Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (5/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/12/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/12/4)-(5/1/8/12/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/8/4)-(11/12/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/4)-(11/12/9/5)-(6/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (11/12/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/12/9/5)-(11/12/9/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/12/9/5)-(11/12/9/5/2)-(11/12/9/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/12/9/5)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/12/9/5)-(6/5/4)-(11/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/3/4)-(6/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(11/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(11/4/6)-(8/10/4/5/14) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-4   WIN (11/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/4/6)-(11/4/3/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/4/6)-(11/4/3/6/10)-(11/4/3/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/4/6)-(8/10/4/5/14) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/4/6)-(8/10/4/5/14)-(5/8/7/2/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TP-5   WIN (8/10/4/5/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/5/14)-(8/10/4/5/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/5/14)-(8/10/4/5/14)-(8/10/4/5/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/4/5/14)-(5/8/7/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4/5/14)-(5/8/7/2/9)-(7/5/1/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-6   WIN (5/8/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/2/9)-(5/8/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/2/9)-(5/8/7/2/9)-(5/8/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/7/2/9)-(7/5/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/2/9)-(7/5/1/10)-(5/13/12/2/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-7   WIN (7/5/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10/9)-(7/5/1/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/1/10)-(5/13/12/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (5/13/12/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/13/12/2/10)-(5/13/12/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/13/12/2/10)-(5/13/12/2/10)-(5/13/12/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEOCCA Dec31 Dec07 Sep28 Sep12 Aug19 (minnock wayn)RAMOS D 120 5.00 18% 4.40    
2  MONEY PIT Jan06 Nov27 Oct05 Sep12 Aug30 (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
3  BLACKSMITH STRONG Jun17 May21 May12 Mar19 Mar04 (gre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
4  ONE LUCKY DAY Dec30 Sep07 Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MASETA Dec07 Nov05 Oct20 Sep05 Aug07 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  HORSE DADDY Dec31 Nov10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 20.00    
7  LAGERFELDT Jan06 Sep23 Sep05 Aug10 Jul13 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
8  MEMPHIS PRAYER Dec31 Dec07 May07 Apr24 Apr01 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
9  RAL COPPERHEADROAD Dec07 Nov03 Oct05 Sep12 Jul13 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00    
10  WELLER ROGUE Dec18 Nov13 Oct14 Sep26 Sep05 (reavis l)FELIX E 120 20.00    
11  GO NUTS Nov03 Sep27 Sep08 Jan29 Jan01 (greenhil)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
12  STRIKE PRICE Jan06 Dec22 Sep30 Sep10 Aug13 (short t)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  ASHWINS ORB Nov27 Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 (garcia gena)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00    
SCR  WHERE'S LUCKY Jan11 Jun25 May27 May06 Apr30 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
 
TP-2   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMI CAT Dec08 Nov09 Oct17 Sep16 Jul30 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 117 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of CAMRYN KATE by KAFWAIN)
2  SITTING PRETTY Dec22 Dec01 Apr13 Mar20 Feb10 (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of HUMMINGBIRD HILL by L'NATURAL)
3  AMERICAN HEIGHTS Dec08 Apr27 Apr02 Mar07 Jan29 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SAXET HEIGHTS by OUTFLANKER)
4  THEDEVILYOUSAY Dec08         (medina robert)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of HOT COFFEE by BURNING ROMA)
5  ANKYRAH Nov06 Oct01 Sep03 Feb18 Jan01 (morey e)FELIX E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of DOUXRAH by RAHY)
6  MOST EMPRESSIVE Sep26 May21 Apr27 Mar23 Feb28 (lovell michelle)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  AWESOME ALLY VEE Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 Oct26 Aug12 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of AWESOME FLEET by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  VOTARY Dec22         (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 122 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LA AFICIONADA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  LITTLE SISTER SUE Dec22 Oct26 Sep28     (reed r)MCKEE J 122 6.00 5% 18.20    
  (by KLIMT out of MY LITTLE MUNN by MUNNINGS)
10  TWO WORDS Dec22 Mar12       (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LIFE STARTS by INTO MISCHIEF)
11  HEY THERE Jul20 Jun24 May21 Apr27   (cox bra)DE CRUZ 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of SUNNY ISLES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
12  BELLE OF THE BALL Apr10 Feb06 Jan15     (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by FLATTER out of NOTACAT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TP-3   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLANTON Jan07 Dec03 Nov06     (ortiz john)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
2  PACE Dec16 Oct18 Oct05 Aug31 Aug06 (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
3  GOD OF WINE Oct03         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 ★    
4  A. P. AVATAR Nov21 Nov08 Oct28 Oct11 Aug30 (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NET WORTH         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  SPEED WARNING Dec16 Nov18       (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  MO SNOW Sep08         (matejka p)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
8  TEXCOCO Aug13         (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
9  EL MUZN Dec29         (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
10  FAST FALL Dec31 Oct10 Sep11 Aug05   (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 15.00    
SCR  HE GOTS TO GO Dec22         (waltz brian)FELIX E 120 4.50 12% 7.10    
 
