Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BEL-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
BEL-3   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
BEL-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/6/2/4/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
BEL-5   WIN (7/6/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/4/3)-(7/6/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/4/3)-(7/6/2/4/3)-(7/6/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/2/4/3)-(6/7/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BEL-6   WIN (6/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/8)-(6/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BEL-7   WIN (6/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/10)-(6/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/10)-(7/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BEL-8   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8)-(7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/8)-(7/11/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BEL-9   WIN (7/11/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/11/2)-(7/11/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/11/2)-(7/11/2/5/8)-(7/11/2/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST BOAT TO SKYE Apr13 Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 Oct22 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  SON OF A BIRCH Jul30 Jul01       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  PAXSATIONAL Jan06 Dec16       (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CUMBERLAND Mar17 Jan26       (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
5  AMERICAN KNOW HOW         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KIMBERLEA K by INDIAN EVENING)
6  FLAT TOP BOX         (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIL'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  LITTLE SKIPPY Apr07 Mar19       (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ROSE SAPPHIRE by CONGRATS)
 
BEL-2   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASON MANIA Apr06 Mar10 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 126 1.20 36% 1.80    
2  DATESFREEDOM Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb12 Jan28 (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 121 12.00    
3  UNION FLEET Mar31 Mar10 Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 (magana j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  SAFALOW'S MISSION Mar10 Feb12 Jan08 Dec11 Jun11 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.40    
5  MIGHTY ATLAS Mar31 Oct27 Sep29     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
6  JUMPSTER Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 Feb19 Feb10 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BEL-3   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINE ALLEY Mar20 Feb09 Dec29 Nov22   (ryerson ja)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
2  WEST STAR Apr16 Mar18 Mar03 Jan29 Jan21 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 118 10.00    
SCR  GOOD RAPPORT Apr13 Mar04 Jan21 Dec17 Nov18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.50    
SCR  CRACK THE CODE Nov20 Oct30 Sep18 Aug15 Jul30 (duarte j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  HOOEY Apr16         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  PREDICTED Apr02 Mar03 Feb02 Dec15 May15 (dutrow antho)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 ★    
 
BEL-4   05/05/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 GOOD Sheepshead Bay Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYLADY (GER) Mar04 Oct08       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
  (by THE GREY GATSBY (IRE) out of MINORIS by DABIRSIM (FR))
2  ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) Apr01         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ALWINA by AREION (GER))
3  VIRGINIA JOY (GER) Mar04 Nov05 Sep03 Aug06 Jun10 (brown ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW (GB) out of VIRGINIA SUN by DOYEN (IRE))
4  HIGHER TRUTH (IRE) Mar04 Jul03       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by GALILEO (ARG) out of WANNABE BETTER by DUKE OF MARMALADE (IRE))
5  AMAZING GRACE (GER) Apr01         (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of AMABELLE by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
 
BEL-5   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KREESA Sep25 Aug27       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of LADY KREESA by STONESIDER)
SCR  KID KREESA         (dixon li)DAVIS A 118 4.50    
  (by BIG BROWN out of LADY KREESA by STONESIDER)
2  FACTUALLY CORRECT Apr07 Jan28 Dec31 Nov26 Oct21 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by TOURIST out of KACY LAUREN by UTOPIA)
3  Z DANCER Apr01 Mar18       (romero r)DAVIS A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
4  DISARMED Apr07 Mar04 Feb09 Jan07 Dec11 (rodriguez r)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 8% 12.30    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SARAVATI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  KID EMERALD Oct21 Sep23       (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of THREE EMERALDS by THREE WONDERS)
6  LAUNCH CONTROL Apr07 Feb24 Jan26     (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by FREUD out of MIGHTY GOOD by GOOD AND TOUGH)
7  ELECTRIC STUFF Apr07 Feb24 Jan26     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FIRST CHARMER by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TUNNEL VISION Mar18 Feb26 Jan27 Dec31   (maker mich)SANCHEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of R Y SQUADRON by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  SCHERZANDO Apr07 Mar17 Apr28 Mar31 Mar05 (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 124 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
10  WILLINTORISKITALL         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
  (by SUPERESTRELLA out of STOP THE SPENDING by POMEROY)
SCR  ART OF COURAGE Mar18 Feb09       (de horac)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of ART OF BOURBON by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  SHARPAZ Dec08 Nov11       (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of GRAN LUCKY GIRL by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
13  NEWPORT BRIDGE Apr07         (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PONT DE L'ALMA by CATIENUS)
14  UNCLE MARTY Apr07 Nov13 Sep29 Sep05 Aug04 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of POSSESSIVE by BERNARDINI)
 
