Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/9)-(7/4/2/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(10/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(10/6/9/7)-(2/9/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (10/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/9/7)-(10/6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/9/7)-(10/6/9/7)-(10/6/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/9/7)-(2/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/9/7)-(2/9/1/3)-(5/6/8/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-3   WIN (2/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/3)-(2/9/1/3/6)-(2/9/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/1/3)-(5/6/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/3)-(5/6/8/10)-(1/3/5/4/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (5/6/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/10)-(5/6/8/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/10)-(5/6/8/3/10)-(5/6/8/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/8/10)-(1/3/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/10)-(1/3/5/4/2)-(7/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-5   WIN (1/3/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/5/4/2)-(7/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/4/2)-(7/1)-(3/7/5/10) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(3/7/5/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(3/7/5/10)-(3/5/4/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-7   WIN (3/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/10)-(3/7/5/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/10)-(3/7/5/2/10)-(3/7/5/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/5/10)-(3/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/10)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/2/12/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/6)-(3/2/12/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-9   WIN (3/2/12/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/12/6)-(3/2/12/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/12/6)-(3/2/12/8/6)-(3/2/12/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. BELLA Feb09 Jan04 Dec27 Dec01 Oct07 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
2  MERRY OF SOUL Feb16 Sep30 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRICELESS PICTURE Feb09 Dec30 Nov02 Oct04 Sep22 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00    
4  LOVE DRUNK Feb01 Jan05 Nov13 Oct28 Sep26 (matthews randy)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  ALITTLESLICEOF PIE Feb07 Jan04 Nov14 Oct02 Sep19 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 20.00    
6  NAUGHTY NELLIE Feb03 Jul12 Jul03 May25 May10 (bends p)MOJICA JR 120 12.00    
7  MISS GETTY UP Feb16 Feb01 Jan05 Dec22 Dec01 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 123 1.60 49% 1.10    
SCR  EVERYOTHERWON Feb04 Dec30 Dec20 Nov26 Nov15 (lauer micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00    
9  FUTURE FLAY Feb01 Dec21 Nov26 Sep30 Jul05 (salas fel)CORREA L 120 8.00 ★    
 
TP-2   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLA FRANCES Feb03 Jan13 Dec07 Oct14 Aug26 (beckman whit)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00    
2  ECHO         (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 125 20.00    
SCR  PIGEON CAY Aug31 Oct16 Sep09 Aug18   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 6.00    
4  LIL CARRIE D Jan25 Oct30 Oct03 Sep13 Aug17 (slager mike)ORM CORY 125 15.00    
5  SABURO'S VOW         (ruis sr)GARCIA MARTIN 125 15.00    
6  DANDELION Feb03 Apr29 Mar16 Feb18 Sep23 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  PRETTY LILY         (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 125 12.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU Feb03 Jan17       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 6.00    
9  WRITTEN CONSENT Dec30 Dec02 Jul27 Jul07 Jun21 (meraz antonio)LEON SONNY 125 5.00 11% 8.40    
10  BEATRICE KIDDO Feb02         (reed r)FELIX E 125 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
TP-3   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF GOD Feb01 Dec27 Dec13 Sep21 Sep13 (knippenberg br)PAULY SUMMER 114 3.50 11% 7.90    
2  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Feb07 Jan13 Dec22 Oct17 Sep15 (caramori caio)LEON SONNY 124 5.00 39% 1.50    
3  MISTER MESEEKS Feb01 Dec15 Nov10 Oct20 Sep28 (van tho)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 8.00 5% 18.10    
4  GO NUTS Jan13 Dec22 Sep26 Aug31 Jul15 (greenhill j)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00    
5  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Jan13 Dec27 Nov16 Oct30 Oct03 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 124 20.00    
6  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Jan13 Nov18 Oct28 Oct17 Sep30 (manley steve)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 ★    
7  LIEUTENANT JACK Feb01 Jan11 Dec30 Dec09 Nov30 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 5.00    
8  BAKER'S MAN Feb14 Nov17 Oct24 Oct03 Sep09 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 124 15.00    
9  GOLDEN TEXT Jan31 Dec22 Dec07 Nov10 May18 (clark rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
TP-4   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANNIE ROSE Feb14         (holden darragh)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
2  SPICY TUNA Jan14         (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
3  CRAZY STACKS Feb08 Jan03       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 ★    
4  MARVELING Feb03         (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
5  SANDRINHA LOVE Feb14 Jan18 Dec13     (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  NO BODY LOVES ME Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06   (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  TAPWRIT WARRIOR Jan13 Dec30 Nov24 Jul01   (vasquez s)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
8  CONTINUE         (tomlinson mic)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 12% 7.20    
9  BELLA SKYE Feb07 Jan24 Jan13 Dec16 Dec01 (radosevich jak)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
10  LANDY Jan17 Dec30       (antonuik je)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  VIVIS IN FRONT Jan10 Dec20 Nov07 Oct03 Aug05 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
 
