Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (10/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/7/5)-(10/7/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/5)-(10/7/5/9/4)-(10/7/5/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/7/5)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5)-(6)-(5/6/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/2/10/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/2/10/1)-(6/2/10/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(5/6/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(5/6/2/1)-(4/5/6/7/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TP-3   WIN (5/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1/3)-(5/6/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/2/1)-(4/5/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/1)-(4/5/6/7/1)-(3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (4/5/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7/1)-(4/5/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7/1)-(4/5/6/7/1)-(4/5/6/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7/1)-(3/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/7/1)-(3/7/8)-(12/6/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-5   WIN (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/12/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/12/5)-(3/7/8/12/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/8)-(12/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8)-(12/6/4)-(10/8/12/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-6   WIN (12/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/6/4)-(12/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/6/4)-(12/6/4)-(12/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (12/6/4)-(10/8/12/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/6/4)-(10/8/12/9)-(9/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-7   WIN (10/8/12/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/12/9)-(10/8/12/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/12/9)-(10/8/12/9/4)-(10/8/12/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/12/9)-(9/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (9/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/7)-(9/10/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/10/7)-(9/10/7/3)-(9/10/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATHBEET May26         (leit)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 126 15.00    
2  LADY XI Dec09 Nov19 Nov11 Oct09 Sep25 (lepiane )RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00    
3  LIL BIT OF CAPITOL Jan28         (pittman b)BERMUDEZ E 126 30.00    
4  LOST BIKINI Mar19         (reed r)MCKEE J 126 12.00 ★    
5  LOTTA ROSES Feb09 Jan12 Dec01 Oct17 Aug23 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  MIDNIGHT TANGO Nov24 Nov06       (pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 10.00    
7  GIRLS HOUSE Feb15 Jan26 Dec28 Dec15 Nov11 (cano juan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
8  NEOLITHIC NATION Dec09 Nov05       (lepiane paul)MORENO OMAR 118 15.00    
9  TOFFEE Jan26 Apr23 Mar13     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 4.50 ★    
10  LADY PELE Dec08 Sep14 Aug20 Jul08 Jun18 (blair jordan)HEARD TYLER 126 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
TP-2   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRTHDAY TIME (GER) Feb01 Jan04 Dec07 Nov04 Sep22 (morey willia)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50 ★    
2  QUICK CONVERSATION Jan12 Jan05 Dec16 Oct24 Oct03 (colebroo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 ★    
3  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Feb04 Dec28 Nov25 Nov11 Oct11 (brafford michelle)FELIX E 124 20.00    
SCR  DOOIT Feb08 Jan13 Nov11 Oct22 Sep24 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  GRAN CHEMIN Feb01 Oct24 Sep23 Apr02   (cli)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 20.00    
6  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 Oct24 Sep09 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 22% 3.50    
7  SHRIMPIE Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 Nov11 Sep08 (smith l)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
8  BEACH KITTEN Feb01 Nov11 Oct19 Sep22 Jun24 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00    
9  STARSHIP BELMONT Feb04 Jan20 Dec21 Oct17 Sep26 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 5.00    
10  PUGLIA Feb01 Jan06 Dec15 Nov09   (howard d)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 ★    
 
TP-3   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE SISTER SUE Jan21 Dec22 Oct26 Sep28   (reed r)MCKEE J 126 4.00 6% 15.40    
  (by KLIMT out of MY LITTLE MUNN by MUNNINGS)
2  BLESSING THE FLAG Jan28 Nov03 Sep05 Jul13 Jun22 (correas ignac)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 5.00 12% 7.60    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  CHAMELEON Jul02 May25 Apr24     (stidham mich)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 5.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
4  VAGARIES (IRE) Jan28 Aug21 Jun25     (reed r)FELIX E 126 12.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE) out of STAR APPROVAL by HAWK WING)
5  QUIERO MAS Jan28 Jan01 Dec08 Jan23 Jan01 (lobo h)RAMOS D 126 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DESIRED EFFECT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  SWEETS MAKER Feb11 Dec15 Nov18 Apr10 Mar12 (colebrook ben)GILLIGAN JACK 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LOOKOUT SISTER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  SUCH SOUNDS Dec15 Oct21       (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 126 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MOVE CLICKLY by CHEROKEE RUN)
SCR  MISS HOLLY Feb11 Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 Aug05 (lepiane paul)MORENO OMAR 126 12.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of HASILAH by HARD SPUN)
9  JACKIE'S LOVE Nov17 Oct06 Aug29 Jul14 Jun30 (cambray ign)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 20.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of WHERE THERE'S LOVE by ALDEBARAN)
 