BEL-6   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR SON JAKE Mar18 Jan08 Dec11 Oct20 Jul09 (mice)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00    
2  CENTRAL PRIDE Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb17 Jan19 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00    
3  JOHN'S PROTEGE Mar03 Jan15 Dec29 Dec09 Apr24 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  JUGGLER Apr22 Apr01 Oct17 Sep26 Aug31 (romero r)DAVIS A 123 12.00    
5  HATCH (GB) Jan26 Dec29 Dec16 Nov18 Oct22 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
6  IMPROPER Mar10 Jan08 Dec09 Apr09 Mar05 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 39% 1.50    
7  WARMAN ROAD Apr15 Mar11 Sep16     (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
8  JESTER'S SONG Mar10 Dec17 Nov05 Sep15 Jun02 (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
BEL-7   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLIERO Apr13 Mar05 Feb10 Jan14 Dec10 (persaud rand)SAMUEL L 123 12.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT Dec11 Oct30 Oct20 Sep25 Sep04 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
SCR  DR. DUKE Mar08 Feb19 Jan22 Dec22 Sep24 (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
SCR  TOWN OF GOLD Feb18 Jan05 Nov06 Oct13 Sep18 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
5  SUIT OF ARMOR Jan12 Nov18 Oct20 Oct08 Sep11 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 125 20.00    
6  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Feb05 Jan08 Oct07 Jul31 Jul03 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  DEEP COVER Nov18 Oct22 Aug21 Jun26 May21 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
SCR  HEREBY Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Feb15 Jan29 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 12.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Dec16 Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 Aug20 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
10  MARATHONER Apr20 Feb16 Jan17 Jan02 Nov15 (montoya marya)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Mar17 Feb22 Jan21 Sep25 Aug27 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50    
 
BEL-8   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Westchester Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON CALLING Mar19 Feb20 Jan06 Nov18 Nov07 (arriaga anton)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of BESTOWED A STAR by ALDEBARAN)
2  EXPRESSMAN Apr08 Feb10 Dec23 Sep17 Aug13 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SPANGLED BANNER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  DR ARDITO Feb20 Jan19 May15 Apr01 Feb24 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
SCR  WHITE ABARRIO Mar04 Jan28 Dec03 Sep24 Jul23 (joseph saffi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Apr16 Jan07 Nov12 Sep29 Aug18 (ryerson ja)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of UNBRIDLEDEXPLOSION by EDDINGTON)
6  WEYBURN Apr01 Mar04 Aug21 Jul04 Jun10 (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUNDAY AFFAIR by A.P. INDY)
7  ZANDON Dec03 Sep24 Aug27 Jul30 May07 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.00 61% 0.70    
  (by UPSTART out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
8  REPO ROCKS Apr08 Feb25 Jan28 Jan04 Nov23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
BEL-9   05/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARISSE Apr08 Mar11       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
2  BIG HAZEL Feb11         (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 7% 12.60    
  (by BIG BROWN out of BLUEGRASS ARCH by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Mar18 Feb20 Jan27 Jan01   (deiter kelly )OLVER MADISON 111 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  LA CONQUISTADORA Apr15 Feb24 Dec16 Oct30 Sep22 (breen )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  LA GOULU Mar11 Feb05 Oct28     (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  SILENT MELODY         (abreu r)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ANNA STRONG by UNCLE MO)
7  ROBYN AND ELI Oct09 Aug18 Jul16 Jun19   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by LAOBAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  BE BEST Mar11         (terranov)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVELY ISLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
SCR  MY ANGEL Mar18 Feb11 Jan14     (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  SHE'S A NATURAL Apr08 Feb10 Dec16 Nov26 Oct29 (sciacca gary)SAMUEL L 125 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
11  SUCCULENT Apr15 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of OUCHY NIGHT by CACTUS RIDGE)
12  NORTHWAY Mar18 Feb20       (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SHINE UPON by CONGAREE)
13  BERNING HONOR Feb26 Jan19 Oct08 Aug18 Jul27 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Apr14 Nov04       (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of JUST CALL ME ANGEL by DEVIL'S BAG)
SCR  THE SPLENDID ONE Apr15 Feb24 Jan19 Dec16 Nov04 (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
SCR  SPLASHY Apr06 Nov19       (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.