TP-5   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLAMINA Feb01 Dec17 Dec03 Aug21 Jul12 (kubinova elisk)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  AWESOME VALOR Dec28 Dec09 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 (forston roy)HESS SARA 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITURGIA Feb01 Dec15 Nov13 Oct20 Sep21 (ginter raym)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  BIA BOLT RUNNER Feb01 Jan05 Dec09 Sep29 Sep15 (gonzalez agu)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00 6% 15.70    
5  MISSY BEE Jan24 Dec29 Dec13 Oct27 Sep27 (nihei michelle)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  FLORIS Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov08 (duvall will)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
7  VIDEO PRINCESS Jan27 Dec22 Dec02 Oct24 Sep26 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.00    
8  LUCKY PHOENIX Feb16 Jan31 Jul11 May29 Sep22 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 124 20.00    
9  CASTELMOLA Feb08 Jan10 Nov29 Sep21 Feb23 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 12.00    
10  GOGO GEISHA Feb08 Dec20 Nov09 Jul06 Jun14 (hernandez)CORREA L 124 8.00    
11  DALTON'S LOVE Jan24 Dec28 Nov10 Sep20 Aug22 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
 
TP-6   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAROLA SICURA         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ITS ABOUT MIDNIGHT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  LA SCALONETA Dec29 Nov17 Oct11 Sep16   (correas i)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GOLDEN STATE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  TEMPORARILYFOREVER         (fernandez)CORREA L 120 6.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of WAVING by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  GO GO STAR         (salas felipe)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of KILCOOLE MISS by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Jan27 Jan03 Dec13 Nov17 Nov02 (torres a)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  A LITTLE CANELA         (salas felipe)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TYPIST by CANDY RIDE)
7  ICE WATER Jan27         (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 72% 0.40    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of COLD AWAKENING by DEHERE)
 
TP-7   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORMENTA JERRY Feb08 Dec27 Dec09 Sep25 Sep05 (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00    
2  ROYAL DECADENCE Jul31 Jul09 Jun21 May25 May06 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50 ★    
3  REAL NAUGHTY Feb17 Jan12 Dec16 Sep16 Aug31 (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 125 1.40 40% 1.50    
4  MY ROAD Jan26 Aug11 Nov19 Sep20 Aug21 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50    
5  LATIN BLOOD         (salas f)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 9% 10.00    
6  PAPA D L Feb08 Jan25 Nov09 Oct30 Sep28 (meredith charl)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 20.00    
7  WILDERZAR Jan11 Dec18 Dec05 Nov16 Nov09 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 5.00 26% 2.90    
8  MORE LIES Dec07 Aug26       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 125 12.00    
9  TROY BOY Feb08 Oct25 Sep27 Sep20 Sep09 (coomer philip)LEON SONNY 125 30.00    
10  ARCH EGO Dec06 Nov12 Oct23 Sep25 Sep01 (bright derrick)ACHARD ALEX 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-8   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Feb01 Jan18 Nov04 Oct19 Sep13 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00    
2  PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) Feb01 Jan15 Nov18 Oct09 Sep07 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 124 4.00    
3  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE Jan24 Jan01 Nov19 Sep24 Aug05 (casse m)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  NAVY GOAT Jan18 Dec28 Nov03 Sep17 Mar11 (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50 8% 11.60    
5  JUNGLE CAT Jan31 Dec30 Nov30 Oct26 Sep07 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 127 3.00 25% 2.90    
6  SWEETS MAKER Dec07 Nov03 Jul14 Jun18 May18 (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIGN OF PEACE Jan18 Mar25 Feb11 Dec31 Oct09 (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 10.00    
8  ALEXA LOU Feb01 Dec28 Nov24 Oct27 Sep23 (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
 
TP-9   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET ARIA May06 Mar25 Feb15     (gallagher)BERMUDEZ E 125 30.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of THIRTEEN SONGS by CONGRATS)
2  DEE MINUS Feb15         (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by COASTLINE out of FLASH ROYALE by FLASHY BULL)
3  KARA AND COLLEEN Oct13 Sep13 Aug04 May27 Apr30 (correas i)LEPAROUX R 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of Y'ALL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  FANCY PRANCE Jan25 Sep07 Aug06     (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BOSSERETTE by STREET BOSS)
5  LETSTALKABOUTME         (green troy)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BELLA GATTINO by TAPIT)
6  SUSTANCIA         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
7  AADYA Dec21 Oct07 Sep16 Aug16 Jul29 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 125 15.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  AVA'S STORM Jan31 Dec22 Jul04 Jun02 May12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 8.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AVA G by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
9  AMERICAN MAESTRA Jun25 Apr15       (gallagher willia)LEON SONNY 125 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of QUIET PASSAGE by BELLAMY ROAD)
10  AGENT Sep13 Jul20 Jun29 May24 Apr23 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00    
  (by ASTERN out of INTROVERT by SMARTY JONES)
11  BAJA         (stidham micha)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MAGDALENA BAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12  HEARTSTRUCK Sep09 Jul22       (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 125 4.50 6% 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PERFECT FOR YOU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.