Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/6/1)-(1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(1/3/6)-(1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/7)-(1/3/6/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/4)-(1/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/6/3)-(1/4/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/9)-(1/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/7/5)-(1/9/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/9)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/9)-(1/7/2)-(4/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(4/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(4/6/5)-(5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE CHARMING Jan23 Jan09 Dec08 Nov23 Sep23 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Feb20 Jan09 Dec20 Dec05 Nov28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  MAKING ME CRAZY Mar09 Feb20 Feb08 Dec20 Dec05 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  LATIN SPICE Mar13 Feb23 Jul14 Jun11 May24 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 ★    
5  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Feb20 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 (reavis)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Feb20 Jan18 Dec28 Oct10 Sep12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   03/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DAWN WEST Mar06 Feb23 Feb09 Jan23 Dec22 (wilson j)DIAZ I 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  SUPER BROTHER Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 (wi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  LED TASSO Mar01 Nov25 Nov19 Oct22 Sep22 (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
3  TONKAWA SPRINGS Mar06 Feb09 Feb02 Jan17 Aug03 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  FORT LOWELL Feb24 Jan13 Dec02 Oct26 Oct05 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★    
5  CODE VIOLATION Mar06 Dec31 Dec11     (pitts helen)AVILES YAN 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  GULLANE Jan23 Dec21 May13 Apr24   (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-3   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KREWE CHIEF Mar09 Feb22 Jan23 Dec11 Nov18 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  OVERBEARING Mar16 Feb09 Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
2  UNCAPTURED PULSE Mar14 Jan02 Dec20 Dec03 Nov23 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
3  PAT DADDY Mar13 Feb28 Jan26 Jan10 Jan02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 21% 3.90    
4  CRAFTY CONQUEST Mar09 Feb20 Nov26 Nov10 Oct24 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
5  BEACH FRONT Mar09 Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 ★    
6  SILVER G T O Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 Jan09 Dec15 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
7  KHALFANI Mar02 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Nov22 (pattah d)RIVERA R 126 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHUTUPANDSHAKEIT Feb22 Jun01       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 1.60 61% 0.60    
SCR  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Feb20 Oct13 Sep18 Aug08 Jul09 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 1.60    
SCR  PURDY PUMKIN Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec15 Dec01 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CALLMEMARTHAJANE Mar07 Dec30 Nov26 Sep03 Jul30 (wong jonathan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 ★    
4  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE Mar16 Aug09 Jul18 Jun08 May20 (decker anna)MARCANO Y 119 3.50 11% 8.20    
5  YEARS AGO Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 Dec29 Dec08 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
6  BOURBONWITHGINGER Feb14 Jan09 Dec01 Nov09 Oct13 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) Jan21 Jan06 Dec04 Oct22 Oct02 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  SEA MONSTER Mar13 Feb22 Jan27 Jan06 Oct08 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 2.00    
2  AWESOME WONDER Feb28 Jan31 Jan05 Nov22 Nov08 (dacosta ja)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
3  RUN AWAY FEVER Mar14 Feb14 Jan31 Jan18 Dec12 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
4  FREE TO RUN Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
5  TALK DIRTY Mar14 Feb28 Feb09 Jan31 Jan18 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  SWEET VALERIA Mar14 Feb27 Feb01 Jan21 Dec02 (clouston edward)RIVERA R 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  HALOFIED Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 (gonzalez don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 ★    
8  DREAM TO WIN Jan18 Jul12 Jun13 May26 Jan14 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
9  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Feb14 Feb01 Dec14 Nov22 Oct06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-6   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Mar15 Feb20 Jan28 Jan04 Dec08 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  BACKSPLASH Mar14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec08 Nov09 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00 6% 16.40    
3  DIVINE MARTHA Mar15 Nov01 Oct19 Sep25 Aug16 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 6.00    
SCR  SWEET QUEEN BEE Mar15 Feb20 Jun06 May23 Apr11 (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  BLONDE BY NATURE Dec06 Nov19 Oct25 Aug01 Jul13 (sweeting craig)PEREZ E 126 15.00 ★    
SCR  POLISHED GEM Mar16 Feb06 Jan28 Jan03 Nov04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50    
7  AFERDITA Mar15 Feb20 Dec19 Nov09 Oct14 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  AUJARA Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 15.00    
 
MVR-7   03/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY SKY Mar06 Feb09 Jan23 Dec19 Oct22 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.00    
2  AGNELLO'S DREAM Feb21 Feb08 Jan05 Dec22 Dec07 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00 ★    
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST Feb21 Feb08 Jan17 Jan07 Dec17 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 10% 8.70    
4  SNOWSCAPE Feb02 Jan05 Dec20 Nov10 Aug22 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
5  WAR NOVEL Mar08 Feb08 Jul07 Jun10 May21 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00 14% 5.90    
6  SOROS Feb11 Dec28 Oct23 Oct14 Oct01 (wong jona)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  GRAND DEAL Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan05 Dec19 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Jan28 Jan11 Dec06 Nov01 Oct13 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  KEEPING SCORE Feb13 Jan28 Dec29 Dec06 Nov07 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
3  ZAKARIA Oct25 Oct03 Aug30 Aug08 Jul04 (yoder susan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUCKY STREAK Aug02 Jun20 Jun02 Apr11 Mar16 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 ★    
5  RUMBLE STRIP RON Mar06 Feb01 Dec29 Nov20 Nov05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  STUNT MAN Sep06 Jun25 Jun08 May30 May12 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
7  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Feb13 Nov29 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 2.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.