Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - June 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/6/1/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/6/1/7/4)-(5/1/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/6/1/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7/4)-(3/6/1/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7/4)-(3/6/1/7/4)-(3/6/1/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/7/4)-(5/1/6)-(6/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(6/3)-(9/7/8/4/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(9/7/8/4/3)-(5/2/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-5   WIN (9/7/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/4/3)-(9/7/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/4/3)-(9/7/8/4/3)-(9/7/8/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (9/7/8/4/3)-(5/2/3)-(6/2/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/8/3)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CHESTER May20 May08 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (bird danny)TORREALBA JG 118 4.50    
OFTEN ENOUGH May31 May08 Apr27 Apr13 Apr06 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50    
JOES A ROCKIN May08 Apr06 Mar23 Feb21 Feb02 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
NICK CAN FIX Mar20 Feb23 Nov21 Oct29 Oct13 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.00 66% 0.50    
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED May20 Apr26 Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50    
BUCKEYE RUCKUS May08 Apr06 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   06/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO EAGLE May22 May08 Sep15 Sep05 Aug02 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 7% 13.20    
SWEET LEMON DROP May31 May08 Dec06 Nov12 Oct24 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
CALBOYZEKE May06 Nov19 Oct29 Sep15 Aug17 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 53% 0.90    
OL' NED May17 Nov10 Aug16 Jul06 Jun03 (cline c)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BABA LOOEY May25 May08 Nov22 Oct14 Oct03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
POWERFUL PHIL May23 May08 Dec21 Dec03 Nov15 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
OL' L B May20 Jan26 Jan09 Dec08 Nov21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
JACK BE FAST May24 May09 Mar23 Mar01 Feb09 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
KARAMEL CORN Nov12 Oct12 Aug15 Jul13 Jun08 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   06/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIAN STYLE TWO May25         (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by PROTONICO out of ADDIBEL LIGHTNING by COLONEL JOHN)
BANK BUSTER May25 Apr22 Apr12 Mar10 Feb17 (morales m)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MAGGIE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FLASH OF CHEROKEE May11 Apr14 Mar16 Feb19   (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LACA by CHEROKEE RUN)
FULL TIME STRUTIN May25 May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar29 (gonz)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
TYRONA May04 Mar03 Jan14 Dec30 Oct19 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SWITCHEROO by LEFT BANKER)
IMA SURE BET May25 Mar01 Feb20 Jan31 Jan12 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SURE FOOT SUE by BRAHMS)
 
TDN-4   06/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Apr27 Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 Jan10 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
SCR  R THREE ANGELS May11 Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 Jan18 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
MARKET SUCCESS May09 Oct29 Oct11 Sep08 Jul21 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT May22 May02 Apr12 Mar23 Mar02 (huffman canda)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 12.00    
BALLROOM BLITZ Jan18 Dec28 Dec15 Nov15 Oct29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
WINDY LU WHO May11 Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
 
TDN-5   06/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING RICHIE May20 Oct13 Sep29 Aug10 Jul21 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 6.00    
REINSURE May20 May01 Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00    
BRYCE'S ANGEL May20 Sep06 Aug02 Jul05 Jun08 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN READY May03 Nov13 Oct06 Sep15 Aug29 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
O CIGANO May17 May03 Apr11 Mar20 Mar02 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
CALL WEST May15 May03 Apr15 Mar27 Mar15 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 3.00    
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE May20 Nov22 Nov02 Oct06 Sep20 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
BULLION May20 Feb27 Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 (castillo jabd)GUERERE ANGEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
JUNE GLOOM May04 Apr14 Feb15 Jan04 Dec18 (cline c)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-6   06/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYING BALL May31 Apr27 Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 (suarez javie)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 5.00    
THAT'S THE WAY May23 Mar21 Mar06 Sep28 Aug12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
ORLEANS STORM May24 Jan26 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
TWINSPIREDJOEY May24 May03 Apr24 Apr03 Mar21 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.50    
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME May26 Apr24 Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 2.50 41% 1.40    
MARVIN'S EXPRESS May26 Mar21 Mar06 Jan12 Nov30 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
LIL RICKYS JEWEL May23 Apr13 Mar21 Feb15 Dec14 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   06/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO May17 Feb20 Feb08 Dec19 Dec05 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 10.00    
T MONEY Dec27 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Oct14 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 15% 5.80    
TOMATO BILL Nov15 Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAHRENHEIT May17 Mar23 Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
RESCUE FIVE Jan10 Dec07 Oct25 Oct10 Aug30 (kocijan marc)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00    
MORE THAN GOOD May17 Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 Aug23 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 51% 0.90    
HAPPILEA Mar23 Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 Dec05 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
SHADOW TRACER May08 Apr25 Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 6% 16.30    
 
TDN-8   06/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSIONFORTREASURE May15 Apr27 Apr07 Nov09 Oct26 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SHEISTHEHERO May22 Apr13 Mar27 Feb28 Jan31 (loudin-smith)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
PULPIT'S PURRFECT May15 Apr27 Feb28 Jan31 Nov21 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
TEMPLEMENT Feb20 Jan31 Jan04 Nov15 Oct24 (van met)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
MALICED May09 Apr13 Mar27 Mar15 Jan31 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 6% 15.50    
COMMAND STRIKE May15 Sep07 Aug06 Jul11 Jun07 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 66% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.