TP-4   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGGIE Feb10 Jan26 Nov13 Nov02 Sep12 (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
2  LEAD ACTOR Feb08 Jan25 Jan05 Dec22 Nov13 (edgell sharon)MUSARRO JOE 126 20.00    
3  AGILE DANCER Feb01 Nov18 Nov03 Oct22 Sep18 (wojczynski )FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 8.00    
4  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Feb10 Feb01 Nov23 Nov10 Nov02 (capps a)CANNON DECLAN 126 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  WHISKEY ROAN Jan19 Jun02       (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 126 5.00 14% 5.90    
6  LAYTOWN Feb01 Jan12 Dec17 Nov13 Sep23 (cano muno)LEZCANO ABEL 126 3.00 10% 8.80    
7  OFF THE CHARTS Feb10 Dec28 Dec15 Nov25 Feb27 (oliver )DE CRUZ 121 5.00 6% 15.80    
8  LOLAS BEAU Jan26 Nov30 Nov11 Oct22 Sep01 (guerrero sal)HESS SARA 114 20.00    
9  VERSATILE Feb10 Jan28 Jan04 Dec09 Nov22 (garcia isra)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 10.00    
SCR  SHEA D CAPTURE Feb16 Jan23 Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 (gotera ju)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 20.00    
11  ILLUSIONED Feb17 Jan13 Dec18 Nov14 Sep20 (gon)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 20.00    
 
TP-5   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND AVE GIRL Jan14 Dec28 Dec11 Sep25 Jun25 (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE MORE (NZ) by KENFAIR (NZ))
2  CANDY RAID Dec11 Nov25 Nov12 Jul09 Jun04 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LADY SAMURI by FIRST SAMURAI)
3  OPENING BUZZ Jan28 Dec01 Oct19 Aug28 Jul28 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by UNKNOWN out of OPEN MIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  TAP DANCING LADY Jan28 Jan05 Dec22 Dec11 Nov24 (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 120 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  PURRFECT Jan19 Dec16 Nov25 Oct06 Aug16 (stidham)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FELINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MEJTHAAM Feb01 Jan14 Dec08 Nov18 Oct07 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MUFAJAAH by TAPIT)
7  KATE'S KINGDOM Jan14 Dec11 Oct22 Sep19 Aug13 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of DON'TGETMADALEXIS by DON'T GET MAD)
8  BELLA CONCHITA Jan14 Dec21 Sep01 Jul16 Apr27 (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 6.00 7% 13.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of K. D.'S SHADY LADY by MARIA'S MON)
9  BURGOO ALLEY (IRE) Jan02 Nov12 Oct29 Sep10 Aug13 (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 12.00    
  (by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND (GB) out of NURAMA by DAYLAMI (IRE))
10  MAYBE LATER Feb16 Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 Oct20 (morey wil)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIBERTY'S LYRIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  GUANA CAY Jan19 Dec09 Oct31 Oct09 Sep15 (foster er)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of WINDING BAY by MALIBU MOON)
12  CHARGES DROPPED Feb01 Dec28 Nov12 Oct26 Sep17 (mccarthy mich)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 ★    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of CRIMINOLOGIST by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  BALI BELLE Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 Oct17 Oct07 (rodrigu)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of FITPITCHER by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  FAIR GAME Jan14 Dec22 Nov19 Sep13 Aug12 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MAGICAL THEATER by SMART STRIKE)
 
