24     (gutierre)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DIPLOMAT LADY by FORESTRY)
SCR  PINK LADY LU SHA May05 Apr07 Mar08 Jan26 Jan06 (lopez elias)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HAY FLO by CAIRO PRINCE)
5  LEGADEMA May11 Apr05 Feb02 Dec23 Nov23 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by ARROGATE out of SCARLET LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  TAMBO Apr21 Feb23 Jan07 Nov18 Oct21 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
  (by ENTICED out of FLATTER ME FIRST by FLATTER)
7  EMERY Apr19 Oct07 Aug30     (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
 
CD-5   06/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PURRING Apr27 Apr06       (husak gary)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of FOREVER POPULAR by DYNAFORMER)
2  DEEP SATIN Apr18         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
3  ROYAL SUBJECT         (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROO LIKE YOU by BELONG TO ME)
4  GUINEVERE Apr05 Feb21       (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MYIYLA Mar22 Mar03       (foley gre)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ENCORE BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  MIXOLOGIST         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 6% 15.80    
  (by FROSTED out of MASQUERADE by PIRATE'S BOUNTY)
7  BEDAZZLE 'EM May01 Apr05 Jan14 Nov18 Oct21 (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JENDA'S AGENDA by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  SHORE WAR Apr18 Jan07 Nov11 Oct19 Aug06 (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
9  WHAPPEN         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BONBOURBON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  SARANAC LAKE May01 Mar23 Feb24     (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11  RACONTEUSE May09 Apr13 Mar23 Feb14 Jul23 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 ★    
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
12  GRAPES FOR ELOISE Mar06 Jan21 Dec31 Nov16   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of VIEW FROM THE TOP by DISTANT VIEW)
13  SCENIC BEAUTY Apr20 Jan12 Dec08 Oct25   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  STAY LOST Apr21 Oct07 Jun24 May13 Apr19 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SCR  ADRASTEIA Mar28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct27 Sep28 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  LEMON LATTE Apr05 Mar02       (barnett b)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of DOUBLE LATTE by THE FACTOR)
 
CD-6   06/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGLE DOT YAHT May10 Apr19 Dec22 Nov17 Oct21 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00    
2  RECKER POINT May05 Apr13 Mar17 Mar07 May04 (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 5.00 9% 10.20    
3  NATIVE SHAMAN May15         (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT RAID May10 Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 (casse w)LANERIE J 126 10.00 7% 12.60    
5  ELEPHANTS EAR May04 Apr06 Mar16     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
6  CARTUCHO May04 Mar24       (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
7  LIPS SAY BLISS May09 Mar17 Feb11 Jan28 Nov24 (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 50% 1.00    
8  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Apr18 Mar27 Feb21 Oct16 Aug13 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 126 4.50    
9  ANTHEM KING May04 Mar08 Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 (beckman whitwort)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
10  SUN THUNDER Mar14 Feb24 Jan28 Jan06 May06 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 11% 8.50    
 
CD-7   06/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPERSPORT Apr26 Mar16 Apr21 Apr01 Mar09 (mason in)SANTANA JR 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
2  FLAMAND Dec16 Oct27 Sep23 Aug13 Jul08 (lopez elias)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
3  BRU NA BOINNE Sep23 Aug05 Jun29 Mar25 Feb17 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
4  JOKE SISI (CHI) May04 Mar08 Nov22 Sep01 Jun30 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  HARTFUL HOPE Jan27 Dec18 Nov28 Nov06 Sep22 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
6  ALWAYS ANGELS Apr15 Mar16 Feb10 Dec30 Dec08 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  STEEL RACER Mar27 Feb22 Feb11 Jan18 Dec22 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
8  BACKYARD MONEY May17 Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Mar08 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
9  RAINDROPS ON ROSES Dec21 Nov30 Sep12 Aug18 Jul08 (huffman pat)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 30.00    
10  PROUD FOOT Apr25 Mar17 Feb04 Dec31 Nov18 (dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
11  YESTERNIGHT Oct27 Sep23 Aug22 Jul14 Jun03 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
12  SECRET STATEMENT May19 May04 Nov24 Nov01 Oct11 (baker jam)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 12% 7.50    
13  MUSIC CITY STAR Apr30 Apr04 Mar09 Jan27 Jan06 (antonucci)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   06/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Matt Winn Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN FLAME May04 Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 Dec31 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
2  WHO DEY May04 Apr05 Nov25 Oct28 Aug12 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PELIPA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  SCATIFY May04 Apr06 Mar03 Feb03 Dec16 (sadler w)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BROADWAY RUN by PROSPECTIVE)
4  WEST SARATOGA May04 Mar23 Feb10 Jan13 Oct07 (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 118 10.00 8% 11.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MO WICKED by UNCLE MO)
5  ROCKETEER Apr10 Oct26       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 11% 8.40    
  (by CURLIN out of THIRTEEN ARROWS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  NASH Jun08 May04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SARA LOUISE by MALIBU MOON)
7  SOCIETY MAN May04 Apr06 Mar09 Feb03 Dec08 (gargan danny)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
8  MIGHTY MESSAGE Apr20 Mar08 Feb08 Dec16 Nov12 (amoss tho)TORRES A 118 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIANT REVIEW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  NEXT LEVEL May10 Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 Dec23 (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEVIOUS D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  LUNA TAP May09         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TAPAJO by TAPIT)
 
CD-9   06/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLO         (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LOOKING GREAT by INCLUDE)
2  LEVANTER Mar16         (howell jessi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 ★    
  (by ARROGATE out of RISING TORNADO by STORM CAT)
3  MAXWELL         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of VELVETY by HERMITAGE (CHI))
SCR  ACCIDENT May18 Apr24 Apr11 Mar30 Mar16 (short tho)BEALMEAR C 117 10.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
5  RIVER RIDGE May04 Apr13       (campbell m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of VIOLENCIA by VIOLENCE)
6  BIG SALT LICK         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of RUBINDY by BERNARDINI)
7  POINT CLEAR         (ortiz ale)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JANAE by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
8  FORT SAM         (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
9  SAHALAT May12 Aug19       (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  MISSION RIVER         (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAGEPLAY by CURLIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.