TP-4   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C V THUNDER Dec31 Dec11 Jul19 Jul06 Jun11 (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00    
SCR  AIN'T SHE A PISTOL Jan13 Nov20 Oct13 Sep22 Aug29 (danner doug)ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00    
3  BERTRADA Dec11 Dec03 Nov01 Oct19 Oct10 (helmbrec)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
4  BLUE GRASS ANNA Dec28 Nov28 Oct31 Oct10 Sep29 (fletcher ke)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  MY ANGELICA Jan07 Dec29 Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 20.00    
6  LADY JENNEVIERE         (pitts c)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  KEEP SCROLLING Dec11 Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 120 20.00    
8  SUPORB Jan07 Dec11 Nov16 Oct11 Sep29 (edwards willi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
9  KNOT WILD Jan07 Dec11 Nov22 Sep29 Sep16 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 30.00    
10  ECLIPSED Jan12 Jan05 Dec16 Nov18 Oct20 (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 ★    
11  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) Jan06 Dec04 Oct22 Oct02 Aug26 (d'angelo jos)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  FIVE ROSES LUNA Dec20 Dec10 Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 (jones jef)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
 
TP-5   01/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I HAD THAT ONE TOO         (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of ITHINKIHADTHATONE by WAR CHANT)
2  ROYAL WORDS         (colebrook)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PARTING WORDS by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  ICY STARE Dec11 Nov20       (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TURN TO LASS by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
4  POPNFIZZ Jan01         (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CURVYMISSMILLER by ARCH)
5  SHEWILLGHOSTU Dec11 Jun22       (reed r)MCKEE J 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GHOSTIE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  DONA WITCH         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  TAMMY TAP TAP TAP         (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of PAY LADY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
8  CASH 'EM IN         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CONGRATS out of HIDDEN ASSETS by MT. LIVERMORE)
9  NO TAPPIN OUT         (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TAP TAP TAPPING by TAPIT)
10  OPENING ACT (ARG)         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by PERFECT PARADE out of EXALSA by EXALTE (FR))
11  VARSITY BLONDE Jan01 Nov23       (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MARILYN MONROAN by TAPIT)
12  A STAR FOR CORA Jan01 Nov22 Nov10     (ham)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 30.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of GLORIOUS SKY by ALDEBARAN)
SCR  WILL VIRGINIA DARE Jan05         (decker anna)HALDAR J 120 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of WILL GRACIE SHINE by WILL HE SHINE)
14  LILY'S HOME Dec15 Nov22 Nov10 Oct12 Oct04 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00 6% 14.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SNOWDUST by THE FACTOR)
 
TP-6   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCIDENT Jan07 Dec16 Nov26 Nov16 Oct30 (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
2  AMERICAN SPEED Nov06 Aug31 Aug06     (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOP QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
3  FUNTASTIC AGAIN Dec02 Oct08 Aug27 Jul01   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of REPETA by BROKEN VOW)
4  IRONSIDES Jan07 Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 Aug30 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ALANA B. by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
5  MENDEL'S SECRET Jan01 Nov26 Oct29 Sep01   (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DONNIE'S SECRET by TIGER RIDGE)
6  ITZOS Dec29 Nov26       (lobo h)RAMOS D 118 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LOTTA KIM by ROAR)
7  HAYES STRIKE Dec26 Nov26 Oct30 Oct12 Sep17 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 7% 13.70    
  (by CONNECT out of PLAID by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
8  RAISE CAIN Dec26 Oct29 Oct09 Sep17   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
9  SATURN BOY Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 Oct13 Sep21 (davis j)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of WALTZ WITH CHESTER by CHESTER HOUSE)
 
TP-7   01/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Dec28 Nov19 Oct27 Oct02 Sep03 (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  MOHAAFETH Dec11 Nov27 Jun18 May20 Apr16 (trujillo elvis)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00    
3  GUNTON ROE Dec28 Sep14 Aug14 Jul12 Jun01 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
4  ROGUE ELEMENT Jan06 Dec08 Nov12 Sep29 Sep10 (hiles j)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
5  COOL RAGS Jan06 Dec14 Nov06 Oct27 Oct12 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
6  VIVAR Oct21 Sep05 Jan29 Jan01   (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
7  WIN THE DAY Dec29 Nov04 Oct02 Sep02 Aug05 (o'neill d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  KENTUCKY MIST Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 Sep05 Aug12 (dyer john)FELIX E 120 30.00    
9  RUPP N READY Dec28 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03   (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 ★    
10  BULLSEYE BUN Dec28 Dec01 Nov18 Oct21 Oct03 (green troy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
TP-8   01/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINETIES COUNTRY Dec31 Nov25 Nov03 Oct19 Sep07 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
2  MILITARY FORCE Dec31 Nov10 Oct10 Mar26 Mar12 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 8% 10.90    
SCR  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 Sep13 (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
4  RUNAWAY HARRY Dec28 Nov24 Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
5  EMPIRE BUILDER Dec30 Oct27 Sep07 Jul09 Jun17 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
6  TUANIS Dec28 Nov23 Oct26 Sep28 Aug27 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
7  TEST PILOT Dec28 Nov23 Nov10 Oct14 Sep17 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
8  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Dec15 Nov02 Oct20 Sep22 Aug05 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 8.00    
9  HAIG POINT Dec28 Sep28 Sep01 Jul15 May20 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
10  CHEYENNE'S COLONEL Dec28 Nov11 Oct20     (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  BIG PAPER Dec28 Nov16 Nov03 Oct06 Sep15 (richardville t)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
12  FUTURE VICTORY Dec28 Oct05 Sep24 Jul22 Jul02 (mejia joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
13  MY BOY PADDY Jan01 Nov14 Oct22 Sep09 Aug05 (rivera justi)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  ARTIE'S LADY Jan06 Dec17 Dec03 Nov10 Jun11 (schwarm lou)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.