TP-6   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ SUSAN ANN Jan25 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Oct29 (maldonado j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.00    
2  U SO MONEY BABY Feb10 Jan27 Jan05 Sep17 Sep01 (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  SEAWARD Feb15 Jan14 Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
4  SUPER LUCY Feb10 Mar18 Feb16 Jan15 Jan02 (livers charlie)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
5  MAGIC LEMONS Feb15 Jan26 Mar26 Mar18 Mar02 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
6  JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Feb02 Jan19 Nov22 Nov08 Oct29 (d'angel)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 10% 8.80    
7  FUTURE FLAY Jan25 Dec30 Nov28 Oct22 Sep22 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
8  WHISKEY SIS Jan25 Dec02 Nov21 Sep12 Sep02 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
SCR  FABIOLA PRINCESS Dec21 Nov22 Oct06 Sep14 Aug30 (grubbs jami)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 50.00    
SCR  DAIGLE Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec17 Dec04 (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 120 12.00    
SCR  MISS GETTY UP Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Aug21 Jun28 (gir)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00 5% 18.60    
12  MY DARK SECRET Dec02 Nov21 Nov01 Aug19 Aug03 (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50 23% 3.30    
13  FOOT RUB LOVE Dec02 Nov21 Nov01 Oct09 Sep13 (hernandez jav)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
14  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Feb16 Jan25 Nov21 Oct24 Sep12 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
 
TP-7   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE J Nov04 Oct08 Aug28     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 3.50    
2  TIGHTROPE Jan27 Dec17 Nov27 Apr09   (dob)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
3  HAZEL RAH Dec16 Nov27 Oct19 Oct05 Aug03 (guida ant)BERMUDEZ E 123 50.00    
4  WILLTORUN Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct16 Aug21 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 ★    
5  BODOCK May21 Apr02 Feb19 Jan15   (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 20.00    
6  STONEVICIOUS Jan28 Jan01 Dec17 Nov24 Oct28 (foster eric)FELIX E 123 8.00    
7  TILTED TOWERS Jan27 Dec30 Mar18 Feb24   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 126 15.00    
8  DOCTOR DAVIS Jan28 Dec31 Oct21 Sep14 Jul30 (delacour arna)GILLIGAN JACK 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
9  VIOLENT CITY Jul08 Jun12 May15 Apr16 Feb05 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  RACE DRIVER Jan27 Dec16 Nov26 Oct07 Aug26 (cano juan)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 4.50 54% 0.90    
11  PURE PANIC Jan28 Dec31 Dec14 Nov19 Oct23 (brownfi)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
12  BRING ME A CHECK Jan27 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  AWESOME AARON Jan01 Dec16 Nov17 Nov02 Aug27 (green troy)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
SCR  SOARING BIRD Feb09 Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 Aug06 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 8.00    
 
TP-8   02/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Feb09 Jan19 Dec30 Jul20 Jun30 (jarvis kathy)FELIX E 124 8.00    
2  AUTHORITARIAN Feb04 Dec30 Dec07 Sep20 Aug09 (vosler s)ORM CORY 124 12.00    
3  PANORAMA TRUCK Jan06 Dec01 Jun30 Apr24 Mar16 (d'angelo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 5.00 ★    
4  KICK IT CHARLIE Feb04 Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 Oct10 (raines lindsey )MUSARRO JOE 124 50.00    
5  SEVEN AND SEVEN Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 Nov02 (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 127 5.00    
6  READY PURSUIT Feb02 Jan07 Dec22 Dec08 Nov10 (antonuik je)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00    
7  NOMADIC FIGHTER Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 (delacruz )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 12.00 18% 4.50    
8  ZIPPER ZAPPER Nov19 Oct12 Sep22 Sep09 Jun20 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00    
9  ENGLISH CLASSIC Feb04 Jan14 Dec02 Oct03 Sep05 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
10  CARMEL BAY Feb02 Jan19 Dec28 Dec02 Nov10 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  SHOTGUN JOE Feb02 Jan05 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 124 30.00    
12  T J MUNNINGS Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 Dec02 Nov06 (bogle fergus)HEARD TYLER 124 4.50    
13  JIMMY DAN Dec30 Sep01 Aug06 Jul18 May20 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  DUDLEY Jan05 Nov17 Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.